Friday, November 16, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 36) Sat 17th Nov

2K to 10K Betting challenge continues on Saturday from Lingfield . 

The Betting Bankroll stands at £2358 (+£358) after Donjuan Triumphant won the Wentworth Stakes at 4-1 for £206.00 profit.Nice to finish the turf season with winner.

Moving on to Saturday the All Weather season kicks into gear,with two good quality listed races from Lingfield .Going concentrate on the Churchill Stakes at 2.45

9 Runners declared for 10f Churchill Listed Stakes on the poly track .This looks interesting listed contest ,with the three main contenders .Addeybb, Master The World & Scarlet Dragon .

ADDEYBB : 4-Y-0 Chesnut Gelding ,winning 5 out 9 .Shown some useful form on turf this season ,including winning the G2 Bet365 Mile at Sandown in April,though has been disappointing in G1 company on his last two starts .Takes big drop in class on his All Weather Debut ,though has to defy 7lb G2 penalty .

MASTER THE WORLD : 7-Y-0 Grey Gelding ,winning 2 out 7 on All Weather.Had some excellent form here at Lingfield last season,including winning this race last year .Also won the Winter Derby and finished second in Easter Classic over C&D at Lingfield .Shown very little on turf this season ,though will be suited returning to Lingfield on poly track .

SCARLET DRAGON : 5-Y-0 Bay Gelding,winning 5 out 25 on turf .Not won since October 2016,though has shown some creditable placed form ,including finishing close second in G3 September Stakes on All Weather last season ,also finished fair third in St  Simon Stakes at Newbury in October .Should be thereabouts,though drop in trip may not be ideal .

VERDICT : The 117 rated Addeybb is clearly the one to beat on his group two winning form earlier in the season,though faces no easy task under 7lb (G2) penalty .Also has question mark ,having been well beaten on his last two starts.The big drop in class will help ,though odds around 7-4 look poor value on his All Weather debut, over this longer trip .

Last years winner MASTER THE WORLD will need bounce back to form,after some disappointing efforts on turf this season ,though goes particarly well here on poly track at Lingfield ,including winning Winter Derby and finishing close second in Easter Classic earlier this year .Odds around 6-1 look fair each-way value .
(WINNER SP 6-1 PROFIT +£338.40)

Friday, November 09, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 35 ) Sat 10th Nov

2K to 10K Betting challenge continues on Saturday from Doncaster.

The Betting Bankroll stands at £2152 (+£152) after Librisa Breeze finished unplaced in Champions Sprint at Ascot.

2018 has not been great season on the turf,with too many seconds and thirds,though overall still showing small profit, as the All Weather season gets underway .

Moving on to the final day of flat turf season ,we have interesting listed sprint from Doncaster .

16 runners declared for 6f Wentworth Listed Stakes.On ground described as good ,though overnight rain forecast  .This looks high quality listed contest, the three main contenders are Donjuan Triumphant , Laugh A Minute & Librisa Breeze .

DONJUAN TRIUMPHANT : 5-Y-0 Bay Horse ,winning 5 out 23 on turf .Goes particarly well on soft ground .Been running consistently this season in group company,without winning ,including finishing excellent third in G1 Champions Sprint at Ascot three weeks ago .Obvious claims in this much easier race.

LAUGH A MINUTE :3-Y-0 Bay Gelding , winning 2 out 9 .Shown improved form since being gelded ,winning decent conditions race over C&D at Doncaster in August .Also finished creditable second in 6f G3 Prix de Meautry Barriere at Deauville in August .Should go well dropping down to listed company .

LIBRISA BREEZE : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding , winning 3 out 17 on turf .Very useful sprinter on his day ,including winning champions sprint at Ascot in 2017.Has looked very disappointing in 2018 ,showing very little in five starts this season .Takes big drop in class ,though will need big improvement on this seasons form .

VERDICT : DONJUAN TRIUMPHANT stands out on his third in group one Champions Sprint at Ascot last time .Will be suited by this big drop in class.Handles good ground ,though will relish any overnight rain .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

Laugh A Minute looks the main danger ,after finishing good second in group three company in France last time .Looks open to further improvement ,though wouldn't want too much rain,having been withdrawn at Ascot on soft ground last month  .
(WINNER SP 2-1 PROFIT +£206.40)

Friday, October 19, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 34 ) Sat 20th Oct

The 2K to 10k Betting Challenge continues on Saturday at Ascot .

The Betting Bankroll stands at £2242 (+£242) ,after Different League finished disappointing 6th in the Bodicea Listed stakes at Newmarket on Saturday ,having been slowly away never getting into the contest .Looks horse to avoid in the future.

Moving on to Saturday ,we have excellent card on British Champions day at Ascot,with five championship races .

Going concentrate on the G1 Championship Sprint over six furlongs .

14 Runners declared for Championship Sprint at 2.00.Ground conditions are going to be  testing,though this still looks cracking sprint.The three main contenders are Brando,Librisa Breeze & The Tin Man .

BRANDO : 6-Y-0 Chestnut Gelding , winning 8 out 29 .Been in decent form this season ,including finishing second in both the G1 July Cup & G1 Sprint Cup at Haydock ,though only victory came in G3 Abernant Stakes at Newmarket in April .Each-way claims,though was only 6th in this race last year on simular ground .

LIBRISA BREEZE : 5-Y-0 Grey Gelding,winning 6 out 20.Goes well here at Ascot ,winning three times at the track ,including winning this race last year .Not shown much this season in four starts ,though has been unsuited by fast ground .Will be suited returning to Ascot on this testing ground .

THE TIN MAN : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 9 out 20 .Useful sort winning three G1 races ,including winning this race in 2016 .Also been in decent form this season winning the Sprint Cup at Haydock last time on Heavy ground .Decent record here at Ascot .Seems to handle any ground .Solid claims .

VERDICT : Last years winner LIBRISA BREEZE will need to bounce back to form ,though looks to have his ideal ground conditions for first time this season.All his best form has been   on soft ground at Ascot (112).Should also get the race run suit with plenty pace in the race.Odds around 6-1 look solid each-way value .

The Tin Man looks big danger having won three G1 races,including winning this race two years ago .Looked as good as ever when winning Sprint Cup at Haydock last month,though was only fifth in this race last year.
£45.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 PADDY POWER 
(UNPLACED SP 11-2 LOSS £90.00 )

Friday, October 12, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 33 ) Sat 13th Oct

The 2K to 10K Betting challenge continues on Saturday from Newmarket .The betting bankroll stands at £2336 (+£336) after Laurens won the Sun Chariot stakes at Newmarket last Saturday for £158.00 profit .

Hopefully we can finish the flat turf season in good style.The stakes increase to £94.00

Moving on to Saturday we have day two of Future Champions day from Newmarket ,going concentrate on one the supporting races the Bodicea Listed stakes at 4.50 .

19 runners declared for 6f Fillies & Mares listed contest on ground described as good/firm .Big field though not the strongest looking listed race .The three main contenders look to be Classical Times ,Different League & Perfection .

CLASSICAL TIMES : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 2 out 11 .Shown progressive form this season ,including winning 6f listed race in impressive style at Haydock in May (Different League back in third .Also finished creditable third in G3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle in June.Solid each-way claims if fully wound up after 3 month absence .

DIFFERENT LEAGUE : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 3 out 13 .Formerly trained in France .Very useful 2-Y-0 winning her first three starts ,including winning the G3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot.Not won in 8 starts this season for A.P O'Brien,though has often been highly tried in G1 company,including finishing good 6th of 16 in G1 Prix De L Abbaye at Lonchamp last week .

PERFECTION : 3-Y-0 Chestnut Filly ,winning 2 out 9.Shown improved form this Autumn ,winning class 4 handicap at Yarmouth in good style in August .Also finished good 2nd of 10 in class two handicap over C&D at Newmarket last time,off mark 95 .Takes another step up in class ,though looks open to further improvement .

VERDICT : DIFFERENT LEAGUE will be difficult to beat if reproducing last weeks 2.25L sixth of 16 in G1 Prix De L Abbaye in first time blinkers.Will appreciate this big drop in class .Also will be suited by this longer trip ,having shown her best form over 6 furlongs .Odds around 7-2 look fair value
£47.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 SKYBET .
(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £94.00 )

Friday, October 05, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 32) Sat 6th Oct

The 2K to 10K betting challenge continues on Saturday at Newmarket .

The betting bankroll stands at £2178 (+£178) after disappointing month in September with £303 loss.0 out 6,with just three places.

Hopefull we can get back on track in October.Moving on to Saturday going concentrate on the feature race from Newmarket .

10 Runners declared for group one Sun Chariot stakes.This looks high quality mile contest for Fillies & Mares.The three main contenders are Laurens,Veracious & Wind Chimes .

LAURENS : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 6 out 9.Very useful sort,winning four G1 races,also finished second in 1000 guineas over C&D at Newmarket in May.Produced career best effort last time in Ireland,winning the G1 Matron Stakes at Leopardstown on Irish Champions weekend.Obvious claims .

VERACIOUS : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 2 out 5 .Lightly raced sort ,twice finishing third in group one company at Royal Ascot & Glorious Goodwood earlier in the season .Made no mistake when dropped in class when winning the G3 Atlanta Stakes at Sandown .No easy task returning to group one company ,though looks open to improvement after five starts .

WIND CHIMES :3-Y-0 French Bay Filly ,winning 3 out 7 .Shown progressive form this season ,including winning G3 in good style at Deauville in August .Also finished good second in G1 Prix De Moulin at Longchamp ,behind the useful Recoletos .Top rated on official ratings,should go well .

VERDICT : LAURENS looks the class act here ,having already won four group one races.Also goes well here at Newmarket winning the fillies mile over C&D last season .Should take plenty catching from decent draw near stands rail in stall 9.Odds around 3-1 look solid value .

Wind Chimes is 4lb clear on official ratings ,after finishing excellent second in Prix De Moulin at Longchamp last time .Looks interesting contender ,though odds around 5-2 look short enough ,for horse has yet to win in group one company .
£44.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BETVICTOR 
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT +£158.00 )

(£2178 divided by 25 =£88.00 stake )