Tuesday, December 05, 2017

12.10 Lingfield 32Red.com Fillies H'cap (0-90) Class 3 (Wed 6th Dec )

Good start to December with Castlelyons landing nice gamble (6-1 into 2-1) in class two handicap at Wolverhampton on Saturday evening.For a tidy £216.00 profit .

That keeps the excellent run of results going,with 10 winners from the last 20 bets for £1526 profit to recommended stakes .

Moving on to Wednesday we have interesting class three fillies handicap at Lingfield .9 runners declared for 32Red.com Fillies 7f Handicap (0-90) on the poly track at 12.10 .Not bad looking class three fillies contest .The three main contenders are Summer Icon,Favourite Royal & Temeraire .

SUMMER ICON :  4-Y-0 Bay filly,winning 1 out 9 on All Weather,also finished placed 6 times .Had some fair form last season ,including winning class 3 handicap over C&D at Lingfield,off mark 87 .Returned to form on last two starts on All Weather ,including finishing creditable third at Chelmsford last week .Will be suited returning to Lingfield over C&D .Solid each-way claims .

FAVOURITE ROYAL 4-Y-0 Bay filly ,winning 2 out 5 on All Weather .including winning 1 mile class 4 handicap at Lingfield last time .Looks fairly treated off 3lb higher mark .Should be thereabouts ,though the drop back in trip may not be ideal .

TEMERAIRE : 3-Y-0 Grey filly,winning 1 out 3 on All Weather,formerly trained in France,changed hands for 44,000 euro's in July.Made winning debut for Hugo Palmer,bolting up in weak 6 furlong maiden at Lingfield last month.This longer trip should suit ,looks well treated off mark 76 .

VERDICT : Temeraire looks an interesting contender for Hugo Palmer,after bolting up on British debut in 6f (C6) maiden,beating the 68 rated Trotter by 4.5 lenghs .Looks on decent mark (76) on her british handicap debut ,though this is much stronger race .Has to be respected ,though odds around 11-8 look very poor value, for horse moving up three classes .

Course & Distance winner SUMMER ICON goes well here at Lingfield,including finishing third in this race last year .Looked on her way back when finishing creditable third at Chelmsford last week .Looks nicely treated off mark 85 ,with claimer Paddy Bradley taking off handy 5lb .Odds around 11-2 look decent each-way value .
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-2 PADDY POWER 
(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £60.00 ) 

Friday, December 01, 2017

8.45 Wolv 12f (C2) Betway Club Handicap (Sat 2nd Dec)

November finished up another solid month for the website,with £182.00 profit (2 winners from 5 bets) .That keeps the good run going with 4 winning months in row, for £1310 profit since August . 

Moving on to Saturday we have decent looking evening fixture on All Weather at Wolverhampton ,with the feature race the £19,000 class two Betway Club handicap at 8.45.

9 runners declared for 12f (0-105) handicap on the tapeta at Wolverhampton.Not bad looking  class two handicap .The three main contenders are Cohesion ,Mixboy & Castlelyons .

COHESION : 4-Y-0 bay gelding ,winning 3 out 11 .Had some useful form on All Weather last season ,including winning class 2 handicap over C&D at Wolverhampton in March ,off mark 101 .No show in November handicap at Doncaster last time ,though will be suited returning to All Weather .Should be thereabouts ,though no easy task under 9 stone 12lb

MIXBOY : 7-Y-0 grey gelding ,winning 2 out 3 on turf .Fair sort on the jumps,winning three chases in 2016/17 .Lightly raced on flat ,though bolted up in 12f class 4 handicap at Catterick last time .Looks open to improvement on All Weather debut ,though races of 11lb higher mark.Interesting contender .

CASTLELYONS : 5-Y-0 bay gelding ,winning 2 out 8.Lightly raced sort formerly trained in Ireland.Changed hands for 170,000 guineas at Newmarket sales,after winning maiden at Cork in 2015 .Bounced back to form last time ,winning 12f class 3 handicap on the All Weather at Kempton in fast time.Looks fairly treated off 4lb higher mark .

 VERDICT : Mixboy will have plenty of supporters after winning handicap by 6L at Catterick last time ,though the handicapper has taken no chances putting him up 11lb for that victory .Odds around 11-4 look short enough for horse unraced on All Weather surfaces .

At the prices CASTLELYONS looks the each-way value ,after winning 12f class 3 handicap at Kempton last time .That looked fair effort in decent time (0.60 slow ) Looks open to further improvement on All Weather after just four starts .Odds around 6-1 look solid value .
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 CORALS * 
(WINNER SP 2-1F PROFIT +£216.00)

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

6.40 Kempton 12F Wild Flower Listed Stakes

On Wednesday evening we are back at Kempton Park,for 12 furlong listed contest on the poly track at 6.40 .

10 runners declared for the £40,000 Wild Flower Listed Stakes over 1M 4F.This looks decent qualityAll Weather listed contest.The three standout contenders look to be Red Verdon , Daphne & Mountain Bell .

RED VERDON : Four-year-old chestnut colt,winning 3 out 16.Had some useful form in 2016 ,including finishing second in group one company .Not shown much on turf this season,though returned to form on All Weather, finishing close second over C&D in Floodlit Listed stakes at Kempton earlier this month.Top rated on official BHA ratings (107) .Solid Claims  

DAPHNE : Four-year-old bay filly,winning 4 out 10.Shown progressive form this season winning two races,including winning the 1M 5F River Eden listed stakes at Lingfield in fast time.Has 12lb to find on official ratings,though looks open to plenty more improvement on All Weather.Each-way claims .

MOUNTAIN BELL : Four-year-old bay filly ,winning 2 out 6.Had some useful form last season ,including winning 12f listed race at Chester.Made promising reappearance in G3 St Simon Stakes in October,finishing staying on 4th of 11 behind Best Solution.Makes All weather debut ,though solid claims on her turf form .

VERDICT : RED VERDON should go well,after just getting touched off over C&D in Listed Floodlit stakes at Kempton earlier this month,that looked decent effort trying concede 10lb to the useful Mark Johnstone filly Titi Makfi.Odds around 10-3 look very fair value.

Mountain Bell has been lightly raced this season,though looks the main danger after making promising reappearance in G3 St Simon stakes in October.Looks interesting contender ,though is unproven on All Weather surfaces .

£40 E/WAY @ 10/3 PADDY POWER  
(WINNER SP 5/2F PROFIT +£159.84)

Friday, November 17, 2017

3.15 Lingfield 6f Golden Rose Listed Stakes (Sat 17th Nov )

On Saturday we are back on All Weather for decent card at Lingfield,featuring two Fast Track Qualifiers on the poly track .Going concentrate on the big sprint at 3.15.

11 runners declared for Golden Rose Listed stakes over 6 furlongs .This looks very decent All Weather sprint .The three main contenders look to be Mythmaker , Mazzini & Spring Loaded.

MYTHMAKER : 5-Y-0 Bay gelding,winning 1 out 11 on All Weather (Finished 2ND ,five times ) Had some decent form on All Weather last season ,including finishing second in this race last year .Also finished close second in Cleves Stakes over C&D at Lingfield .Goes well here at Lingfield ,should be thereabouts .

MAZZINI : 4-Y-0 Chestnut gelding ,winning 3 out 10 on All Weather.Been running consistently this season , including bolting up in class three 6f handicap at Chelmsford in July .Also finished creditable second in class 2 7f conditions race at Chelmsford last time .Will be suited returning to 6f trip  .Solid each-way claims .

SPRING LOADED : 5-Y-0 Grey gelding ,winning 8 out 14 on All Weather .Has useful record on All Weather ,including winning 2 out 2 at Lingfield over C&D .Also Been in fair form on turf ,winning the Portland Handicap in good style in September,off mark 92 .Will be suited returning to All Weather at Lingfield ,though trainer Paul D'Arcy struggling for winners (1 out 48 ) since July .

VERDICT : Spring Loaded has excellent strike rate on All Weather 8 out 14 ,will be popular after winning twice over C&D at Lingfield last season ,though was disappointing at York last time ,when finishing well beaten tenth .Odds around 10/3 look short enough, for stable struggling for winners ,

At the prices MAZZINI looks the each-way value .Has been running well all season on all weather ,including finishing creditable second behind (108) rated Steady Pace at Chelmsford last time over 7f .Will be suited returning to this shorter trip ,all three victories coming over this 6f trip .Odds around 5-1 look solid each-way value ,especially with Skybet paying 4 places .
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 SKYBET 
(UNPLACED SP 3-1F LOSS £60.00)

Friday, November 10, 2017

2.05 Doncaster 6F Wentworth Listed Stakes (Sat 11th Nov )

On Saturday we are back at Doncaster, for the final day of the flat turf season.With the feature race the competitive £70,000 November Handicap,though going concentrate on one the main supporting races the 6 furlong Wentworth Listed Stakes at 2.05 .

This looks very competitive Listed sprint.The three main contenders look to be Perfect Pasture ,Dream Of Dreams & Sir Dancealot .

PERFECT PASTURE : 7-Y-0 Bay gelding ,winning 12 out 44 .Been in excellent form recently winning his last two starts ,including winning class two handicap at Nottingham 3 days ago ,off mark 100 .Also won listed race at Windsor back in May .Has 3lb  penalty ,though has ideal conditions here .Each-way claims

DREAM OF DREAMS : 3-Y-0 Chestnut colt,winning 2 out 10.Had some fair form as 2-Y-0 for Kevin Ryan .Returned to form for new trainer Sir Michael Stoute ,bolting up in 7F conditions race at Lingfield in September,though was only 5th in listed race at Newbury last time .Drop back to 6f may suit ,should be thereabouts .

SIR DANCEALOT : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 4 out 15 .Looked very decent 2-Y-0 ,winning three times ,including winning Rockingham listed race at York.Returned to winning form in 7f conditions race at Doncaster last time .Obvious claims on form ,though this shorter trip has to be question mark .

VERDICT : Sir Dancealot will have his supporters ,having won conditions race in good style last time ,though has disappointed on both starts over 6 furlongs this season.The drop back in trip doesn't look ideal .Odds around 3-1 look short enough in very competitive sprint .

PERFECT PASTURE has looked right back to his best ,winning two class 2 handicaps in last two weeks,including winning over C&D at Doncaster on soft ground.Also is proven winner in this grade ,winning in listed company back in May .Odds around 11-1 look decent each-way value.
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-1 PADDY POWER
1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 
(SECOND SP 11-1 PROFIT +£36.00 )