Friday, June 23, 2017

Royal Ascot Day Four Preview (Fri 23rd June )

Not much luck so far at Royal Ascot ,with Mori getting chinned near the finish in the Ribblesdale stakes ,after being heavily supported in the market .Hopefully we can get on the scoreboard on final two days .

 Moving on to Day Four at Royal Ascot, going concentrate on the G2 King Edward V11 Stakes .

12 Runners declared for G2 King Edward V11 Stakes over 1M 4F ,for three year old Colts and Geldings .The three main contenders look to be Best Solution , Crystal Ocean & Permian.

 BEST SOLUTION : Won 3 out 8 on turf for Saeed Bin Suroor ,including winning the G3 Lingfield Derby trial in May.Slightly disappointing in the Derby,finishing 6.5L eighth of 18 behind Wings Of Eagles ,fading in closing stages .This race looks easier ,though not certain to stay on this stiffer track . 

CRYSTAL OCEAN : Lightly raced sort for Sir Michael Stoute ,winning 1 out 3 ,though finished eyecatching third in G2 Dante Stakes at York last time (staying on strongly at the finish) Skipped the Derby, and looks to been trained for this race .Obvious claims with fast ground in his favour .

PERMIAN : Tough sort ,winning 5 out 11 for Mark Johnston ,including winning G2 Dante Stakes at York  ,though no show in Derby finishing disappointing tenth of 18 .Obvious claims on the Dante form ,though there has to be question mark over this 1M 4F trip .

VERDICT : CRYSTAL OCEAN looks open to plenty improvement over this longer trip ,was putting in all his best work in closing stages of 10F Dante Stakes at York ,that form looks all the better with the Dante second Benbati ,winning G3 Hampton Court Stakes yesterday .Should be difficult to beat .Odds around 3-1 look fair value .


£100.00 WIN @ 3-1 LADBROKES  
(THIRD SP 9-4F LOSS £100.00)

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Royal Ascot Day Three Preview (Thu 22nd June )

Gold Cup Day at Royal Ascot on Day Three ,though going concentrate on one the main supporting races ,the G2 Ribblesdale Stakes for 3-Y-0 Fillies at 3.40 

12 runners declared for G2 Ribblesdale Stakes over 1M 4F for 3-Y-0 Fillies .The three main contenders look to be Alluringly ,Mori & Naughty or Nice  .

ALLURINGLY : Irish Filly trained by A.P.O' Brien ,winning 1 out 5 ,also finished placed in Cheshire Oaks & Epsom Oaks behind Enable .Solid claims on that form in this easier race .

MORI : Won 2 out 3 for Sir Michael Stoute stable ,including winning the 10F Height Of Fashion listed stakes at Goodwood ,that looked decent form ,with the fourth horse (Elas Ruby ) boosting the form  (winning Listed race at Newbury next time by 3L) Looks open to plenty improvement over this longer trip .

NAUGHTY NICE : Unbeaten Irish Filly for John Oxx ,winning 2 out 2 ,including winning 13F listed race at Navan in May on fast ground ,that looked fair form beating 103 rated Grandee by head .Looks open to plenty improvement after two starts .Each-way claims .

 VERDICT : Alluringly is 3lb clear on official ratings on 106 ,after finishing third in Epsom Oaks , though was beaten 11 lenghs .That form looks solid , though there looks couple horses open to more improvement .

The beautifully bred MORI has bit to find on official ratings ,though has done nothing wrong on her last two starts ,including winning listed race in good style last time at Goodwood .Looks open to plenty more improvement over this longer trip .Odds around 10-3 look very fair value .

£60.00 WIN @ 10-3 BET365* 
(SECOND SP 2-1F LOSS £60.00) 

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Royal Ascot Day Two Preview (Wed 21st June)

Day Two at Royal Ascot ,with the feature race the group one Prince Of Wales stakes ,though going concentrate on one supporting races the G3 Jersey Stakes at 2.30

20 Runners declared for G3 Jersey Stakes at 2.30 on ground described as Good/firm .The three main contenders are Daban ,Dream Castle & Le Brivido .

DABAN : Three-year-old Filly,winning 2 out 3 ,including winning the G3 Nell Gwyn at Newmarket in April ,though produced career best effort last time when finishing an excellent 2 lengh third behind Winter in 1000 guineas.Should go well returning to this shorter trip.

DREAM CASTLE :Three-year-old colt,winning 1 out 3 ,also finished good second in G3 Greenham Stakes behind Barney Roy and finished fair fifth of 10 in 2000 guineas.That form has taken timely boost ,with Barney Roy and Lancaster Bomber finishing first & second in Tuesday's St James Palace Stakes.The return to 7 furlongs will also suit .

LE BRIVIDO : Three-year-old French colt , winning 2 out 3 ,including winning twice at Chantilly ,though ran his best race ,when finishing short head second in French 2000 Guineas at Deauville on soft ground .Looks interesting contender,though unproven on fast ground .

 VERDICT : Le Brivido will be popular after finishing close second in French 2000 guineas  ,though that was on soft ground,there has to be big question mark repeating that form on this  lightning quick ground .

DREAM CASTLE looks the one to beat returning to group three company, over this 7 furlong trip.The form of his 2L second to Barney Roy in Greenham stakes, and 3L fifth of 10 in 2000 Guineas looks very decent form at this level .Odds around 4-1 look solid value .

£40 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £80.00)

Monday, June 19, 2017

Royal Ascot Day One Preview (Tue 20th June )

Day One at Royal Ascot, with some fantastic racing over the next five days .Hopefully we can come out with profit over the week .Going concentrate on just the Coventry Stakes on Day One.

 18 Runners declared for G2 Coventry Stakes for two-year-old colts & geldings.This looks wide open contest the three main contenders look to be Brother Bear, De Bruyne Horse & Murillo  .

BROTHER BEAR : Unbeaten Irish Colt ,winning 2 out 2,including winning 6F listed race at Curragh last time on soft ground .Also won 6.5F Maiden at Leopartstown on fast ground.Looks progressive sort for Jessica Harrington stable .

DE BRUYNE HORSE : Won 2 out 3 .Showed big improvement on last two starts ,including bolting up 6F  Novice Stakes at Ripon by 7 Lenghs .Also won 6F Woodcote Stakes at Epsom on Derby day ,that looked decent form with the second (Card Sharp) winning well next time . Looks open to further improvement .

MURILLO : Won 1 out 2 ,very disappointing on debut ,when finishing last of 6 (Beaten 15L ) .Showed massive improvement last time ,winning 5F Maiden at Tipperary in good style .Looks open to plenty improvement for top connections .

VERDICT : DE BRUYNE HORSE looks fast improving sort ,having won his last two starts in good style .The Epsom race looked strong two-year-old form ,with the second boosting the form next time .Odds around 7-1 look solid each-way value .


£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 13-2 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 5-1 LOSS £60.00)

Friday, June 16, 2017

2.55 York 1M Ganton Listed Stakes (Sat 18th June )

Not the best quality racing this weekend ,though that has to be expected with Royal Ascot only four days away .However we do have quite interesting 1 mile listed race at York .

9 runners declared for 1 mile Listed Ganton Stakes at York ,on ground described as Good/firm .The four main contenders look to be Gabrial ,Spark Plug ,Mondaliste & Thikriyaat . 

GABRIAL : Eight-year-old gelding ,winning 8 out 62 .Been in decent form this season ,finishing excellent second in both the G2 Bet365 Mile at Sandown & G3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom .Will be suited dropping into listed company ,though his best form has been on easier ground .

SPARK PLUG : Six-year-old gelding,winning 4 out 21 .Had some decent form last season ,including winning the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket in September .Also finished close second in 10F Listed Festival Stakes at Goodwood last time .Should be thereabouts , though the drop back to mile may not be ideal . 

 MONDIALISTE : Seven-year-old entire,winning 5 out 24 .Had some useful form last summer ,finishing second in 10F G2 Sky Bet Stakes at York in July & winning the 10F G1 Arlington Million in America in August .Not shown much on both starts this season ,though seems much better horse in summer months .Can't be ruled out returning to listed company .

THIKRIYAAT : Four-year-old gelding ,winning 4 out 7.Had some top class form last season ,including winning 1M G3 Thoroughbred Stakes at Goodwood.Also finished second in Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot ,behind the top class Ribchester .No show on last two starts ,though was suffering from fibrillating heart on final start last season ,and probably needed the race last time.Obvious claims on the pick last seasons form .

 VERDICT : THIKRIYAAT will need to bounce back to form, after two below par efforts ,though would take plenty of beating if reproducing the pick last seasons group and listed winning form.Had looked top class performer when landing the group three Thoroughbred Stakes at Glorious Goodwood .Looks worth small each-way bet at around 5-1 .

£30 EACH-WAY @  9-2 BET365 *
(THIRD SP 9-2 PROFIT +£3.75 )