Wednesday, September 20, 2017

3.50 Yarmouth 1M 2F John Musker (Listed Stakes) (Wed 20th Sep)

On Wednesday we back on home soil, at my local track (Great Yarmouth) for there feature race of the season the £40,000 John Musker fillies listed stakes at 3.50 

12 runners declared for 1M 2F John Musker listed Stakes on ground described as soft .This looks competitive fillies & mares listed contest.The three main contenders look to be Beautiful Morning , High Hopes & Titi Makfi

BEAUTIFUL MORNING :4-Y-0 Bay filly,winning 1 out 9.Formerly trained by Luca Cumani, winning 7F maiden at York in 2015 .Has shown some decent form since switching to Jessica Harrington stable ,including finishing good 2ND in G2 Blandford stakes at Curragh  earlier this month .Will be suited returning to this lower grade .

HIGH HOPES : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 3 out 9 .Shown progressive form this season,including winning class 3 handicap at Beverley off mark 89 in June ,though produced a career best effort last time ,when finishing good 1L second in 1M 2F listed race at Salisbury last time .Should be thereabouts , though the stable struggling for winners 0-31 in September . 

TITI MAKFI : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 5 out 9 .Been in great form this season, already winning five handicaps,including winning 1M class three handicap at Newmarket in August .Also finished good 2ND in competitive class two handicap at York last time ,off mark 97 .Races in listed company for first time ,though looks open to further improvement over this trip.

VERDICT :  Irish raider BEAUTIFUL MORNING sets decent standard ,after finishing fine second in group two Blandford Stakes on Irish Champions Weekend, 10 days ago .Will be suited returning to listed company .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .

Titi Makfi looks the main danger, after showing progressive form this season ,already winning five handicaps ,looks open to further improvement over 1M 2F ,though odds around 9-4 look short enough for horse taking step up in class .
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETVICTOR*
(WINNER SP 9-4F PROFIT +£192.00) 

Monday, September 18, 2017

4.35 Galway 1M 4F Oyster Stakes (Listed Race ) (Tue 19th Sep)

On Tuesday we back in Ireland for the day's feature race, the 1M 4F Oyster Listed Stakes at 4.35 .

12 runners declared for 50,000 guaranteed. 1M 4F Oyster Stakes, on ground described as soft (heavy in places ) . Not the strongest looking listed race ,though still an interesting contest .The three main contenders are Airlie Beach , Red Stars & Pearl Of The West .

AIRLIE BEACH : 7-Y-0 Bay mare , winning 1 out 2 on flat ,though is useful (144) rated hurdler (winning 6 races ) Won 2 mile maiden at Tramore last time in good style ,though that was very weak race .Not easy to weigh up over this shorter distance ,though looks interesting contender for Willie Mullins stable .

RED STARS : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Filly ,winning 2 out 11 ,including winning 1M 4F listed race at Roscommon last season on heavy ground , not shown much this season in group company ,though will be suited returning listed company on testing ground .2LB clear on official ratings

PEARL OF THE WEST : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 2 out 8 ,shown progressive form this season,including bolting up in handicap over C&D at Galway in July .Also finished creditable 2ND in decent looking handicap at Curragh last time .Looks open to improvement .Each-way claims .

VERDICT : RED STARS will need to bounce back to form,after two below par efforts in group company this season,though the only listed winner in the field, sets decent standard on the pick of last seasons form .The return to Listed company on testing ground looks sure to suit .Odds around 5-1 look solid value.
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 PADDY POWER* 
(THIRD SP 11-2 PROFIT £3.00)

Thursday, September 14, 2017

3.35 Doncaster 2M 2F Doncaster Cup G2 (Fri 15th Sep )

On Friday we have day three of the St Leger Festival ,with the feature race the group two Doncaster Cup at 3.35. 

9 runners declared for the £100,000 Doncaster Cup over 2M 2F ,on ground described as soft . This looks decent staying group two contest .The three main contenders look to be Sheikzayedroad , Thomas Hobson & Desert Skyline .

SHEIKZAYEDROAD : 8-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 11 out 41 ,including winning this race last year over C&D .Has shown some creditable form this season without winning ,including finishing fair 4TH in Lonsdale Cup last time .Will be suited returning to this C&D ,though the stable are struggling for winners ( 0 out 29) in September .

THOMAS HOBSON : 7-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 out 10 on the flat , including bolting up by 6L in 2M 4F Ascot Stakes in June ,off mark 100 .Also finished fair 2ND in Queen Alexander over 2M 5F at Ascot .Bit disappointing in Lonsdale Cup ,though raced very freely that day .Obvious claims if returning to Royal Ascot form,with Ryan Moore back in the plate  .

DESERT SKYLINE : 3-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 2 out 9.Been in decent form this season without winning ,including  finishing creditable 3RD in G1 Goodwood Cup in August .Also finished good 2ND in 1M 7F group two contest in France last time .Unproven over this longer trip ,though is lightly raced over staying trips .

VERDICT : THOMAS HOBSON should go well returning to this longer trip ,having looked very impressive when winning Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot under Ryan Moore back in June .Can be forgiven for poor run in Lonsdale Cup last time ,having raced far too freely .Odds around 6-1 look solid E/W value with Stan James .

£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 STAN JAMES 
(SECOND SP 4-1 PROFIT +£6.00)

Friday, September 01, 2017

3.00 Sandown 1M Atalanta Stakes G3 Fillies & Mares (Sat 2nd Sep)


The blog returns after three week summer break ,for decent looking card at Sandown Park on Saturday, with the feature race the £65,000 added group three Atalanta Stakes for Fillies & Mares .

13 runners declared for 1 mile Atalanta Stakes At Sandown .This looks quite competitive group three contest on ground described as good/soft .The three main contenders on official ratings are Aljazzi , Intimation & Nathra .

ALJAZZI : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 3 out 9 ,including winning two listed races over 1 mile at Haydock & Kempton,though produced a career best effort last time,finishing excellent second in group two Duke Of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot ,behind the useful French filly Qemah .Obvious claims on that form and drying ground will suit .

INTIMATION : 5-Y-0 Bay Mare,winning 3 out 10 ,including winning 1 mile listed race at Naas last October .Been in decent form this season,including finishing creditable second to Rain Goddess in 9F G3 contest at Curragh 6 days ago ,looked unlucky after suffering trouble in running.Should go well if this race doesn't come too quick .

NATHRA : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 3 out 10.Had some useful form as three-year-old ,including winning G3  Nell Gywn stakes at Newmarket & finishing good 2ND in French 1000 guineas at Deauville.Returned to form last time,finishing staying on 3RD in G2 Hungerford Stakes at Newbury .Should be thereabouts ,though best form on softer ground .

 VERDICT : Aljazzi is 4LB clear on official ratings,after finishing 2ND in Duke Of Cambridge stakes at Royal Ascot, would be difficult to beat if reproducing that form,though was 40/1 chance that day ,and still yet to win in group company (0 out 5)

At the prices INTIMATION looks the each-way value,after finishing unlucky half-lengh second in similar race at the Curragh last time behind Rain Goddess,finding plenty trouble in running.Looks typical improving older horse for the Sir Michael Stoute stable .Odds around 9/2 look solid value, with Paddy Power paying 4 places .

(UNPLACED SP 11-4 LOSS £60.00)

Tuesday, August 08, 2017

7.30 Cork 1M 4F Give Thanks Stakes (G3) Tue 8th Aug

On Tuesday evening we are back in Ireland ,for good quality group three contest at Cork .10 runners declared for the Give Thanks Stakes for fillies & mares, over 1M 4F on ground described as Good .

The three main contenders on official ratings are Flying Fairies , Glamorous Approach & Eziyra .

FLYING FAIRIES : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 4 out 17. Has shown improved form since stepping up in trip ,including winning 11.5F Listed contest at Roscommon last time .That looked decent performance beating Glamorous Approach comfortably,having suffered trouble in running .Looks open to further improvement over this trip .

GLAMOROUS APPROACH : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Filly ,winning 4 out 16.Has been in good form this season winning twice at Curragh ,including winning 10 furlong listed race .Also finished creditable second in 11.5F listed contest at Roscommon last time .Should be thereabouts,each-way claims .

EZIYRA : 3-Y-0 Chestnut Filly,winning 2 out 6 .Had some useful form as two-year-old ,including winning the 7 furlong G3 Weld Park Stakes at Curragh .Has also shown some fair form this season ,including finishing creditable 7L third in Irish Oaks,behind the useful Enable .Should go well in this easier looking G3 contest .

VERDICT : Eziyra will be popular receiving plenty of weight off her main rivals,having chased home King George  winner Enable over this trip in Irish Oaks,however was soundly beaten in listed company in June .Has to be respected ,though Odds around 7/4 look poor value . 

The progressive FLYING FAIRIES should go well,after producing a career best effort at Roscommon last time,coming from off the pace to win decisively, in decent looking listed contest. Looks open to further improvement returning to 1M 4F.Odds around 13/2 look fair each-way value . 

(UNPLACED SP 7-1 LOSS £60.00 )