Friday, August 26, 2016

3.10 Five Furlong Beverley Bullet (Listed Stakes ) Sat 27th Aug

Some interesting racing on Saturday ,with seven class one races, up and down the country . Going concentrate on the 5F Beverley Bullet listed stakes .

10 runners declared for Beverley Bullet Sprint stakes on ground described as Good/firm .The three main contenders are Line Of Reason , Maarek & Muthmir .

LINE OF REASON : Decent 6-Y-0 Gelding , winning 8 out 45 ,including winning conditions race over C&D in June at Beverley .Finished fair 4TH of  20 in competitive handicap at York last time .Also finished good 2ND in this race last year .Should be thereabouts ,each-way claims 

MAAREK : Been useful sprinter over the years ,winning 13 out 59 ,including winning this race last year .Has struggled this season ,though did finish creditable 4TH in G2 Greenlands Stakes at Curragh in May .Looks on the down grade at the age nine , though can't be ruled out having won this race last year . 

MUTHMIR : High class 6-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 out 19 ,including winning two G2 races last season . Not been as good this season ,though did finish good 3RD in City Walls Stakes at York last month .Also finished fair sixth of 17 in G2 King George Stakes at Goodwood last time . Should go well , dropping back in class.

VERDICT : MUTHMIR looks the one to beat returning to listed company . Had some useful form last season in group company, though hasn't looked quite as good this season .Looks more than capable of winning in this grade . Odds around 3-1 look solid value ,in not the strongest looking listed contest .

£80.00 WIN @ 3-1 SKYBET*
(THIRD SP 2-1F LOSS £80.00)

Friday, August 19, 2016

2.15 York 1M 200YDS Strensall Stakes G3 (Sat 20th Aug )

Another very busy Saturday ,with total nine meetings in UK & Ireland,including seven stakes races . Going concentrate on the 9F group 3 Strensall stakes at York 2.15 .

10 runners declared for quality looking G3 three contest over 9 furlongs at York ,on ground described as good .The three main contenders are Custom Cut , Scottish & Diploma .

CUSTOM CUT : Decent 7-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 12 out 51 ,including winning two G2 races last season .Also won this race back in 2014 .Not looked quite as good this season ,though did go close in G3 Diomed stakes at Epsom in June .Will be suited by any rain .

SCOTTISH : Consistent 4-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 3 out 10 ,including winning two listed races .Finished creditable 2ND in Rose Of Lancashire stakes last time ,behind Royal Artillery .Should go well ,though is 0 out 4 in group company .

DIPLOMA : Improving 3-Y-0 filly ,winning 3 out 6 ,including bolting up in 10F Lyric listed stakes at York last time ,that form has been boosted with the 2ND Fireglow winning listed race next time .Up in class ,though looks an improving filly from top connections .

VERDICT : DIPLOMA looks solid here ,after winning decent listed race last time here at York .Looks open to plenty improvement for inform Sir Michael Stoute stable .The drop back in trip shouldn't be problem ,having won over 7 furlongs . Receiving plenty weight of her main rivals .Odds around 4-1 good fair value .

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365
(UNPLACED SP 11-4 LOSS £100.00)

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

6.50 Killarney 1M Vincent O' Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed Race ) Wed 17th Aug

On Wednesday we see the start of York's big four day Ebor meeting ,though for the blogs best bet on Wednesday we are going to Ireland, for decent looking 1 mile listed race at Killarney's evening card .

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11 runners declared for the Vincent O 'Brien Ruby Listed Stakes at 6.50 ,on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Assume , Air Vice Marshal & General Macarthur .

ASSUME : Consistent 4-Y-0 Filly ,winning 1 out 5 ,including winning maiden over C&D at Killarney on Debut last season .Been in good form recently,finishing excellent 2ND over C&D in Cairn Rouge listed stakes, finishing close 2ND behind the useful Creggs Pipes.Also finished fair third last time in 9F listed race at Gowran Park . Should go well, with conditions to suit . 

AIR VICE MARSHAL : Decent 3-Y-0 colt , winning 1 out 5 .Showed some useful form last season, finishing good second in G2 Superlative Stakes at Newmarket ,also finished creditable 4TH in 2000 Guineas at Newmarket in April .Bit disappointing last time in Irish 2000 guineas ,though will be suited by this drop in class .

GENERAL MACARTHUR : Inconsistent sort ,though more than capable on his day .Winning 2 out 9 , including winning 1 mile conditions race at Navan in June ,also finished fair 2ND in 1 mile conditions at Naas last month.No show in G3 Desmond Stakes at Leopardstown last time,though this looks an easier race .

VERDICT : Air Vice Marshal is 9LB clear on official ratings ,and looks the one to beat on his fourth in 2000 Guineas at Newmarket , this looks far easier race ,though will need to bounce back after poor run last time.Odds around 6-4, look short enough for horse that has only won in maiden company .

At the prices ASSUME looks the each-way value , having put in two solid efforts in this grade recently .Goes well here at Killarney ,having won  maiden over C&D on debut, and only been beaten neck in listed company last month .Odds around 9-2 look decent each-way value . 

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BETVICTOR*
(UNPLACED SP 7-4F LOSS £100.00)

Saturday, August 13, 2016

3.45 Pontefract 6F Flying Fillies Stakes (Listed Stakes ) Sun 14th Aug

Nice to hit the board in August ,after couple near misses,with Mrs Deavers winning the five furlong listed race at Newbury in good style,making that four wins in row .For nice £210.00 profit on the day .

Moving on to Sunday,we have decent looking 6 furlong fillies listed race at Pontefract.10 runners declared for Flying Fillies stakes on ground described as Good .The three main contenders are Ridge Runner , La Rioja & Priceless .

RIDGE RUNNER : Decent 5-Y-0 Mare ,winning 6 out 18 .Been in decent form this season ,winning 6F Listed race at Nottingham in May & G3 Summer Stakes at York in July .Finished fair 7th of 27 in Stewards Cup at Glorious Goodwood under 9 stone 10 last time .Fair claims on form,though won't be easy task under 7LB group three penalty .

LA RIOJA :Useful 2-Y-0 last season ,winning 2 out 3 ,including bolting up in 6F Dick Poole G3 stakes at Salisbury in September.Not looked quite as good so far this season ,however did finish creditable 4TH in G1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot .Will be suited by this drop in class, with Henry Candy stable back in good form.

PRICELESS :Improving sort , though only win came in maiden at Haydock on debut last season .Finished good 2ND on last two starts in competitive class two handicaps at Newmarket ,including finishing head behind Mount Kiara last time ,off mark 98 .Should be thereabouts ,though has been well beaten on both starts in listed company.

VERDICT : LA RIOJA will be suited by this stiffer track, and can reverse York form with Ridge Runner on 5LB better terms.She had some useful form last season as two year old ,including winning in G3 company .Looks more than capable taking this listed contest .


(THIRD SP 11-4F LOSS £60.00 ) 

Thursday, August 11, 2016

3.55 Newbury 5F St Hugh's 2-Y-0 Fillies Stakes (Listed Race ) Fri 12th Aug

On Friday we are back at Newbury ,for decent looking two year old fillies listed contest at 3.55.

11 runners declared for the St Hugh's Fillies Stakes for two year olds ,on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Dainty Dandy ,Mrs Danvers & Rajar .  

DAINTY DANDY : Won on debut at Doncaster in June for David O' Meara.Subsequently changed hands for £200,000 at Goff sales .Showed improved form last time, for new trainer Paul Cole,finishing good third in the G3 Juddmonte Stakes at Ascot .The drop back to 5 furlongs should suit .

MRS DANVERS : Unbeaten filly ,winning 3 out 3  .Showing progressive form,winning all three starts over 5 furlongs in good style,including winning the valuable 23 runner Super Sprint over C&D last time at Newbury.Should go well in this listed contest .

RAJAR :Fast Improving sort ,winning her last three starts over 6 furlongs ,including winning competitive class two Nursery handicap at Newmarket last time ,off mark 82 .Seem to win with plenty in hand.Looks open to more improvement ,though the drop back in trip may not suit .

VERDICT : MRS DANVERS seems very progressive filly, and looks the one beat after winning the Super Sprint over C&D at Newbury last month.She looks real five furlong specialist ,and seems to handle any ground .Odds around 7-2 look decent value .

Rajar is improving with every start ,and looks the main danger ,though this shorter trip has to be concern ,with all three wins coming over 6 furlongs .

£60 WIN @ 7-2 BET365 & CORALS 
(WINNER SP 5-2F PROFIT +£210.00)