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Friday, May 26, 2017

4.45 Curragh 1M Lanwades Stud Stakes G2 (Sat 27th May )
















After short break the blog returns on Saturday, for Irish Guineas weekend Festival at Curragh ,with the highlight the Irish 2000 Guineas at 4.10 ,though it looks like Churchill has scared off all the opposition ,with disappointing turn out with only 6 runners . 

For the  blogs best bet,we are going concentrate on one the main supporting races at Curragh.The 1 mile Lanwades Stud Stakes at 4.45 .

5 runners declared for 1 mile fillies & mares G2 contest .The three main contenders are Opal Tiara ,Raymonda & Turret Rocks .

OPAL TIARA : Four-year-old filly ,winning 5 out 19 .Been in good form in 2017 ,winning the 9F G2 Balachine Stakes at Meydan in February.Also finished creditable fourth in Bet365 mile at Sandown last time .Should go well returning to fillies & mares company  .

RAYMONDA : Four-year-old filly ,lightly raced sort ,winning 2 out 4 .Finished creditable second in G3 Amethyst Stakes at Leopardstown on seasonal reappearance earlier this month.Just getting touched off by Custom Cut .Looks open to plenty improvement this season .

TURRET ROCKS : Four-year-old filly ,winning 3 out 11 . Bounced back to form winning the 10 furlong G3 Blue Wind Stakes at Curragh last time. Had some useful form as two-year-old ,including winning G2 May Hill Stakes .Should be thereabouts ,though the drop back in trip, may not be ideal .

VERDICT :  OPAL TIARA looks over priced at 9-2,being 2LB clear on official ratings .Has shown some useful form this season ,including winning in G2 company at Meydan .Lost nothing in defeat last time,when finishing staying on 2L fourth in group two Bet365 Mile at Sandown,against male rivals .Should go well back in this fillies and mares race .
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OPAL TIARA 4.45  CURRAGH 
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 CORALS
(SECOND SP 5-2JF PROFIT +£5.00 ) 
 

Tuesday, May 09, 2017

7.25 Chelmsford 7F Class 2 Handicap (86-100) (Wed 10th May)

After bit of disappointing weekend at Newmarket,with two seconds.On Wednesday we are back on All Weather for interesting class two handicap at Chelmsford .

9 runners declared for 7 furlong class two handicap on poly track at Chelmsford .Not bad looking (86-100 )handicap .The three main contenders look to be That Is The Spirit ,Viscount Barfield &  Mount Tahan .

THAT IS THE SPIRIT :Six-year-old Gelding ,winning 6 out 21 (1 out 2 on All Weather ) Decent front runner on his day .Returned to form last time ,winning class three handicap over C&D at Chelmsford  13 days ago .Up 4lb in the weights,though still fairly handicapped off mark 99.

VISCOUNT BARFIELD : Four-year-old gelding,winning 3 out 13 (1 out 5 on All Weather ) Looked improving sort last season ,winning three times in handicap company .Finished fair 2L fourth of 13, behind That Is The Spirit over C&D ,staying on well from off the pace .Should go well off 1lb lower mark .

MOUNT TAHAN : Five-year-old gelding ,winning 3 out 21 .Consistent sort ,won class 4 handicap at Beverley in August .Seem show improved form in 7 furlong conditions race at Thirsk last time ,when facing stiff task at the weights .Should go well off the same mark ,though not raced on All Weather since June 2015 .

VERDICT : VISCOUNT BARFIELD should go well ,after finishing promising fourth over  C&D last time (stayed on nicely from well off the pace). Can reverse earlier form with That Is The Spirit on 5lb better terms .Odds around 5-1 look solid each-way value .

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 VISCOUNT BARFIELD 7.25 CHELMSFORD 
 £30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365* 
(UNPLACED SP 11-4F LOSS £60.00)

Friday, May 05, 2017

Newmarket Guineas Festival











On Saturday we have the start of the two day Guineas Festival at Newmarket . I will be traveling down early Saturday morning, for two fantastic days racing on Rowley Mile course . 

Plenty decent races over the two days ,though going concentrate on three races . 2000 Guineas ,Dahlia Stakes & 1000 Guineas 

10 Runners declared for 2000 Guineas over the straight Mile at Newmarket on ground described as Good/firm .The three main contenders are Barney Roy , Churchill & Eminent .

BARNEY ROY : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 2 out 2 .Made impressive debut last season winning 1 mile maiden at Haydock in September .Looked top class prospect ,when winning the G3 Greenham Stakes at Newbury last month ,in very fast time.Should go well ,with the return to mile sure to suit .

CHURCHILL : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt , winning 5 out 6 .Champion two-year-old last season , including winning G1 Dewhurst at Newmarket in October.Should be suited by this longer trip ,on seasonal reappearance . Obvious claims for top connections .

EMINENT : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 2 out 2 over C&D at Newmarket,including winning the G3 Craven Stakes in good style ,in very fast time .Looks open to plenty improvement after two starts .Should be thereabouts ,each-way claims .

VERDICT : Churchill is sure be popular for A.P O'BRIEN stable, going for eighth victory in the race ,though odds around 5-4 look no value ,for horse making his seasonal reappearance in hot looking race .

At the prices BARNEY BOY looks solid each-way value .Looked very useful sort ,when winning the Greenham Stakes in good style .That looks very decent form ,beating the 109 rated Zainhom by 6 lenghs .Will be suited returning to this longer trip .Odds around 9-2 look good value .


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9 Runners declared for 1M 1F group two Fillies & Mares Dahlia Stakes on Sunday at Newmarket .The three main contenders are Muffri'Ha ,Nezwaah & Somehow .

MUFFRI' HA : 5-Y-0 Mare,winning 5 out 23.Had some useful form in 2016,including winning the G3 Darley Stakes over C&D at Newmarket in October.Been in decent form this season at Meydan,finishing placed three times in group company,including finishing close 3RD in G1 Jebel Hatta .Should go well ,returning to Newmarket .

NEZWAAH : 4-Y-0 Filly,winning 3 out 7 last season,including winning Listed race at Newcastle in June .Also finished good 2ND behind the useful So Mi Dar at Yarmouth in September .Disappointed on both starts in group company ,though can't be totally ruled out.

SOMEHOW : 4-Y-0 Filly ,winning 4 out 9 .Had some useful form over last two seasons ,including winning G3 Snow Fairy stakes at Curragh by 7 lenghs .Also made winning reappearance in 9F listed Stakes at Gowan Park last week .Should go well ,if handling this faster ground .

VERDICT : MUFFRI'HA should go well returning to Newmarket over C&D .Lost nothing in defeat when only beaten half-lengh in G1 Jebel Hatta behind Decorated Hero in March and found the 7 furlongs at All Weather championships too short last time .Can return to winning ways over this more suitable trip .Odds around 4-1 look decent each-way value .

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14 Runners Declared for 1000 Guineas for three-year-old Filly's on Sunday at 3.35 .The three main contenders are Daban , Rhododendron & Winter .

DABAN : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly ,unbeaten in two starts over 7F ,including winning the Nell Gwyn at Newmarket last time .Showed good turn foot in closing stages, to win with bit in hand .Will need to show more improvement over this longer trip ,though should be thereabouts .

RHODODENDRON : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 3 out 5 .Had some useful form last season ,including winning G1 fillies Mile over C&D at Newmarket in October .Looked impressive stepping up to mile for first time . Should go well with ideal conditions .

WINTER : 3-Y-0 Bay filly ,winning 1 out 4 .Made promising reappearance,finishing close 2ND in G3 1000 Guineas trial at Leopardstown ,behind stablemate Hydrangea .Looks open to improvement over this trip .Each-way claims .

VERDICT : RHODODENDRON stands out on form ,after being impressive winner of Fillies Mile over C&D at Newmarket last Autumn .Looked to relish the longer trip on fast ground .Should be difficult to beat with ideal conditions .Odds around 2-1 look solid value .
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NEWMARKET GUINEAS FESTIVAL BETS :

BARNEY ROY 3.35 NEWMARKET (SATURDAY )
£40 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BETFRED  
(SECOND SP 7-2 PROFIT £5.00)

MUFFRI'HA 2.20 NEWMARKET (SUNDAY )
£40 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK*
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £80.00)

RHODODENDRON 3.35 NEWMARKET (SUNDAY )
£100.00 WIN @ 2-1 BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK
(SECOND SP 5-4F LOSS £100.00)

TOTAL LOSS £175.00

Tuesday, May 02, 2017

4.20 Ascot 8F Paradise Listed Stakes (Wed 3rd May )
















After slow start to the year ,the bets are now back in top form,with April being very decent month (6 Winners) from (10 Bets) (5-1) (4-1*) (8-1) (15-8) (6-1) (4-1) for £894 profit on the month .

Full Results for first 4 Months (23 Bets ) (8 Winners ) 
(Staked £1590 ) (Return £2324) (Profit +£734.00) (ROI +46.17 )  

Moving on to Wednesday ,we have good quality midweek card from Ascot,featuring the G3 Sagaro Stakes & G3 Pavilion Stakes .However for blogs best bet, we going concentrate on one the supporting races the  Paradise Listed Stakes at 4.20 .

7 Runners declared for Paradise Listed stakes over the straight mile,on ground described as good/firm .This looks good quality listed contest .The three main contenders look to be ENNAADD , FIRMAMENT & MONDIALISTE .

ENNAADD : Four-year-old Colt ,winning 4 out 7 .Useful sort on All weather ,winning four times ,including winning Hyde listed Stakes in November .Finished fair 2L fourth of 12 on seasonal reappearance in Mile All Weather Championships at Lingfield in March ,behind the useful Sovereign Dept .Unproven on turf and has 3lb penalty ,though has some big G1 entries .Interesting contender .

FIRMAMENT : Five-year-old gelding ,winning 4 out 19 ,showed progressive form last season ,including winning 3 handicaps over mile .Also finished creditable third in Balmoral Handicap over C&D at Ascot,off mark 108 .Takes step up in class on seasonal reappearance ,though can't be ruled out .

MONDIALISTE: Seven-year-old entire ,winning 5 out  24 .Shown some useful form over last two seasons , including winning the G1 Arlington Million at Woodbine in August .Also finished creditable 2ND in G2 York stakes ,behind Time Test.No show at Meydan in G1 Dubai Turf last month ,though obvious claims returning listed company .


VERDICT : MONDIALISTE needs to bounce back after disappointing effort at Meydan last time ,though is proven winner in group one company in North America ,including winning Arlington million last season.Will be suited by this big drop in class .Odds around 7-2 look good  value .
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MONDIALISTE 4.20 ASCOT 
£60.00 WIN @ 7-2 PADDY POWER *
(UNPLACED SP 7-2 LOSS -£60.00)


Friday, April 28, 2017

3.55 Ripon 2 mile (86-105 ) Class two Handicap (Sat 29th Apr )

Plenty of racing on Saturday with five flat meetings,though very low on quality with only one listed race .However we do have interesting little class 2 staying handicap at Ripon .

8 runners declared for 2 mile (86-105) class two handicap at Ripon .Not bad looking staying handicap .The three main contenders are Good Run , My Reward & Gabrial's King .

GOOD RUN : Four-year-old gelding,winning 3 out 7,including winning 2 mile class three handicap at Newcastle in November ,off mark 91.Also won twice on turf as two-year-old.No show over 1M 4F at Newcastle last time,though will be suited returning to this longer trip .Should be thereabouts ,though racing off career high mark 99 .

MY REWARD : Five-year-old gelding ,winning 3 out 18 ,including winning 2 mile class two handicap at Haydock last season,off mark 93 .Also finished good 2ND in this race last year .Should improve for first run of season ,looks well handicapped off 3lb lower mark .Solid  claims .

GABRIAL'S KING : Eight -year-old gelding,winning 10 out 64 .Returned to form last week,winning 1M 4F class 3 handicap at Thirsk,off mark 86 .Also finished 3RD in this race last year .Races off 3lb higher mark ,though still looks fairly handicapped off mark 89 .Stays 2 miles ,though probably better over shorter .

VERDICT : MY REWARD will need to improve for seasonal reappearance,though now looks on decent mark (3lb lower) ,having won class two handicap off 4LB higher mark last season at Haydock.Also finished good 2ND in this race last year, in stronger looking contest.Odds around 5-1 look solid each-way value .

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MY REWARD 3.55 RIPON 
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365 *  
(WINNER SP 5-1 PROFIT £180.00 )