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Friday, March 25, 2022

Dubai World Cup Preview Sat 26th March 2022

The 26th running of Dubai World Cup meeting with 23 million pounds up for grabs ,with an excellent eight race card from Meydan, starting at 12.20 UK time .

Godolphin Mile Sponsored By Nakheel (Group 2) (Dirt) (3yo+) Winner £444,444 16 runners 1m Fast SK/RT 12.20 
 
race conditions  £740,741 guaranteed For  northern hemisphere 4yo+ and southern hemisphere 3yo+ Penalty value  1st  £444,444.44 2nd  £148,148.15 3rd  £74,074.07 4th  £37,037.04 5th  £22,222.22 6th  £14,814.81 
 
JERRYSBESTBETS FORM RATINGS :
 
1) SECRET AMBITION (113) (2) AL NEFUD (112) (3) DESERT WISDOM (109)
 
16 runners declared for this mile group two contest on the dirt .
 
The progressive 4-Y-0 gelding Al Nefud has been put in clear favourite at around 5-2 ,after chasing home American World Cup hope Hot Rod Charlie last time in G2 Al Maktoum challenge  ,though beaten over 5L that looked fair effort finishing 7l clear of the 105 rated Everfast in third . Had previously won two condition races over C/D at Meydan ,Has to be respected from decent draw in stall two ,though odds around 9-4 loo short enough in competitive 16 runner race .
 
At the prices last years winner  SECRET AMBITION should go well from decent draw in stall 3 ,was impressive winner of this race last year .Making all to win by 6L in good time .Ran better than his finishing position might suggest last time in 9f (G1) Saudi Cup,when leading till furlong and half out .Will be suited returning to this mile trip. Odds 7-1 looks very fair e/w value .
 
Of the others Desert Wisdom looks the most interesting ,after winning G3 Burj Nahaar over C&D last time at Meydan,coming from well off the pace to win comfortably.Looks open to further improvement over this trip .Place claims
 
Storm Damage has excellent strike rate on turf 4 our 6 ,including breaking the course record over 7f at Meydan last time ,though yet to race on the dirt has to be big question mark.
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Dubai Turf Sponsored By DP World (Group 1) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £2,222,222 16 runners 1m1f Good SK/RT
 
race conditions  £3,703,704 guaranteed For  northern hemisphere 4yo+ and southern hemisphere 3yo+ Penalty value  1st  £2,222,222.22 2nd  £740,740.74 3rd  £370,370.37 4th  £185,185.19 5th  £111,111.11 6th  £74,074.07 
 
JERRYSBESTBETS FORM RATINGS
 
1)LORD NORTH (119) (2) SCHNELL MEISTER (118) (3) LORD GLITTERS (114) COLONEL LIAM (114)
 
15 runners go to post for Dubai Turf over 9 furlongs .This looks very strong G1 contest with plenty International interest . 
 
The Japanese Kingman colt Schnell Meister  has been put in clear favourite ,has shown progressive form ,winning 4 out 7  ,including winning G1 NHK mile at Tokyo last season .Also finished creditable second in G1 Mile Championship at Hanshin in November, behind six time G1 winner Gran Alegria  .decent claims on that form ,though just too short in the market for me at 2-1 in what looks competitive race.
 
Last years winner LORD NORTH  should go well for Dettori & Gosden team .Was an impressive winner of this race last year beating Vin De Garde by easy 3 lenghs in decent time .Has been lightly raced since ,though made an encouraging return at Lingfield last month when reportly only 75% fit ,finishing second behind the classy Alenquer .This looks much stronger race this year ,though is proven winner in group one company,including when winning Prince Of Wales Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2020 .Solid each-way claims ,especially with extra places on offer with some bookmakers .
 
Of the others the American five-year-old entire Colonel Liam has impressive strike rate ,winning 7 out 9 starts ,including winning three G1 races,though they didn't look the strongest of races .Will need further improvement to land this much stronger G1 contest .
 
The popular grey Lord Glitters has bit to find with Lord North on last years form ,though goes well here at Meydan.Could get in the shake up if the race is run at good clip .
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Longines Dubai Sheema Classic (Group 1) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £2,666,667 15 runners 1m4f11y Good SK/RT
 
race conditions  £4,444,444 guaranteed For  northern hemisphere 4yo+ and southern hemisphere 3yo+ Weight for age  4yo from 5yo+ 1lb Penalty value  1st  £2,666,666.67 2nd  £888,888.89 3rd  £444,444.44 4th  £222,222.22 5th  £133,333.33 6th  £88,888.89 
 
JERRYSBESTBETS FORM RATINGS : 

1) AUTHORITY (121) (2)GLORY VASE (119) SHAHRYAR (119) (4) YIBIR (118)
 
15 runners go to post for this G1 turf contest over 12f, argualby the best race on the card ,with the Japanese runners holding very strong hand .
 
The Japanese five-year-old AUTHORITY looks very solid ,having finished excellent second in the Japan Cup in November behind the very useful five time G1 winner Contrail ,with Shahryar back in third .Made no mistake when dropped in class in G3 Neom Turf Cup at Riyadh at Saudi last month .Goes particularly well for French jockey Christophe-Lemaire who has won on the horse three times from four rides .Odds 13-2 looks good value .
 
The lightly raced four-year-old Shahryar should be in the mix, after finishing staying on third in Japan Cup only lengh and half behind Authority .Had previously won the Japan Derby at Tokyo in May .Looks open to further improvement after just six starts .
 
Of the others Hong Kong Vase winner Glory Vase has each-way claims ,after coming from off the pace to beat Pyledriver comfortbly at Sha Tin in December .Looks very consistent sort who very rarely runs bad race Should be in the shake-up.
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 DUBAI WORLD CUP RATINGS  :

12.20 GOLDEN MILE : SECRET AMBITION (112) AL NEFUD (111)
 
1.55 DUBAI GOLD CUP : MANOBO  (115) STAY FOOLISH (112)

1.35 AL QUOZ SPRINT : MAN OF PROMISE (118) CREATIVE FORCE (117)

3.20 DUBAI TURF : LORD NORTH (119) SCHNELL MEISTER (118)

3.55 SHEEMA CLASSIC : AUTHORITY (121) GLORY VASE (119) SHAHRYAR (119)

4.30 DUBAI WORLD CUP : LIFE IS GOOD (125) HOT ROD CHARLIE (121)
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MEYDAN WORLD CUP 2022 RECOMMENDED BETS :
 
SECRET AMBITION 12.20 MEYDAN G2 GOLDEN MILE 
0.50PT EACH-WAY @ 7-1 BET365 (BOG)
(UNPLACED SP 9-1 LOSS £100.00 /1.00PT )
 
LORD NORTH 3.20 MEYDAN G1 DUBAI TURF 
0.50 EACH-WAY @ 11-2 PADDY POWER.BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK
(WINNER (DEAD HEAT SP 10/3) PROFIT £167.00/1.67PT)
 
AUTHORITY 3.55 MEYDAN G1 SHEEMA CLASSIC
0.50 EACH-WAY @ 13-2 BET365 (BOG)
(THIRD SP 5-1 PROFIT £15.00 /0.15PT )
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STAKED :£300/3.00PTS
RETURN:£382/3.82PTS 
TOTAL PROFIT:£82.00/0.82PTS

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