Saturday, November 05, 2022

Breeders Cup 2022 Selections (Sat 5th Nov 2022)

Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £770,370 12 runners 1m1f110y Good ITV4
race conditions  £1,362,963 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies and mares Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Penalty value  1st  £770,370.37 2nd  £251,851.85 3rd  £133,333.33 4th  £74,074.07 5th  £44,444.44 6th  £29,629.63 7th  £14,814.81 8th  £14,814.81 9th  £14,814.81 10th  £14,814.81 
1)NASHAWA (117) (2) ABOVE THE CURVE (113) (3) TUESDAY (112) (3) IN ITALIAN (112)
The John & Thady Gosden trained three year old filly NASHWA  stands out on form ,having won two group one races this season ,also finished creditable second in G1 Prix de Opera when just getting outstayed on testing ground conditions .The form of her victory in Nassau Stakes at Goodwood on fast ground looks very strong form, with 2nd ,4th & 5th all subsequently winning group one races since .Should be difficult to beat with ground conditions in her favour.
Of the others the A.P O'Brien trained Above The Curve looks the main danger ,after finishing short head behind Nashwa in Prix de l Opera ,though looked slightly flattered  to get so close to Nashwa who didn't get home on testing ground .However has looked progressive filly this season ,so can't be ruled out ,though has to prove herself on quicker ground .
Epsom Oaks winner Tuesday has looked disappointing on recent starts and has plenty to find with both Nashwa & Above the Curve on Prix de l Opera form , though will be better suited to this faster ground.
In Italian looks best of the Americans ,after winning two grade one races this season ,including winning 1 mile First Lady Stakes at Keenland last month .Will need further improvement in this stronger race ,though possible each-way claims
race conditions  £1,362,963 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 2lb Penalty value  1st  £770,370.37 2nd  £251,851.85 3rd  £133,333.33 4th  £74,074.07 5th  £44,444.44 6th  £29,629.63 7th  £14,814.81 8th  £14,814.81 9th  £14,814.81 10th  £14,814.81

1)MODERN GAMES (122) (2)DREAMLOPER (118 )(3)KINROSS (117) (3)ANNAPOLIS (117)
MODERN GAMES has excellent record (winning 5 from 7) on good or faster ground ,including winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile mile last year at Del Mar .Has been in decent form this season winning two group one races ,including bolting up in Woodbine Mile in Canada in September,though probably ran his best race when finishing creditable 1.75l second to Baaeed in Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in August .Should be difficult to beat with ideal conditions .

Of the others Dreamloper looks interesting after winning Prix du Moulin in great style in September by 5l ,has shown improved form this season winning two group one races at Longchamp.Also Looks well drawn in stall 3 for horse that sits close to the pace .Solid each-way claims .

Annapolis looks best of the American runners ,after winning the Coolmore Mile stakes over C&D at Keenland last month .Looks very consistent type, not finishing outside the top two in 7 starts ,including five victories .Possibly not quite good enough to win the race ,though fair claims for place .

Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £1,540,741 13 runners 1m4f Good ITV4
race conditions  £2,725,926 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £1,540,740.74 2nd  £503,703.70 3rd  £266,666.67 4th  £148,148.15 5th  £88,888.89 6th  £59,259.26 7th  £29,629.63 8th  £29,629.63 9th  £29,629.63 10th  £29,629.63
1) MISHRIFF (122) (2) NATIONS PRIDE (121) (3) WAR LIKE GODDESS (117) 
This looks one the most competitive Breeders Cup races with 13 runners going to post .The Charlie Appleby three-year-old colt Nations Pride has been put in favourite at around 9-4 ,having shown some decent form in America this season winning the Sartoga Derby & Jockey Club Derby stakes at Aqueduct in course record time,has to be respected from stable that has excellent record in U.S.A ,though odds around 9-4 look no value in this much stronger race .
The five-year-old MISHRIFF on his final start, should go well for Gosden stable, now back on quick surface .Has shown all his best form on fast ground ,including winning the group one Juddmonte International at York last season .Will need to bounce back after two poor runs on testing ground in the Arc & Irish Champion Stakes ,though has put in two excellent efforts this season ,including finishing short head second to Valdeni in the Eclipse at Sandown in July and second in Juddmonte International behind Baaeed in August .Looks the each-way value at around 7-1 ,especially with bookmakers paying 4 places .
The ultra consistent mare War Like Goddess looks best of the American horses ,having won 7 out 10 ,including winning the Grade one Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes at Aqueduct last month .Also finished close third in Breeders Cup Fillies & Mares last year .Each-way claims in open race.
Of the others the Charlie Appleby second string Rebels Romance who is unbeaten on turf winning 4 out 4 is not easy to weigh up, having won two group one races in Germany,though on offical ratings will need further improvement to land this much stronger contest .
(FOURTH SP 15-8 LOSS £200.00/2.00 PTS)

2PTS WIN @ 2-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 6-4 PROFIT £400/4.00 PTS)
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 13-2 BET365 (1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 )
(FOURTH SP 6-1 PROFIT £15.00/0.15)

Tuesday, November 01, 2022

2022 Breeders Cup Preview

The 2022 Breeders' Cup World Championships will be the 39th edition of the premier event of the North American thoroughbred horse racing year. The 14 races, all of which are Grade I, will take place on November 4 and 5 at Keeneland racetrack in Lexington, Kentucky. In the United States, the races will be telecast on Friday and early Saturday by USA Network and FanDuel TV, with NBC covering the last three races on Saturday.[1] In the United Kingdom, ITV will be broadcasting all the races live, with day 1 on ITV3 and day 2 on ITV4.

The Breeders' Cup is generally regarded as the end of the North American racing season, although a few Grade I events take place in later November and December. The event typically determines champions in many of the Eclipse Award divisions.

A maximum of 14 horses (12 in the Dirt Mile and Juvenile Turf Sprint) are allowed to start in each race.[2] Horses can automatically qualify by winning one of the designated races in the Breeders' Cup Challenge series, which provide "Win and You're In" berths in a specified division of the Breeders' Cup. Other pre-entries are ranked by a points system and the judgement of a panel of experts.[3]

On October 26, 205 horses were pre-entered in the various races, 46 of which qualified via the Challenge series. The entries include 73 Grade/Group 1 winners and 45 horses from overseas. Most of the races were over-subscribed.[4][5]

Keeneland will host the Breeders' Cup for the third time. They first hosted the event in 2015 when American Pharoah finished his career by winning the Classic after having won the American Triple Crown. The 2020 event at Keeneland though was held without spectators due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. Fans who had purchased tickets for that event were given first preference for seating at the 2022 event.[6] Keeneland installed temporary seating, including five "chalets" and loge boxes, to increase their normal capacity of about 20,000 to 45,000 people.[7]

The year-end championship for North American Flat racing, it has attracted star horses from across the globe, with British and Irish-trained runners dominating many markets.

The feature races for Breeders Cup Saturday :

4.29: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Grade 1, 5½f)

Last year's winner: Golden Pal 

Ante-post favourite: Golden Pal (7-4)

Golden Pal won this race 12 months ago and has excellent claims of doing so again after a comfortable success in the Woodford Stakes.

However, he faces a much tougher field than 12 months ago, with the British challenge including three-time Group 1 winner Highfield Princess and last year's Champions Sprint star Creative Force.

Ward also runs Campanelle, who was narrowly denied in the Platinum Jubilee at Royal Ascot and is unlikely to be far away.

5.50: Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1, 1m1½f)

Last year's winner: Loves Only You

Ante-post favourite: Nashwa (7-4)

The British and Irish contingent dominate the betting and Nashwa, a dual Group 1 winner in the summer, heads the team for the Gosdens and Hollie Doyle. 

Dreamloper arrives as a dual Group 1 winner too and Above The Curve, trained by Joseph O'Brien, also has a top-level success to her name.

Of the American contingent, Chad Brown is set to have a strong hand, with First Lady winner In Italian the pick of his team.

7.10: FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile presented by Permanently Disabled Jockey Fund (Grade 1, 1m)

Last year's winner: Space Blues

Ante-post joint-favourites: Modern Games and Kinross (9-4)

Charlie Appleby and William Buick won this race twelve months ago and Modern Games, who is unbeaten on his trips to North America, is the one they have to beat.

Kinross has been revitalised in 2022 and will be hunting down a top-level hat-trick, while Modern Games' Champions Day conqueror Bayside Boy also features. Annapolis, who won the Turf Mile at Keeneland in October, heads a low-key American charge.

8.40: Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade 1, 1m4f)

Last year's winner: Yibir

Ante-post favourite: Nations Pride (5-2)

This is another race Charlie Appleby won last year and Rebel's Romance and Nations Pride provide him with another strong hand. Both have performed best away from British shores, with the latter a Grade 1 winner at Saratoga in August.

War Like Goddess is formidable on her day and spearheads the American charge, which looks decidedly weak beyond her. Mishriff and the Aidan O'Brien pair of Stone Age and Broome give further strength to the European challenge.

9.40: Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (Grade 1, 1m2f)

Last year's winner: Knicks Go

Ante-post favourite: Flightline (1-2)

After winning three Grade 1s by a combined 36 lengths, Flightline gets the chance to consolidate his legacy for trainer John Sadler and jockey Flavien Prat.

Life Is Good, who won the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile last year, and Kentucky Derby runner-up Epicenter should provide the sternest resistance

The other races

The Breeders' Cup Distaff (7.55) is set to be a fascinating race with longtime rivals MalathaatClairiere and Search Results locking horns with young pretender Nest, a near ten-length winner of a Grade 2 at Belmont last time.

The presence of Jackie's Warrior and Jack Christopher makes the Breeders' Cup Sprint (6.30) a two-horse race on paper but last year's long-odds winner Aloha West could easily have a say.

The Saturday opener is the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (3.50) where Goodnight Olive will clash with last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Echo Zulu.

(Selections for Breeders Cup Saturday will be posted later in the week)

Friday, October 21, 2022

Radley Listed Stakes Newbury 3.30 (Sat 22 Oct 2022)

Galloping To Give Stakes (Registered As The Radley Stakes) (Listed Race) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo) Winner £17,013 11 runners 7f Soft RTV (STALLS Centre)
race conditions  £30,000 guaranteed For  2yo fillies Weights  9st 2lb Penalties  a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Pattern race 5lb Entries  20 pay £150 Penalty value  1st  £17,013.00 2nd  £6,450.00 3rd  £3,228.00 4th  £1,608.00 5th  £807.00 6th  £405.00 
1) SMALL OASIS (94) (2) WYOMING (89) (2) MAGICAL SUNSET (89) (4) FULLY WET (87)

11 Declared for 7f fillies listed contest on soft ground.The Jessica Harrington trained Small Oasis is clear fav ,after finishing creditable third in the group three Oh So Sharp stakes at Newmarket last time .Had previously won 6f maiden at Curragh by 5L on soft ground .Interesting condender on her first start for Jessica Harrington , though odds around 13/8 look no value ,with plenty unexposed runners in the race .

At the prices the Paul Cole trained WYOMING looks the each-way value ,after finishing good second over C&D at Newbury in 7f class two conditions race behind Crystallium last month,that form has worked out well with the third,fourh,sixth & seventh franking the form since.Has to prove herself on ground this soft ,though won on good/soft on debut and has soft ground pedigree being out Derby winner Motivator who excelled himself on soft conditions .Odds 7-1 OR ABOVE  look decent value .
Of the others Magical Sunset  also has e-w claims, after winning conditions race at Leicester last time on fast ground .Had previously finished decent staying on fourth in valuable 7f Goffs Million at Curragh on soft ground.Looks open to improvement back at 7 furlongs .
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100/1.00 ) 

Friday, October 14, 2022

British Champions Day Preview

Great card at Ascot on Saturday for British Champions day ,featuring four group one races and group two .

4.2mm rain on Wednesday/Thursday possible light shower Saturday morning ground conditions likely to be good/soft (soft places) come racetime on Saturday.

Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £283,550 8 runners 1m7f209y Good To Soft ITV (STALLS Inside)
race conditions  £500,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st; fillies 8st 11lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 9lb; fillies 9st 6lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 9lb pay £1,750 Penalty value  1st  £283,550.00 2nd  £107,500.00 3rd  £53,800.00 4th  £26,800.00 5th  £13,450.00 6th  £6,750.00 
1) TRUESHAN (122)  (2) ELDAR ELDAROV (117) (3) COLTRANE (113)
The Alan King trained six year old gelding  TRUESHAN looks the one to beat having won this race for last two years .Has excellent record with cut in the ground over staying distances ,including winning 5 out 7 in group races on ground good/soft or softer .Will need to bounce back after poor run in Doncaster Cup last time when turned over at 2-9 ,though never looked happy in that race,hanging in the straight.Will be suited returning to Ascot on ground that should suit .Odds around 2-1 look very fair value..
St Leger winner Eldar Eldarov looks the main danger getting 9lb ftom Trueshan ,won in good style last time at Doncater,staying on strongly at the finish .This longer trip shouldn't be problem and looks open to further improvement over staying trips .
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (British Champions Mile) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £655,709 9 runners 1m Good To Soft ITV (STALLS Far side)
race conditions  £1,156,250 guaranteed For  3yo+ NOTE: Horses will only be eligible to run in this race provided that they have a current BHA Handicap Rating of 80 or higher at midday of the confirmation stage. Horses which do not qualify for a rating may also be eligible providing the BHA Handicapper is satisfied that the horse's racecourse performances up to and including the day before confirmation merit a provisional assessment of 80 or higher. Horses which have not run will not be eligible. Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 3lb; fillies 9st; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 3lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb pay £4,800 Penalty value  1st  £655,709.37 2nd  £248,593.74 3rd  £124,412.50 4th  £61,975.00 5th  £31,103.13 6th  £15,609.38 
1)INSPIRAL (122) (2) MODERN GAMES (118) (2) THE REVENANT (118)
Inspiral looks the one to beat on her Coronation Stakes & Jacques le Marois winning form ,the French form looks strong form, with the third from that race Erevann winning the Danial Wildenstein in good style next time on Arc Weekend .However odds around 11-10 look no value ,especially being unproven on ground this soft .
The French raider  THE REVENANT looks the each-way value at around 6-1 ,has decent record in this race (214),including winning this race in 2020 and finishing creditable 2.5l fourth to Baaeed in the race last year.Also finished good second behind Evevann last time, finishing strongly in race that wasn't run to suit .The return to this stiffer mile at Ascot will suit better, with Ryan Moore looking interesting jockey booking.Solid each-way claims 
Of the others Modern Games has some very decent form ,including finishing 1.5L second to Baaeed in the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in July,though all his best form has been on fast ground,has to prove himself on this slower ground .
(WINNER SP 11-8 PROFIT £400/4.00 PTS)
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100/1.00) 

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

British Champions Day

British Champions Day is a thoroughbred horse race meeting held at Ascot Racecourse in October each year since 2011, which acts as the end of season highlight fixture of British flat racing. It is the culmination of the British Champions Series and features the finals of the five divisions of the series, together with a valuable one-mile handicap race.[1] It is the richest day in British racing, with more than £4 million in prize money across the six races .


It was created by drawing together a number of historic races which had been features of Ascot and Newmarket's end of season meetings for many years. These were the Diadem Stakes and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes from Ascot, and the Champion Stakes, Jockey Club Cup and Pride Stakes from Newmarket. In the new fixture, these became the finals of each of the divisions of the British Champions Series.

The Queen Elizabeth II Stakes and Champion Stakes retained their names and became the finals of the Mile and Middle Distance divisions respectively. The Diadem Stakes became the British Champions Sprint, the Jockey Club Cup became the British Champions Long Distance Cup, and the Pride Stakes became the British Champions Fillies' and Mares' Stakes .


The unbeaten colt, Frankel, won the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at the 2011 meeting, and a year later completed his racing career with victory in the Champion Stakes at the 2012 meeting.[3] The crowd of 32,000 at that meeting was a modern-day autumn flat racing record in the UK.

(Selections posted later in the week)