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Thursday, December 08, 2016

6.35 Dundalk 1 Mile (0-110) Handicap (FRI 9TH DEC)

On Friday evening we are off to Ireland for valuable 1 mile handicap on the poly track at Dundalk . 

12 runners declared for good quality 0-110 handicap at Dundalk .The four main contenders are Captain Joy , Chestnut Fire , Reckless Lad & He's Our Music .

CAPTAIN JOY : Useful 7-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 9 out 18 on the poly track ,including winning 7 times here at Dundalk . Won twice in 2016 ,including winning the All Weather 1 mile championship at Lingfield in March . The class act of the field ,though faces no easy task under 10 stone 3lb .

CHESTNUT FIRE : Progressive 4-Y-0 Gelding,has decent record on the poly track winning 3 out 5 ,including winning the last two starts in handicap company over C&D at Dundalk .Produced career best effort when beating Silver Wizard by 3 lenghs last time .Up 9LB in the weights,though looks open to plenty improvement . 

RECKLESS LAD :Fair record here at Dundalk,winning 5 out 25 ,also placed 9 times .Returned to form last time,finishing good second over C&D in 0-80 rated race .Up 3lb in the weights ,though still looks fairly treated off mark 83.Each-way claims .

HE'S OUR MUSIC : Decent strike rate here at Dundalk , winning 8 out 26 , also placed 10 times .Been in decent form this Autumn / Winter ,winning three claimers at Dundalk .Looks fairly treated off mark 80 ,returning to handicap company . Each-way claims ,though best form over further .

VERDICT : Chestnut Fire will be popular ,after bolting up over C&D last time at Dundalk,still looks open to plenty improvement on the poly track . However has to defy 9LB higher mark and odds around 5-2 look short enough .

RECKLESS LAD should go well at decent odds .Looked to be running into form,after two placed efforts recently.Has decent record at Dundalk,winning three times over C&D .Looks fairly treated off mark 83, with decent claimer also taking off 5LB  ,Odds around 9-1 look good e-w value .

RECKLESS LAD 6.35 DUNDALK
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-1 BET365 *
(FOURTH SP 7-1 LOSS £60.00)

5.55 Chelmsford 1M 0-105 class two Handicap (THU 8 DEC )

On Thursday evening ,we have good looking 1 mile class two handicap at Chelmsford, on the poly track at 5.55 .

12 runners declared for  1 mile 0-105 class two handicap .This looks high quality class two contest, featuring eight course winners.The four main contenders look to be Supersta , Pactolus , Chevallier & Qaffaal.

SUPERSTA : Progressive 5-Y-0 gelding ,winning 6 out 15 on All Weather .Goes particularly well here at Chelmsford ,winning 4 times over C&D ,including winning class two handicap over C&D in May ,off mark 93 .Also finished creditable fourth, in hot 7 furlong handicap at Chelmsford last time .Will be suited returning to this 1 mile trip, and looks fairly treated off mark 94.

PACTOLUS : Consistent sort , with decent strike rate on All Weather, winning 7 out 20 ,including winning 4 times at Chelmsford .Returned to form last time,winning class two handicap over C&D in good style .Races of career high mark (92) ,though should be thereabouts . 

CHEVALLIER :Consistent 5-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 times on turf .Yet to win on All Weather from 7 starts , though has been placed five times.Finished fair third over C&D at Chelmsford last time behind QAFFAL ,after finding trouble in running .Each-way claims .

QAFFAAL :Fast improving 5-Y-0 gelding.Been in great form this Autumn/winter, winning last three starts.Won in great style last time over C&D at Chelmsford in quick time .Up in class and races off 6LB higher mark ,though looks sure go well off bottom weight . 


VERDICT : SUPERSTA should go well in this competitive handicap ,after finishing creditable fourth in hot 7 furlong handicap at Chelmsford last time ,that looks strong form with both the Second & third from that race HE'S NO SAINT & VOLUNTEER POINT both winning next time .Will also be suited returning to this 1 mile trip .Odds around 6-1 look solid each-way value .

 SUPERSTA 5.55 CHELMSFORD 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 & SKYBET*
(UNPLACED SP 8-1 LOSS £100.00) 

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

1.40 Lingfield 10F Betway Conditions Race Class 2 (Wed 30th Nov)

On Wednesday we are back at Lingfield, for decent looking 10 furlong class two conditions race, on the poly track .

7 runners declared for the 10 furlong Betway conditions race on poly track at 1.40 .This looks quality condition race ,with three horses having BHA ratings in 100's .The three main contenders are Battalion , Master Of The World & Pinzolo .

BATTALION :Useful 6-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 6 out 25 for William Haggis .Changed hands for 70,000 gns at October Newmarket sales .Makes first start for trainer Jamie Osborne.Has decent record here at Lingfield (2 out 5) ,including winning this race last year.Also finished excellent 2ND last time in G3 Diamond Stakes at Dundalk in September .Solid claims dropping down in class .

MASTER OF THE WORLD :Decent 5-Y-0 Gelding,winning 3 out 33 ,though not won since June 2015 .Been in decent form recently,finishing good 3RD over C&D in Listed Churchill Stakes last time .Obvious claims on official ratings ,though on losing run of 15 races .

PINZOLO : Useful  sort back in 2014/15 for Charles Appleby ,including winning in listed company ,though hasn't looked as good this season on turf ,including last time on his first start for trainer Ismail Mohammed .Should do better returning to poly track , though his last victory came over 14 furlongs ,the drop back to 10 furlongs has be big question mark .

VERDICT : Last years winner BATTALION should go well on first start for Jamie Osborne.Finished excellent 2ND in group three Diamond Stakes at Dundalk last time ,behind the useful A O 'Brien trained Long Island Sound .Looks the one to beat ,dropping down in class .Odds around 3-1 look decent value .

Master Of The World looks obvious danger, after finishing creditable thirds on his last two starts in listed company.Also  being 4LB clear on official BHA ratings ,though struggles to win races , having been placed 13 times ,with only 4 victories from 33 starts .Odds around 2-1 look short enough .


BATTALION 1.40 LINGFIELD 
£80.00 WIN @ 3-1 CORALS*
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT £280.00)

Thursday, November 24, 2016

6.15 Wolverhampton 7F Fillies Condition Stakes

On Friday evening, we have good looking 7 furlong fillies fast track qualifier at Wolverhampton .

7 runners declared for class two 7 furlong fillies condition race .The three main contenders look to be Golden Amber , Volunteer Point & Squash .

GOLDEN AMBER : Consistent 5-Y-0 mare ,winning 2 out 15 on All Weather , also been placed 6 times .Returned to form last time,finishing creditable 2ND behind Chookie Royale in 7 furlong conditions race at Kempton.Should be thereabouts ,though hasn't won since September 2015 .

VOLUNTEER POINT : Useful 4-Y-0 Filly,winning 5 out 12 on All Weather,including winning Fillies & Mares championship at Lingfield in March.Returned to form last time ,finishing  3RD of 11 in decent class 2 handicap at Chelmsford ,off mark 94 .Should go well on her tapeta debut 

SQUASH : Inconsistent 3-Y-0 Filly ,only victory came in 6 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton ,though has shown some useful form in 2016 ,including finishing 2ND in group 3 Nell Gwyn at Newmarket .Solid claims on her best form ,though not the most reliable sort .

VERDICT : VOLUNTEER POINT returned to form last time at Chelmsford ,and looks the one to beat,being proven winner in this grade, including winning three class 2 condition races in 2016 .Also has good strike on All Weather 5 out 12 .Unraced on tapeta at Wolverhampton ,though seems to handle most artificial surfaces . Odds around 11-4 look fair value .

 
VOLUNTEER POINT 6.15 WOLVERHAMPTON
£80.00 WIN @ 11-4 SKYBET .BETVICTOR* 
(WINNER SP 15-8F PROFIT £220.00 ) 

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

7.25 Kempton 6F 32Red Casino 0-105 H'cap Class 2

After short break,the blog returns for the winter All Weather season.Hopefully we can get back on track,after poor run of results since August .Saying that the blog is still showing £1926 profit (20 winners from 64 bets ) (strike rate 31.25 %)( ROI 32.96% )

Moving on to Wednesday ,we have decent looking evening card from Kempton ,featuring the Wild Flower listed Stakes & 32Red Casino sprint handicap .For the blogs best bet, we will concentrate on the 32Red Casino 6F handicap at 7.25 .

12 runners declared for competitive class two sprint handicap .The three main contenders are Spring Loaded , Amazour & Boomerang Bob 

SPRING LOADED :Excellent record on poly track ,winning 7 out 11 ,including winning 4 times over C&D at KEMPTON .Not shown much on turf this season ,though has always looked All Weather specialist .Still looks fairly treated off mark 98 /

AMAZOUR : Improving sort ,winning 3 out 15 .Lightly raced on All Weather ,though won quality class two handicap at Newcastle in June ,off mark 92 .Also finished good 3RD over C&D in conditions race last time at Kempton ,behind the useful Lord Of The Land .Solid claims off same mark 96.

BOOMERANG BOB : Consistent sort , winning 4 out 18 on All Weather .Returned to form last time ,winning 6 furlong handicap at Chelmsford ,beating Doctor Sardonicus in tight finish .Races off 3LB higher mark,though should be thereabouts .

VERDICT : AMAZOUR should go well,having finished good third over C&D in better race at Kempton last time,would have also finished closer, having been hampered at the start.Still looks fairly treated off mark 96,returning to handicap company .Odds around 4-1 look solid value .

Spring Loaded looks the main danger, has an excellent strike rate on All Weather .though has to overcome very wide draw in stall 12 .

AMAZOUR 7.25 KEMPTON 
£40 E-WAY @ 9-2 BETVICTOR & WILLIAM HILL *
(FOURTH SP 10-3 LOSS £80.00 )