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Thursday, February 16, 2017

3.25 Newcastle 1M 4F Betway Handicap (81-96) (Fri 16th Feb)

On Friday afternoon we have interesting 1M 4F class three handicap ,on the tapeta at Newcastle .

10 Runners declared for rated (81-96) handicap  .This looks decent class three contest on tapeta at Newcastle. The three standout contenders look to be SENNOCKIAN  STAR , PETITE JACK & DOLPHIN VILLAGE .

SENNOCKIAN STAR : 7-Y-0 gelding ,winning 13 out 82 (4 out 18 on All Weather ) Been in decent form this winter,winning two handicaps over 1 mile 4 at Lingfield & Kempton .Also finished creditable 1L fourth in 9.5 furlong class two handicap at Wolverhampton last time. Will be suited returning to this longer trip.

PETITE JACK : 4-Y-0 gelding , winning 4 out 8 (All 4 wins on All Weather at Lingfield ) Been in great form this winter, landing hatrick at Lingfield in class 4 handicap earlier last month .Up another 6LB in the weights ,though still looks open to more improvement .

DOLPHIN VILLAGE : 7-Y-0 gelding ,winning 8 out 46 (2 out 18 on All Weather ) Been running consistently this winter ,without winning .Including finishing second behind Petite Jack at Lingfield last time .Each-way claims ,though not won on All Weather since December 2015 .

VERDICT : SENNOCKIAN STAR  stands out returning this longer trip,after finishing creditable fourth in 9.5 furlong class two handicap at Wolverhampton last time.All his best recent form has been over this 12 furlong trip .Also Still looks fairly handicapped off mark 90 ,has won off higher marks in past .Odds around 3-1 look solid value .

Petite Jack looks the obvious danger,after winning his last three starts at Lingfield,though has gone up 17LB in the weights for those three victory's,also has to prove himself on different surface away from Lingfield .Odds around 2-1, look short enough in this higher grade .

SENNOCKIAN STAR 3.25 NEWCASTLE 
£60.00 WIN @ 3-1 BET365 & BETVICTOR 
(THIRD SP 11-4 LOSS £60.00) 

Wednesday, February 08, 2017

5.25 Meydan 7F Range Rover 100-112 H'cap (Thu 9th Feb )

Not the greatest start to 2017 ,with few disappointing results for blog in January ,though January is often a tricky month ,hopefully we can get back on track in February.

Moving quickly on to Thursday,we have interesting 7 furlong turf handicap at Meydan at 5.25 .

10 runners declared for the seven furlong Range Rover 100-112 Handicap .The three main contenders look to be  Flash Fire ,Tahanee & Rene Mathis .

FLASH FIRE : Five year old Gelding ,winning 5 out 25 ,including winning Victoria Cup at Ascot in May 2016 off mark 104 . Returned to form in January winning 7F handicap in good style over C&D at Meydan ,off mark 107 .Finished fair 2ND in group 2 Al Fahidi over C&D last time .Should go well returning to handicap company .

TAHANEE : Four year old South American filly ,winning two group three contests in Argentina .Shown promise on both starts at Meydan ,including finishing fair fifth of 10 in 1M group two Cape Verdi only beaten 2.5 lenghs .Should be suited by this drop in trip ,returning to handicap company .  

RENE MATHIS : Seven Year old Gelding ,winning 4 out 34 on turf ,though not won since August 2015 .Finished good second of 16 over C&D in competitive handicap at Meydan last time ,behind Flash Fire .Has 5LB pull in the weights with that rival ,though not easy to win with .

VERDICT :  Flash Fire will be popular dropping down in class, after finishing good second in group two company last time at Meydan ,though faces no easy task off career high mark (112) ,has never won off mark this high .Respected though Odds around 7-4 look short enough .

At the prices TAHANEE looks solid each-way value ,after finishing promising 5TH in group two  Cape Verdi last time .The drop back to 7 furlongs in h'cap company should suit ,having raced too keenly over 1 mile last time .Looks fairly treated off mark 105 for the Mike De kock & Christophe Soumillion combination .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value.

TAHANEE 5.25 MEYDAN
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 CORALS & PADDY POWER 
(FOURTH SP 3-1 LOSS £60.00 ) 

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

6.20 Kempton 1M 0-95 Fillies & Mares Handicap (Wed 18th Jan )

On Wednesday evening we have interesting 1 mile class three  handicap.On the poly track at Kempton Park .

8 runners declared for (0-95) 1 mile Fillies & mares Class three handicap at 6.20 .The three main contenders are Absolute Blast , Russian Radiance & Gleaming Girl .

ABSOLUTE BLAST : Progressive 5-Y-0 mare ,winning 2 out 4 on All Weather ,formerly trained in France.Shown some decent form since joining the Iain Jardine stable ,including bolting up in 9.5 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton last time .Up 12LB in weights for that victory ,though looks interesting contender .

RUSSIAN RADIANCE :Consistent 5-Y-0 mare ,winning 2 out 12 on All Weather .Finished decent second in 7 furlong class 3 handicap at Lingfield last time ,behind fairly useful Mick Channon trained Summer Icon .Should go well off 2LB lower mark ,returning to this longer trip .

GLEAMING GIRL : Improving 5-Y-0 mare ,winning 4 out 10 on All Weather ,including winning twice here at Kempton .Been in good form recently ,winning 8.5 furlong class three handicap at Wolverhampton last time .Up 2LB in the weights ,though still looks fairly handicapped off mark 80 .

VERDICT : Absolute Blast will have plenty supporters after bolting up last time at Wolverhampton,though the handicapper has taken no chances raising the mare 18LB in two races .Odds around even money look short enough,with this drop back in trip also an unknown .

At the prices GLEAMING GIRL looks the each-way value.Goes well here at Kempton winning twice at track back 2014 .Has been in decent form this winter ,including winning class three handicap last time at Wolverhampton .Not badly treated off 2LB higher mark ,with Aaron Jones taking off valuable 3LB. Odds around 6-1 look solid value ,against the short price favourite .

GLEAMING GIRL 6.20 KEMPTON
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 11-2 LOSS £60.00 ) 
 

Thursday, January 12, 2017

6.30 Dundalk 1M (0-96 ) Handicap (Fri 13th Jan )

On Friday evening we back in Ireland for decent looking 1 mile 0-95 handicap on poly track at Dundalk .

10 runners  declared for quality 1 mile handicap on poly track at Dundalk .The three main contenders are Chestnut Fire , Red Avenger & Reckless Lad .

CHESTNUT FIRE : Progressive 5-Y-0 gelding ,winning 3 out 7 on poly track at Dundalk ,including winning twice over C&D.Looked unlucky when beaten nose by Red Avenger over C&D in December,when finding trouble in running.Also finished creditable third in 7F handicap at Dundalk last time,finishing strongly in closing stages.Obvious claims returning to his this longer trip .

RED AVENGER : Useful sort for Ed Dunlop back in 2014/15 ,including winning the Betfred Mile at Glorious Goodwood off mark 96 .Bounced back to form after changing stables this winter ,winning last two starts over C&D for trainer D.J English .Up 11LB in weights for last two victories ,though still fairly handicapped on old form .

RECKLESS LAD : Consistent sort ,winning 5 out 25 at Dundalk ,also been placed nine times ,Been in good form this winter ,without winning ,Finished fair 2 length fourth ,behind Red Avenger last time .Should be thereabouts , though not won since November 2015 .

VERDICT :  CHESTNUT FIRE looks the one beat returning to this 1 mile trip , looked unlucky not to beat Red Avenger over C&D earlier last month ,losing on the nod ,after suffering trouble in running .Should reverse that form on 7LB better terms .Odds around 5-2 look solid value .
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CHESTNUT FIRE 6.30 DUNDALK 

£100.00 WIN @ 5-2 BET365 *
(UNPLACED SP 7-4 LOSS £100.00 )

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

3.30 Newcastle 1M 4F Betway Handicap Class 2 0-105 (Thu 11th Jan )

On Thursday we have decent looking card from Newcastle ,featuring three class two races,on the tapeta .For the blogs best bet ,we are going concentrate on the 12 furlong Betway handicap at 3.30 .

8 runners declared for quality 0-105 class two handicap at Newcastle .The four main contenders are Watersmeet , Bayre , Masterpaver & Natural Scenery .

WATERSMEET : Progressive 6-Y-0 gelding , winning 6 out 12 on All Weather ,also finished 2ND four times .Been in good form this winter ,winning 14 furlong class two handicap at Wolverhampton last time .Races off career high mark (103) , though can't be ruled out .

BAYRE :Useful 6-Y-0 Gelding on his day ,winning 5 out 18 on All Weather ,also finished 2ND five times .Returned to form last time at Lingfield ,finishing good 2ND behind the useful Pinzolo in course record time at Lingfield .Solid claims off 1LB higher mark .

MASTERPAVER : Consistent 6-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 out 36 on All Weather ,also been placed 13 times .Finished good second over C&D last time at Newcastle in Class 4 handicap.Looks fairly treated off 1lb higher mark .Should be thereabouts.

NATURAL SCENERY : Lightly race 4-Y-0 filly ,Winning 1 out 3 on All Weather ,including winning 12 furlong class 4 handicap at Wolverhampton in October .Finished fair 3RD in class three handicap at Lingfield in course record time.Should go well for top connections.
  
VERDICT : Natural Scenery will be popular for the Saeed Bin Suroor stable , having looked improving sort on All Weather , though was beaten off this mark last time when odds on favourite ,also is 10LB higher than last victory .Odds around 7-4 look no value .

BAYRE looks solid having finished promising second at Lingfield last time in course record time .Looked unsuited by slow early pace ,before staying on well at finish .Odds around 9-2 look decent each-way value .

BAYRE 3.30 NEWCASTLE
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 PADDY POWER
(UNPLACED SP 7-1 LOSS £60.00 )