Friday, September 22, 2017

2.15 Newbury 1M 3F Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup (G3) (Sat 23rd Sep)

After Friday's 11-2 winner Tabarrak .We are back at Newbury again on Saturday, for quality looking card ,with the main interest the Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup at 2.15

11 runners declared for 1M 3F (Group 3)Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup, on ground described as Good (G/F) places .This looks quite competitive group 3 contest .The three main contenders look to be Fabricate , Desert Encounter & Second Step .

FABRICATE : 5-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 5 out 12 on turf .Been in good form this summer ,winning his last two starts ,including winning the group 3 Winter Hill Stakes at Windsor last time over 1M 2F .Looks open to further improvement ,though no easy task under 3lb penalty .

DESERT ENCOUNTER : 5-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 5 out 13 .Has shown some useful form this season ,including winning 1M 4F Listed race at  Ascot in May.Also finished excellent third in group 1 Coral Eclipse at Sandown in July.No show behind Enable in King George last time ,though will be suited returning to this lower grade.Stable still struggling for winners 0-34 in September .

SECOND STEP : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 7 out 22 .Returned to winning form this season ,including winning the listed August Stakes at Windsor last time .Also finished very good second behind Poet's Word in group 3 Superior Stakes at Goodwood last month . Goes well here at Newbury ,winning 2 out 3 (311) .Solid claims

VERDICT: Desert Encounter will have plenty of supporters,having finished good third in group one Coral Eclipse in July,behind the useful Ulysses,though didn't repeat that form last time in King George at Ascot.Respected on previous form,though stable struggling for winners.  

SECOND STEP  is very reliable sort in this grade .Has been in decent form this season (12213) ,including beating Desert Encounter in listed Tapster Stakes earlier in the season .Also goes particularly well here at Newbury ,winning 2 out 3 (311) .Can land his third race of the season .Odds around 4-1 look solid value . 
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365 
(SECOND SP 9-2F PROFIT £5.00 )

4.00 Newbury 7F Listed Stakes (Fri 22nd Sep)

Nice winner on Wednesday, with Irish Filly Beautiful Morning landing a gamble in feature race at Yarmouth 4-1 into 9-4 for nice £192.00 profit .

Moving on to Friday, we have decent looking seven furlong Listed race at Newbury.12 Runners declared for 7F Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship Cup Listed Stakes on ground described as Good (G/F Places) .The three main contenders look to be Tabarrak , Dream Of Dreams & Second Thought .

TABARRAK : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 3 out 10 .Been in decent form this season ,including winning 1 mile Listed race at Ascot in May , though  probably produced a career best effort last time ,finishing close 2ND behind the useful Ballet Concerto in G3 Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury.Races under 3lb penalty ,though will be suited returning to listed company .

DREAM OF DREAMS : 3-Y-0 Chestnut Colt ,winning 2 out 9.Had some decent form as 2-Y-0 for former trainer Kevin Ryan,finishing 2ND in listed Rockingham Stakes at York .Returned to form last week, on second start for Sir Michael Stoute,winning 7F condition race at Lingield.This looks much stronger race ,though looks open to further improvement over trip.

SECOND THOUGHT : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 4 out 6, unbeaten on All Weather ( 4 out 4) ,including winning listed race at Lingfield in March .Lightly raced on turf ,though finished staying on 2ND to the top class Harry's Angel in 6F G2 Sandy Lane stakes in May .The return to 7 furlongs should suit ,though has overcome 118 day absence .

VERDICT : Second Thought will be popular ,having chased home dual group one winner Harry's Angel at Haydock in May ,though there has to be concern having not raced for nearly four months, having got jarred up on the firm ground .Odds around 2-1 look short enough on fast ground  .

TABARRAK should go well having finished close second in group three company last time ,that form looks solid with the winner Ballet Concerto winning G3 Superior stakes next time at Haydock .The drop in class will suit ,having won in this grade at Ascot in May.Odds around 11-2 mark look very fair E/W value .
£30.00 EACH-WAY  @ 11-2 PADDY POWER *
(WINNER SP 5-1 PROFIT +£198.00)

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

3.50 Yarmouth 1M 2F John Musker (Listed Stakes) (Wed 20th Sep)

On Wednesday we back on home soil, at my local track (Great Yarmouth) for there feature race of the season the £40,000 John Musker fillies listed stakes at 3.50 

12 runners declared for 1M 2F John Musker listed Stakes on ground described as soft .This looks competitive fillies & mares listed contest.The three main contenders look to be Beautiful Morning , High Hopes & Titi Makfi

BEAUTIFUL MORNING :4-Y-0 Bay filly,winning 1 out 9.Formerly trained by Luca Cumani, winning 7F maiden at York in 2015 .Has shown some decent form since switching to Jessica Harrington stable ,including finishing good 2ND in G2 Blandford stakes at Curragh  earlier this month .Will be suited returning to this lower grade .

HIGH HOPES : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 3 out 9 .Shown progressive form this season,including winning class 3 handicap at Beverley off mark 89 in June ,though produced a career best effort last time ,when finishing good 1L second in 1M 2F listed race at Salisbury last time .Should be thereabouts , though the stable struggling for winners 0-31 in September . 

TITI MAKFI : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 5 out 9 .Been in great form this season, already winning five handicaps,including winning 1M class three handicap at Newmarket in August .Also finished good 2ND in competitive class two handicap at York last time ,off mark 97 .Races in listed company for first time ,though looks open to further improvement over this trip.

VERDICT :  Irish raider BEAUTIFUL MORNING sets decent standard ,after finishing fine second in group two Blandford Stakes on Irish Champions Weekend, 10 days ago .Will be suited returning to listed company .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .

Titi Makfi looks the main danger, after showing progressive form this season ,already winning five handicaps ,looks open to further improvement over 1M 2F ,though odds around 9-4 look short enough for horse taking step up in class .
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETVICTOR*
(WINNER SP 9-4F PROFIT +£192.00) 

Monday, September 18, 2017

4.35 Galway 1M 4F Oyster Stakes (Listed Race ) (Tue 19th Sep)

On Tuesday we back in Ireland for the day's feature race, the 1M 4F Oyster Listed Stakes at 4.35 .

12 runners declared for 50,000 guaranteed. 1M 4F Oyster Stakes, on ground described as soft (heavy in places ) . Not the strongest looking listed race ,though still an interesting contest .The three main contenders are Airlie Beach , Red Stars & Pearl Of The West .

AIRLIE BEACH : 7-Y-0 Bay mare , winning 1 out 2 on flat ,though is useful (144) rated hurdler (winning 6 races ) Won 2 mile maiden at Tramore last time in good style ,though that was very weak race .Not easy to weigh up over this shorter distance ,though looks interesting contender for Willie Mullins stable .

RED STARS : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Filly ,winning 2 out 11 ,including winning 1M 4F listed race at Roscommon last season on heavy ground , not shown much this season in group company ,though will be suited returning listed company on testing ground .2LB clear on official ratings

PEARL OF THE WEST : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 2 out 8 ,shown progressive form this season,including bolting up in handicap over C&D at Galway in July .Also finished creditable 2ND in decent looking handicap at Curragh last time .Looks open to improvement .Each-way claims .

VERDICT : RED STARS will need to bounce back to form,after two below par efforts in group company this season,though the only listed winner in the field, sets decent standard on the pick of last seasons form .The return to Listed company on testing ground looks sure to suit .Odds around 5-1 look solid value.
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 PADDY POWER* 
(THIRD SP 11-2 PROFIT £3.00)

Thursday, September 14, 2017

3.35 Doncaster 2M 2F Doncaster Cup G2 (Fri 15th Sep )

On Friday we have day three of the St Leger Festival ,with the feature race the group two Doncaster Cup at 3.35. 

9 runners declared for the £100,000 Doncaster Cup over 2M 2F ,on ground described as soft . This looks decent staying group two contest .The three main contenders look to be Sheikzayedroad , Thomas Hobson & Desert Skyline .

SHEIKZAYEDROAD : 8-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 11 out 41 ,including winning this race last year over C&D .Has shown some creditable form this season without winning ,including finishing fair 4TH in Lonsdale Cup last time .Will be suited returning to this C&D ,though the stable are struggling for winners ( 0 out 29) in September .

THOMAS HOBSON : 7-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 out 10 on the flat , including bolting up by 6L in 2M 4F Ascot Stakes in June ,off mark 100 .Also finished fair 2ND in Queen Alexander over 2M 5F at Ascot .Bit disappointing in Lonsdale Cup ,though raced very freely that day .Obvious claims if returning to Royal Ascot form,with Ryan Moore back in the plate  .

DESERT SKYLINE : 3-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 2 out 9.Been in decent form this season without winning ,including  finishing creditable 3RD in G1 Goodwood Cup in August .Also finished good 2ND in 1M 7F group two contest in France last time .Unproven over this longer trip ,though is lightly raced over staying trips .

VERDICT : THOMAS HOBSON should go well returning to this longer trip ,having looked very impressive when winning Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot under Ryan Moore back in June .Can be forgiven for poor run in Lonsdale Cup last time ,having raced far too freely .Odds around 6-1 look solid E/W value with Stan James .

£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 STAN JAMES 
(SECOND SP 4-1 PROFIT +£6.00)