Wednesday, January 16, 2019

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 40) Wed 16th Jan

2K to 10K Betting Challenge continues on Wednesday evening from Kempton Park .

The Betting bankroll stands at £2754 (+£754) after the French raider Amade landed gamble in 32Red handicap on 5th January 9-2 into 2-1.

Good start to the year ,with nice £270 profit .Stakes increase to £110.00.Moving on to Wednesday we have decent looking 7 furlong handicap from Kempton .

9 runners declared for class three (0-95) 7f handicap on polytrack at 7.00 .This looks quite a competitive little contest .The three main contenders look to be Eljaddaaf , Exchequer & Happy Escape .

ELJADDAAF : 8-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 9 out 31 on All Weather .Goes well here at Kempton,winning five times at the track ,including winning 6f class 3 handicap at Kempton in November off mark 93 .Also finished creditable third in 8f class two handicap at Lingfield last time .Will be suited returning to 7 furlongs at his favourite track .

EXCHEQUER : 8-Y-0 Chestnut Gelding ,winning 6 out 21 on All Weather .Been in great form this winter landing back to back handicaps at Kempton in good style,including winning 6f class three handicap last time at the track.Races off 6lb higher mark ,though has decent record at kempton .Interesting contender

HAPPY ESCAPE : 5-Y-0 Bay Mare,winning 3 out 13 on All Weather.All three victories coming here at Kempton over mile,including winning class three handicap earlier this month .Still looks fairly handicapped off 3lb higher mark .Should be thereabouts ,though has yet to win over this 7 furlong trip (0 out 5 )

VERDICT :Course Specialist ELJADDAAF should go well returning to Kempton ,after finishing creditable third in stronger race at Lingfield last time,that form looks solid with the fourth Tough Remedy winning C3 handicap next time at Newcastle.Still looks fairly handicapped off 95 ,having won off 2lb lower mark in Novermber.Odds around 5-1 look fair e-way value .


Saturday, January 05, 2019

2K to 10K Bettng Challenge (Bet No 39) Sat 5th Jan

2K to 10K Betting Challenge continues on Saturday evening at Kempton Park .

The betting bankroll stands at £2484 (+£484 ) as we start the second season.Stakes start at £100.00 with the bankroll £2484 divided into 25 units .

Moving on to Saturday we have decent looking class two staying handicap on poly track .

11 runners declared for class two  2 mile handicap at Kempton .This looks quite competitive staying handicap .The three main contenders look to be  Lord George ,Addicted To You & Amade .

LORD GEORGE : 6-Y-0 Grey Gelding ,winning 3 out 14 on All Weather ,including winning this race last year ,off 8lb lower mark .Also finished close second in All Weather Championship Marathon at Lingfield in April .Finished third of 7 in 12f class two handicap at Lingfield last time .Will be suited returning to this more suitable trip, though no easy task off mark 104 .

ADDICTED TO YOU : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Gelding ,winning 2 out 6 on All Weather .Bolted up in by 10 lenghs in 2 mile class 4 handicap at Chelmsford in May, off 10lb lower mark .Had excuses on two runs since ,including pulling up after stumbling badly in listed race in France in October .Should be suited returning to All Weather .

AMADE : 5-Y-0 French Bay Gelding ,winning 4 out 7 on poly track .Shown big improvement since stepping up in trip ,landing a hattrick over staying trips ,including winning 17f conditions race on polytrack at Deauville in November .Looks nicely treated off mark 92 ,having beaten the 90 rated Cayirli by 4L last time at Deauville .Interesting contender .

VERDICT : French raider AMADE should go well, after landing hattrick at Deauville in November .Not always easy to weigh up the French All Weather form ,though gave 6lb & 4L beating to the 90 rated Seamus Durack trained Cayirli in conditions race last time .Looks open to further improvement in staying races .Odds around 9-2 look fair value .

Addicted To Love could be the main danger,returning to poly track.Having looked progressive stayer,when winning impressively over the distance at Chelmsford in May.

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BETVICTOR*
(WINNER SP 2-1 PROFIT +£270.00 )

Thursday, January 03, 2019

When It Pays To Gamble

All too often, gambling is viewed as an offensive word. ''Don't gamble!'' There are many good reasons not to gamble. The first one being for ''fun''. Or, even worse, for the ''buzz''. Both ideas are in my humble opinion ridiculous. 

Where's the fun in losing money?  

Sadly, that's all you will be doing unless you have something to say the opposite. Life is a gamble. Crossing the road can be a life and death decision. Imagine a bookmaker chalking-up the prices of every move you make. What are the odds you will gain a degree? Get married? Have children? Die at an early age? It's no different than insurance companies. A gamble is a gamble, hey. 

So why should you gamble? The answer is obvious! Because you are better than others. The question then leads to ''How Do You Beat The Opposition?'' You invest time to increase your knowledge. How is that possible? You stick to your niche. No one knows everything. In gambling, knowing something well is as good as knowing everything. How come? Because you just bet more on the subject matter you know.  When you are ready to bet, do so with reputable bookmakers such as   

My specialist knowledge is within two-year-old horse racing. I'm not blowing my own trumpet - just being honest - but unless you are exceptional you don't know as much about this niche as I do. In fact, over a year of betting, I would win more money that the majority of people who bet on two-year-old horses. It's like you trying to pass a degree in Psychology without reading a book. You flicked through a couple of chapters but gave up because you couldn't be bothered to find the answers to the questions.  

''Your knowledge is as thin as a cheese cracker and it doesn't matter how expensive the Stilton you put on top!''

My years of learning have proven to me that there is no easy answer. No cheats, hacks, systems... Even if they do exist (however simply) the time and effort to understand this information are likely to be immense. Unless someone gets very lucky. However, the whole notion of luck is not a sound foundation to build any knowledge. 

Here are my top pointers to make your betting pay:

1) Pick a niche.

2) Don't bet - learn 

3) Understand the basic

4) Then find data that the majority will not know (do your own research)

5) Test your knowledge by paper trailing

6) Bet small - build your bank

7) When you find a winning angle bet more

8) Make minor adjustment - do not attempt to make huge steps

9) Consolidate your knowledge

10) Keep your info to yourself  

Bookmakers and layers run their gambling ventures as a business. That is exactly how you as a gambler should bet. 

Written by Jason Coote

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (End Of Season Report 2018)

Happy New year to everyone who follows Jerry's best bets .The blog returns for 10th season .Hopefully 2019 will be another profitable year .

The 2K to 10K Betting Challenge ,has finished up with small profit in first season,with £484.00 profit ,though overall it was bit of struggle to make any decent profits this year .

Never really recovering from poor run of results in May and June .

On positive note this was the 9th consecutive profitable year for the blog,though the strike rate and profits was down on previous years .

Full Results 2018 as follows :

STAKED (£3527 ) RETURN ( £4011 ) (ROI +13.76 ) S/R 23.68 %

JAN :LOSS -£189 (0 OUT 3)
FEB :PROFIT +£194 (1 OUT 1 )
MAR:PROFIT +£390 (2 OUT 4 )
APR :PROFIT +£231 (1 OUT 3 )
MAY :LOSS -£121 (0 OUT 3 )
JUNE:LOSS -£376 (0 OUT 4 ) 
AUG :PROFIT +£351 (2 OUT 4) 
SEP :LOSS -£303 (0 OUT 6 )
OCT:LOSS -£26 (1 OUT 3 )
NOV:PROFIT +£544 (2 OUT 2 )
DEC:LOSS -£212 (0 OUT 2 )
PROFIT £484.00

The challenge continues in January 2019 with £2484 betting bank .Stakes will start at £100.00. £2484 divided by 25 .Thanks for visiting in 2018 .

Saturday, December 15, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 38 ) Sat 15th Dec

2K to 10K betting challenge continues on Saturday from Newcastle .

The betting bankroll stands at £2588,after last selection Mythical Madness finished very disappointing 6th in Sunracing Handicap at Wolverhampton .The stakes drop down to £104 .

Moving on to Saturday we have decent looking class two conditions race from Newcastle.

9 runners declared for the Betway Stayers condition stakes (Fast Track Qualifier ) over 2 miles on the Tapeta at Newcastle .The three standout contenders are Higher Power , Festival Of Ages & Watersmeet .

HIGHER POWER : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding.Decent record on All Weather, winning 3 out 8  ,including winning the Northumberland Plate in 2017 over C&D at Newcastle .Returned to  form at Kempton last month ,finishing creditable second in 2 mile handicap at Kempton ,off mark 105 .1lb clear on official BHA ratings,though not won since July 2017.

FESTIVAL OF AGES : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 2 out 3 .Lightly raced sort ,won 12f maiden at Newmarket in July .Also won weak 10f Novice Stakes at Kempton last time on All Weather debut .Takes big step up in class here ,though looks open to further improvement after three starts .Unproven over this longer trip .

WATERSMEET : 7-Y-0 Grey Gelding ,All Weather Specialist winning 12 out 25 .Excellent record in class two conditions races over last two seasons, winning (5 out 8) 31113211.Returned to winning form last month ,landing class two handicap at Kempton in good style.Not won at Newcastle,though finished placed on all three starts,including fair third in this race last year.Solid claims .

VERDICT :The lightly raced Festival Of Ages looks interesting contender for top connections ,though odds around 13-8 look incredibly short for horse only rated 94 .Has 12lb to find on official ratings .Also far from certain to be suited by this extended 2 mile trip .

WATERSMEET is proven winner in this grade ,including winning 3 out 4 in (Fast Track Qualifiers) Looked as good as ever when making all in class two handicap at Kempton last month.Should take plenty of catching in this conditions race .Odds around 7-2 look very fair value .

C&D winner Higher Power looks main danger,after finishing behind Watersmeet at Kempton last time .On 3lb better terms,should be close between the pair ,though hasn't won for nearly 18 months.Will possibly have to settle for another place .

(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £104.00)