Friday, June 08, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 15 ) Sat 9th June


The 2K to 10k Betting challenge continues on Saturday from Haydock Park, with the feature race the group three John Of Gaunt Stakes . 

The betting bankroll stands at £2506 (+£506.00) Stakes remain at £100.00.Been bit of frustrating run since middle April ,with plenty places though no winners,including the last bet Invincible Army getting beaten nose in Sandy Lane stakes at Haydock .

Hopefully June will be better month, with Royal Ascot just round the corner .Moving on to Saturday we have good quality group three contest from Haydock .

8 runners declared for the 7 furlong John Of Gaunt Stakes at 4.00 on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Dutch Connection , Emmaus & Tabarrak .

DUTCH CONNECTION : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 5 out 23 ,including winning four group races .Had some fair form last season,including winning G3 Supreme Stakes at Goodwood in August.Made creditable reapperance,finishing good fourth in G1 Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last month .Solid claims returning to G3 company.

EMMAUS : 4-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 3 out 4 .Lightly raced sort ,though shown progressive form ,including winning listed race at Leicester last time on heavy ground .Looks open to plenty improvement after just four starts ,though unproven on fast ground (All three vicories on good/soft or heavy .Interesting contender ,though there has to be question mark on very quick ground .

TABARRAK : 5-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 5 out 13 ,winning three Listed races in 2017/18 ,including winning the listed Spring Trophy stakes over C&D at Haydock last month under 3lb penalty.Back Up in class ,though only beaten neck in G3 Sovereign Stakes last season .Should go well .

VERDICT : Only 3lb between the three main contenders on official ratings.

Course & Distance winner TABARRAK looks to have most in his favour.Has an excellent record over 7 furlongs on fast ground (11921212).Returns to group company,though there was nothing wrong with neck second to ill fated (118 rated) Ballet Concerto, on his only career start in group company last season .Odds around 7-2 look solid each-way value .

Dutch Connection looks big danger,after finishing good fourth in Lockinge Stakes at Newbury behind Rhododendron ,though apart from winning Supreme Stakes ,never really threatened in G1 & G2 races last season.The return to G3 company over 7f will suit,though odds around 2-1 look short enough .
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TABARRAK 4.00 HAYDOCK 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*
(THIRD SP 3-1 LOSS £100.00 ) Non runner Emmaus 7 ran .

Thursday, June 07, 2018

Royal Ascot Trends – Queen Anne Stakes


Ascot’s spectacular five-day royal meeting opens on Tuesday 19th June this year supporting what promises to be an exhilarating week for sports fans with the action from Berkshire running alongside the football World Cup in Russia.
It’s a great time to be a punter with plenty of betting opportunities to complement the summer weather. There’s certainly no lack of expert betting advice around either, designed to help you beat the bookies, and Timeform’s Royal Ascot preview covers every race from Tuesday’s opener to Saturday’s climax.
There are a number of ways to decide on your best bets with many punters happy to follow their favourite jockeys or trainers while others prefer to stick with the horse’s form but the trends always make for interesting reading and often result in a nice price winner.
Here’s what the numbers say about Tuesday’s Queen Anne Stakes…..

Stick with the younger horses


This group one race run over the flat mile is open to horses aged four years old and above, but recent results make it wise to stick with the younger participants. Ribchester claimed the prize money 12 months ago for the William Buick and Richard Fahey partnership with those who guessed correctly collecting a useful 11/10 on the favourite. Mutakayyef and Deauville filled the major places.
It’s worth noting that the 2018 champion was a four-year-old at the time of his success and that falls into line with recent winners – five of the last seven being four. As well as Ribchester we also had Canford Cliffs (2011), Frankel (2012), Declaration Of War (2013) and Toronado (2014).
The two spares in that run were Solow (2015) and Tepin (2016) with both being 5YOs. It doesn’t pay to go any higher than that.

Rhododendron leads the charge for O’Brien

Traders have Rhododendron as favourite in the ante-post market for June’s renewal and that’s little surprise as she’s a four-year-old filly with bags of class, bringing a record of four wins and four placed efforts from nine starts. The bay – a product of the famous Galileo line – makes her first trip to Ascot but arrives with confidence having won the Lockinge Stakes around Newbury in May. 3/1 rates as the general feeling on that one.
Rhododendron represents Aidan O’Brien’s yard and the popular Irishman has already trained three winners of the Queen Anne Stakes in the past with each of those victories coming in the last 12 years. That trio consists of Ad Valorem who did the business in 2006 before Haradasun doubled up two years later and Declaration Of War completed the hat-trick.

Traders divided over the chances of Recoletos


The jolly’s main rival is expected to come in the shape of Recoletos who trains as a second favourite with most reputable firms. 6/1 is the general feeling, although Sportingbet are confident enough to offer a chunky 8/1 on the same runner.
Another four-year-old, this striking colt goes for Carlos Laffan-Parias and France, boasting previous experience of competing on these shores. Followers of British horse racing saw Recoletos run at Ascot last autumn when ending fourth in a competitive Champion Stakes. That group one went to Cracksman under the ride of Frankie Dettori and it was the right result with runner-up Poet’s World seven lengths behind. The French raider got nowhere near the prize money that day.

Friday, May 25, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 14 ) Sat 26th May

The 2K to 10k Betting challenge returns on Saturday from Haydock Park, with good looking three year old sprint .

The betting Bankroll stands at £2512 with stakes now at £100.00. 

8 Runners declared for the group two Sandy Lane stakes over 6 furlongs on ground described as good/soft.

This looks very high quality sprint for three year olds, the three main contenders are Invincible Army,James Garfield,Sands Of Mali .

INVINCIBLE ARMY : Three-year-old Bay colt ,winning 3 out 8.Also finished second four times, including finishing unlucky in running second in G2 Mill Reef stakes at Newbury last season.Made winning reappearance in G3 Pavillion Stakes at Ascot earlier this month on soft ground .Looks promising sprinter,solid claims .

JAMES GARFIELD : Three-year-old Bay colt , winning 3 out 9 .Had some decent form as two-year-old ,winning the G2 Mill Reef Stakes at Newbury .Made winning reappearance in G3 Greenham stakes at Newbury last month .Also ran respectable seventh in 2000 guineas at Newmarket .The drop back in trip shouldn't be problem ,should be thereabouts .

SANDS OF MALI :  Three-year-old bay colt ,winning 3 out 6 .Looked useful two year old sprinter last season ,winning the G2 Gimcrack stakes at York in August .No show in G1 Middle Park stakes & Breeders cup Juvenile at end last season ,though returned to form on Seasonal Reapperance winning G3 contest at Chantilly in France .Interesting contender .

VERDICT : INVINCIBLE ARMY should go well after winning  group three Pavalion stakes in good style at Ascot earlier this month.Had very consistent profile last season, in some top two year old sprints .Looks open to plenty more improvement as three-year-old .Odds around 7-2 look solid value .

Sands Of Mali looks the main danger, had some useful form last season ,including beating Invincible Army in group two Gimcrack at York ,though didn't repeat that form in G1 Middle Park .Interesting contender ,though not the most consistent .  
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INVINCIBLE ARMY 3.25 HAYDOCK
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3   
(SECOND SP 5-2F LOSS £6.25 )

Saturday, May 12, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 13 ) Sat 12th May

The 2K to 10k Betting challenge continues on Saturday from the Curragh in Ireland ,with interesting sprint listed race .

The betting bankroll now stands at £2616 after Hunting Horn finished third in Chester Vase on Wednesday for £10.00 loss on the race . No real excuses had every chance in the race ,though no match for Young Rasscal in closing stages .

The stakes drop slightly to £104.00 (£2616 divided by 25 =£104.00 ) Moving on to Saturday we have decent little 5f sprint from the Curragh .9 runners declared for Sole Power Sprint Stakes on ground described as heavy .The three main contenders are Primo Uomo , Kyllang Rock & Gorane .

PRIMO UOMO : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding , winning 4 out 14 on turf .Improving sort ,won twice last season ,including winning 5f handicap at Cork in good style ,off mark 93 .Produced a career best effort at Navan last time ,winning the Woodlands Listed Stakes in impressive style .Has 3lb listed penalty,though ground conditions will suit .Solid claims .

KYLLANG ROCK : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 4 out 15.Had some creditable form last season ,including finishing second in listed company at York & Haydock .Made winning reappearance in small conditions race at Musselburgh on heavy ground in March.Should be thereabouts ,though yet to win in listed company .

GORANE : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 1 out 6 on turf .Had some fair form last season,including winning 5f listed race at Tipperary in August.Made creditable seasonal reapperance,finishing staying on second behind Primo Uomo in Woodlands Stakes.Meets that rival on 3lb better terms.Each-way claims.

VERDICT :  Kyllang Rock looks interesting runner for Newmarket trainer James Tate,having won conditions race on heavy ground last time ,though in stronger race, odds around 7-4 make little appeal, having not won in listed company in five attempts .

PRIMO UOMO looks solid having won in good style in listed company at Navan last time.Has to defy 3lb penalty,though looks open to further improvement.Also goes well on testing ground conditions.Odds around 9-2 look good each-way value.
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PRIMO UOMO 3.20 CURRAGH 
£52.00 EACH-WAY @9-2 SKYBET*
(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £104.00)

Tuesday, May 08, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 12 ) Wed 9th May

The 2K to 10k Betting challenge continues on Wednesday afternoon from Chester ,with the days feature race the £100,000 Chester Vase .

The betting bankroll now stands at £2626 after the last selection Stormy Antarctic finished staying on second in Bet365 mile at Sandown. No match for impressive winner Addeybb ,though ran solid enough race for £10.00 profit .The stakes increase slightly to £105.00 .

Moving on to Wednesday we have open looking Derby trial.10 runners declared for the Chester Vase over 1M 4F on ground described as good/soft.The three main contenders look to be Hunting Horn , Ispolini & Young Rascal .

HUNTING HORN : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 1 out 4.Shown improved form since stepping up in trip, winning 10f maiden at Naas last month.Also finished creditable third in group three Sandown Classic trial 12 days ago,coming home strongly in closing stages. Look sure improve over this longer trip.Solid claims 

ISPOLINI : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt,winning 1 out 3.Won 10f maiden at Kempton on poly track in November.Showed big improvement last time ,finishing close second in group three Sandown Classic trial .Not certain to improve over this 2f longer trip,though still interesting contender .

YOUNG RASCAL 3-Y-0 Bay Colt,winning 1 out 2 .Won 20 runner 11f maiden at Newbury last month in impressive style,beating Corgy by 5 lenghs .Takes big step up in class ,though looks open to further improvement over this longer trip .Interesting contender .
       
VERDICT : HUNTING HORN looked big eyecatcher at Sandown in the classic trial ,finishing strongly from well off the pace .The son of Derby Winner Camelot should relish the step up in trip .Trainer Aiden O'Brien also has excellent record with his three-year-olds at the track (20 out 46) 43% .Odds around 4-1 looks solid each-way value .

Young Rascal could be the main danger after winning 11f maiden at Newbury in good style ,looks open to plenty more improvement after just two starts . 
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HUNTING HORN 3.35 CHESTER 
£52.50 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 CORALS* 
(THIRD SP 3-1 LOSS £10.50 )