Friday, October 20, 2017
On Saturday we have cracking card at Ascot .The 7th running of British Champions Day with over 4 million in prize money ,featuring four group one races.Going concentrate on the Big Sprint at 2.00
13 runners declared for Qipco Champions Sprint on ground described as soft .This looks high quality 6 furlong sprint .The three main contenders look to be The Tin Man ,Harry Angel & Quiet Reflection .
THE TIN MAN : 5-Y-0 Bay gelding ,winning 7 out 15 .Goes particularly well here at Ascot ,winning three times over C&D ,including winning this race last year .Finished fair third in Haydock sprint cup behind Harry Angel last time .Each-way claims returning to his favourite track .
HARRY ANGEL : 3-Y-0 Bay colt ,winning 4 out 7 .Shown some very useful form this season ,including winning the group one July Cup at Newmarket,though produced career best effort last time when winning the Sprint cup by impressive 4 lenghs at Haydock on heavy ground.Solid claims of landing his third group one race .
QUIET REFLECTION : 4-Y-0 Bay filly , winning 8 out 12 .Very Smart filly especially on soft ground .Had some useful form in 2016 ,including winning the group one Commonwealth Cup over C&D, also won the Sprint Cup at Haydock .Lightly raced this season ,though returned to form last time ,winning group three race in Ireland .Will be suited by testing ground conditions
VERDICT : Harry Angel is clearly the one to beat,after bolting up in the Sprint Cup at Haydock last time,though is likely to be taken on for lead here,with Aidan O Brien running two pace makers .Has to be respected ,though Odds around 5-4 look no value .
At the prices QUIET REFLECTION looks the each-way value ,being dual group one winner .Has an excellent record on good/soft or softer winning 6 out 7 (111151 ).Will also be suited by the likely strong pace.Odds around 7-1 look decent value .
QUIET REFLECTION 2.00 ASCOT
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-1 PADDY POWER
(UNPLACED SP 6-1 LOSS £60.00 )
Friday, October 13, 2017
After Friday's 6-1 winner Chain Of Daisies at Newmarket .On Saturday we are back in South of Ireland for interesting 1 mile Listed Race at Cork.
10 runners declared 1M Navigation Stakes at Cork on ground described as soft .Not bad looking listed contest .The three main contenders are Brendan Brackan ,Onenightidreamed & Pincheck .
BRENDAN BRACKAN : 8-Y-0 bay gelding,winning 9 out 37 on turf .Goes well here at Cork ,including winning this race for the last two years.Been in decent form this season winning the Irish Lincolnshire at Naas in March off mark 105 and the Glencairn Stakes at Leopardstown in June .No show in Platinum listed stakes last time at Cork,though obvious claims on previous form .
ONENIGHTIDREAMED : 6-Y-0 Chestnut gelding ,winning 5 out 12 .Had some useful form last season ,including winning the group three Big Bad Stakes at Curragh .Not looked quite as good this season ,though finished fair fifth of 10 in group three Concorde Stakes last time .Should be thereabouts returning to listed company .
PINCHECK : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 3 out 8 .Shown progressive form this season ,including winning 1M handicap in good style at Naas last time,off mark 92 .Takes step up in class ,though Looks open to further improvement .
VERDICT : BRENDAN BRACKAN will need to bounce back after poor run last time at Cork ,though has an excellent record in this grade, winning 4 times in listed company ,including winning this race for last two years .Goes particularly well on soft ground .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .
BRENDAN BRACKAN 3.20 CORK
£40 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 PADDY POWER
(WINNER SP 3-1F PROFIT
On Friday we are back at headquarters for Newmarket's two day Dubai future champions day festival .Going concentrate on one the supporting races the £40,000 Pride Listed Stakes at 5.20 .
13 Runners declared for 1M 2F Pride Stakes on ground described as good .Not bad looking fillies & mares listed contest .The three main contenders on official ratings are Architecture , Chain Of Daisies & Wilamina .
ARCHITECTURE : Four-year-old bay filly ,winning 1 out 9 .Shown some very useful form last season ,including finishing second in both English and Irish Oaks .Made promising seasonal reappearance ,finishing 1L fourth in group three Legacy Cup at Newbury last time .Obvious claims on the pick last seasons form,though only victory came in maiden two years ago .
CHAIN OF DAISIES : Five-year-old bay mare ,winning 6 out 16 ,including winning this race back in 2015 .Had some top class form in 2016 ,including winning group three Winter Hill Stakes at Windsor ,beating the useful Ulysses .Also finished fair third in this years Winter Hill stakes in August .Should go well returning to listed company .
WILAMINA : Four-year-old bay filly ,winning 2 out 9.Been in good form this season , including winning in listed race in May.Also finished creditable second in group two Kilboy Stakes at Curragh in July.Slightly disappointing when beaten over 10L in group three company last time in Ireland,though will be suited by this better ground .Each-way claims .
VERDICT : Architecture is sure be popular dropping down in class ,having finished second in two group one races last season.On official ratings looks the one to beat (5LB clear),though hasn't won since winning a maiden back in 2015.Also this shorter trip doesn't look ideal.Respected though odds around 15-8 look no value .
CHAIN OF DAISIES looks solid returning to listed company.Has proven record in this grade ,including winning this race back in 2015.Has been lightly raced in 2017,though there was little wrong with 2.5L third behind Fabricate in stronger race at Windsor last time.Odds around 6-1 look decent each-way value .
CHAIN OF DAISIES 5.20 NEWMARKET
£30 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 CORALS
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT £216.00)
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
The Breeders’ Cup is considered by many as the world championship of the sport, as horses from all over the globe flock to North American to take part in the two-day meeting. This year’s renewal takes place at Del Mar as the meeting returns to California, where it was held in 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2016 at Santa Anita on November 3 and 4. Here is a look at the best bets for the two days.
1M2F Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) (Sat 4th November)
The Breeders’ Cup Classic is the feature race of the meeting and a race that has produced so many great memories over the years. This time around, we are set to see the clash between Arrogate and Gun Runner for the very first time in what should be a fascinating contest.
ARROGATE: 4-Y-O Grey Colt, winning 7 out of 10. The defending champion started the year strongly with victory in the Pegasus World Cup back in January where he blew away a strong field at Gulfstream Park by over four lengths. Since then he has only won one of his three starts which suggests his form is not as strong as it was leading into the Breeders’ Cup Classic in 2016.
GUN RUNNER: 4-Y-O Chestnut Colt, winning 9 out of 16. As of 5th October, Gun Runner is the 7/4 odds with online sites to win the 2017 Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic as he has won his last three races, all at Grade One level in comfortable fashion. On his most recent run, the Woodward Stakes at Saratoga, he prevailed by 10 lengths. This will be his toughest test of his career but a win would help him earn the tag as the best dirt horse on the planet.
VERDICT: After the way Arrogate scored in this race in 2016 he is sure to have his supporters to become the first horse in 17 years to win this contest in back-to-back years. His form has to be a concern, though, as he was way below his best at Del Mar on his last two starts.
GUN RUNNER looks to be getting better with every run this season and as long as he brings his ‘A game’ to Del Mar he is surely the horse they all have to beat. This could be the first step of completing a treble with Pegasus World Cup and then Dubai World Cup at Meydan in March.
GUN RUNNER BREEDERS’ CUP CLASSIC
£50 WIN @ 7/4
1M4F Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) (Sat 4th November)
This race has been dominated by European horses in recent years as seven of the last nine winners have come from Europe. The betting for this year’s contest is also headed by horses from the UK and Ireland.
ULYSSES: 4-Y-O Chestnut Colt, winning 5 out of 13 turf races. Sir Michael Stoute’s runner has been one of the most consistent middle-distance runners in Europe this season. He has won three of his six starts, with Group One successes coming in the Eclipse Stakes at Sandown and the Juddmonte International at York. The concern going into this race is that it has been a long year for him as this is set to be his seventh start in what has been a tough campaign.
FRONTIERSMAN: 4-Y-O Brown Colt, winning 4 of his 12 turf races. As of 5th October, the Charlie Appleby-trained Frontiersman looks over-priced at 20/1 and at those odds you can use a staking strategy if you want to have more than one horse in the race. This four-year-old is very much capable of finishing in the frame at the very least at Del Mar. He won a Listed race at Newmarket on his latest start, while earlier in the year he was second in the Coronation Cup at Epson where he came home just over a length behind the 2016 Breeders’ Cup Turf winner Highland Reel.
VERDICT: Ulysses deserves to be at the top of the market for this contest as his form this year suggests he is the best horse in the race. The big concern though is that this contest may be one too many for him in 2017.
FRONTIERSMAN has run at the top for the last couple of years and has to be respected in this contest. He may well be staying on strongly in the closing stages so he looks cracking value as an each-way selection against the favourite.
FRONTIERSMAN BREEDERS’ CUP TURF
£30 EACH-WAY @ 20/1Good luck if you having a bet at the Breeders’ Cup meeting where are 13 races in total across the two days in California.
IMAGE SOURCE: Twitter
Saturday, October 07, 2017
On Saturday we are off to North Yorkshire, for Two-Year-old Trophy day at Redcar,though going concentrate on there main supporting race the £40,000 Guisborough Listed stakes.
9 Runners declared for the 7 furlong Guisborough Listed stakes at 3.55, on ground described as Good/soft . Not the strongest looking listed contest ,though still looks interesting race .The three main contenders are Jallota , Yattwee & Lahore .
JALLOTA :Six-year-old Bay gelding ,winning 5 out 48 .Been running consistently all season in group company without winning,including finishing placed in G2 Challenge Stakes at Newmarket & Bet365 Mile at Sandown.Also finished creditable third in G2 Joel Stakes at Newmarket last week .Solid claims dropping down in class .
YATTWEE:Four-year-old bay gelding ,winning 2 out 7,though only victory on turf came in 6 furlong class two handicap at Newmarket in May,off mark 96 .Returned to form on seasonal reappearance last time,finishing second in 7 furlong conditions race at Haydock .Looks open to further improvement,though was well beaten on only start in listed company .
LAHORE :Three-year-old bay colt ,winning 3 out 4.Shown progressive form this season ,including bolting up in 7 furlong class two handicap at Doncaster last time,off mark 86,though was well beaten in group three company at Deauville in August.Should find this listed race easier.
VERDICT : Lahore will have his supporters ,having won impressively in handicap company last time at Doncaster,the handicapper raising him 13lb for that performance.Looks open to further improvement after just 4 starts ,though up in class and makes little appeal at around 2-1 .
JALLOTA is 5lb clear on official BHA ratings.Has been running with credit in group races all season ,including finishing good third in group two Joel Stakes at Newmarket last week .Obvious claims with this drop in class .Odds around 7-2 look very fair value .
JALLOTA 3.55 REDCAR
£40 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT