Friday, April 13, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 10 ) Sat 14th April

The 2K to 10K Betting Challenge continues on Saturday evening ,with interesting 14f class three handicap from Wolverhampton .   

The betting bankroll now stands at  £2725, after the French Filly Hunaina landed the Snow Drop fillies listed Stakes in good style at Kempton last Saturday.Landing a gamble 11-2 into 7-2 for tidy £330 profit .

That keeps the good run going with 4 winners and two places from the last 6 bets,with the stakes now increasing to £109.00.

Moving on to Saturday we have 1M 6F (0-95) class three handicap.11 runners declared for staying handicap at Wolverhampton on Tapeta .The three main contenders look to be Ocean Of Love ,Star Of The East & Bear Valley.

OCEAN OF LOVE : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Filly ,winning 2 out 7 on All Weather .Been in good form this winter ,winning handicaps at Wolverhampton & Chelmsford .Also finished close second in 14f handicap at Chelmsford last time.Should go well ,though is climbing up the weights 9lb higher than last victory .

STAR OF THE EAST : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 2 out 13 on Turf .Had some decent form on turf last season ,including winning 14f class two handicap at Haydock on heavy ground in September,off mark 83 .Makes seasonal reappearance on first start on All Weather .Interesting contender for Mark Johnston stable,though has been well beaten first time out the last two seasons .

BEAR VALLEY : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 1 out 3 on All Weather.Formerly trained by Mark Johnston,winning two races on turf .Changed hands for 17,000 guineas at Newmarket October sales .Returned to form for new trainer Charlie Mann, winning 14f class three handicap at Chelmsford in March .Up 3lb in weights though still well handicapped on turf form.Solid claims .

VERDICT :BEAR VALLEY has put in two good efforts on All Weather,since switching to Charlie Mann stable.Can confirm Chelmsford form with Ocean Of Love on 2lb worse terms.That looked fair performance getting up on the line,having been badly hampered over furlong out.Looks open further improvement on All Weather after just three starts.Odds around 9-2 look decent each-way value .

Ocean Of Love still looks obvious danger ,having not finished outside the first two in last five starts ,also has decent record here at Wolverhampton including winning 12f handicap by 8L in December, though looks short enough in market.
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BEAR VALLEY 8.30 WOLVERHAMPTON (SATURDAY )
£54.50 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 SKYBET OR BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK *
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £109.00 )

Friday, April 06, 2018

2K to 10k Betting Challenge (Bet No 9 ) Sat 7th April

The 2k to 10k betting challenge continues on Saturday with interesting 1 mile listed race from Kempton Park .

The betting bankroll stands at £2395 after Watersmeet finished close third in All Weather Marathon final at Lingfield on Good Friday.

Bit frustrating as Watersmeet looked like making all ,trading as short as 8/15 in running,though just got caught in dying strides for £15.00 loss .

Moving on to Saturday we have good looking fillies & Mares listed race on poly track at 3.15 .10 runners declared for the Snowdrop Fillies stakes .The three main contenders look to be Hunaina ,La Figlia & Smart Call .

HUNAINA : 4-Y-0 French trained filly ,winning 3 out 5 on poly track .Formerly trained in Ireland, winning three races for Mick Harlford.Changed hands for 140,000 euro's in November .Has looked progressive filly on poly track in France this season,winning decent conditions race at Chantilly last month .Looks open to further improvement on poly track .

LA FIGLIA : 4-Y-0 chestnut filly .Maiden after two starts,finishing second on debut at Kempton.Showed plenty of promise when finishing 1.5L fourth of 13 in good looking listed contest race from Newmarket in September .Interesting contender returning to poly track ,though first run for over 6 months .

SMART CALL : 6-Y-0 bay mare , winning 7 out 22 on Turf .Formerly trained in South Africa winning three group one races.0 out 6 for Sir Michael Stoute last season ,though was highly tried in group one & two company.Takes big drop in class on poly track debut.

VERDICT : Smart Call is clearly the one to beat on official ratings being 9lb clear,though there are question marks .Having never ran on poly track, and the drop back to mile dont look ideal, on her first start since December.

At the prices the French raider HUNAINA looks the value .Has looked progressive filly since switching to H.F Devlin stable ,looked unlucky not to win in listed company at Deauville in January ,when fast finishing third after suffering trouble in running.Looks open to plenty more improvement on poly track .Odds around 11-2 look solid each-way value.
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HUNAINA 3.15 KEMPTON
£48.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-2 BET365*
(WINNER SP 7-2CF PROFIT +£330.00)

(Betting bank £2395 divided by 25 =£96.00 stake )

Sunday, April 01, 2018

2K to 10k Betting Challenge( Quarterly Results) (Jan to Mar 2018 )

2K TO 10K BETTING CHALLENGE JANUARY TO MARCH 2018 RESULTS :

1) Velvet Revolution £40 e-way @ 9-2 kempton (06/01/18) (Unplaced SP 7-2) 
(Loss -£80) Running Total £1920 

2) Kasbah £38.00 e-way @ 6-1 Lingfield (13/01/18) (Dead heat third SP 9-2 ) 
(Loss -£34 ) Running Total £1886 

3) Opal Tiara £37.50 e-way @ 7-2 Meydan (25/01/18 ) (Unplaced SP 3-1 )
(Loss -£75 ) Running Total £1811 

4) Cosmopolitan £36.00 e-way @ 4-1 Kempton (21/02/18) (WINNER !! SP 9-2 )
(Profit +£194 ) Running Total £2005

5) Encore d 'Or £40.00 e-way @ 4-1 Lingfield (03/03/18 ) (WINNER !! SP 2-1)
(Profit +£200 ) Running Total £2205

6) Jungle Cat £44.00 e-way @ 4-1 Meydan (10/03/18) (WINNER !! SP 7-2 )
(Profit + £211 ) Running Total £2416 

7) My Target £48.00 e-way @ 7-2 Lingfield (22/03/18) (Second SP 3-1 )
 (Loss -£6 ) Running Total £2410 

8) Watersmeet £48.00 e-way @ 7-2 Lingfield (29/03/18)(Third SP 3-1 ) 
(Loss -£15 ) Running Total £2395  
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9) Hunaina £48 e-way @ 11-2 Kempton (07/04/18 ) (WINNER !! SP 7-2 ) 
(Profit + £330 ) Running Total £2725  

10) Bear Valley £54.50 e-way @ 9-2 Wolverhampton (14/04/18 ) (Unplaced SP 9-2 )
(Loss -£109 ) Running Total £2616 
 
*Steady start to the betting challenge with £395.00 profit in first quarter, with three winners from 8 bets .

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 8 ) Fri 30th March

The 2k to 10k betting challenge continues on Good Friday,with All Weather Championship finals day from Lingfield Park.

The betting bankroll now stands at £2410 after My Target finished second in class three handicap at Lingfield on Saturday,for small loss of £6.00 .Ran fair enough race,finishing well in closing stages, though could never quite get to the Richard Hannon trained Wahash.The Stakes remain at £96.00.

As usual I will be making the 150 mile trip, early on Friday morning from the East Coast to Lingfield, for what should be excellent days racing on finals day.For the Betting challenge we going concentrate on All Weather Marathon Championship  at 2.00 .

9 runners declared for the £150,000 guaranteed 2 miles Condition stakes .This looks high quality staying contest, the four main contenders are Funny Kid, Red Verdon , Watersmeet & Mountain Bell .

FUNNY KID : 5-Y-0 Bay French Horse,winning 3 out 8 on All Weather .Shown progressive form this season,including winning decent 12f handicap on poly track at Deauville in November.Also finished close second in 2 mile (Fast Track Qualifier) conditions race at Wolverhampton January.Looks open to further improvement over 2 miles.Interesting contender .

RED VERDON : 5-Y-0 Chestnut Horse, winning 3 out 6 on All Weather .Been in good form this winter,including winning 12f Wild Flower Listed race at Kempton in November .Also won 12f condition race at Lingfield last time .Takes big step up in distance,though solid claims if staying this 2 mile trip.

WATERSMEET : 7-Y-0 Grey Gelding ,winning 11 out 21 on All Weather .Been in excellent form this winter,landing a hatrick at Kempton in February ,including winning two Fast Track Qualifiers.Also finished creditable second in this race last year .Goes well here at Lingfield.Solid claims .

MOUNTAIN BELL : 5-Y-0 Bay Mare ,winning 1 out 2 on All Weather.Had some decent form on turf last season ,including winning listed race and finishing second in group three Simon Stakes .Lightly raced on All Weather , though won 2 mile Fast Track Qualifier at Newcastle in December.Looks open to improvement over staying trips .

VERDICT : WATERSMEET should go well in the Marathon,has an excellent record over 2 miles on All Weather (winning 4 out 6) (111321) ,including breaking the course record at Wolverhampton in January .Also has good record here at Lingfield ,with three course victories.Odds around 7-2 look very fair each-way value .

The French raider Funny Kid looks the main danger ,after finishing just neck behind Watersmeet at Wolverhampton in January .Has shown some useful form in France ,and looks unexposed over 2 mile trip .
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WATERSMEET 2.00 LINGFIELD AW MARATHON FRI 30th MARCH
£48.00 E/WAY @ 7-2 BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK* (BOG)
(THIRD SP 3-1JF LOSS £15.00 )

(Betting Bank £2410 divided by 25 =£96.00 stake )

Friday, March 23, 2018

2K to 10k Betting Challenge (Bet No 7 ) Sat 22th March

The 2K to 10k Betting challenge continues on Saturday afternoon, with interesting (class 3) 1 mile handicap from Lingfield )

The betting bankroll stands at £2416 after the last bet Jungle Cat won the Nad Al Sheeba sprint in great style at Meydan (Breaking course record in process ) for nice £211.00 profit . 

That keeps the good run going with three winners in a row .The stakes now increase to £96.00 .

8 Runners declared for (0-95) class three handicap on poly track at Lingfield.Not bad looking handicap for this grade.The three main contenders are Chevallier ,My Target & Poets Society .

CHEVALLIER : 6-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 4 out 24 on All Weather.Goes particarly well at Lingfield, with all four career victories coming over C&D.Last victory coming in class two handicap at Lingfield in February.Also finished fair third over C&D at Lingfield last time,though no easy task off career high mark (96)

MY TARGET : 7-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 7 out 25 on All Weather .Course specialist winning 6 times at Lingfield,including landing hatrick over C&D last season.Not been in same form this season ,though did finish creditable third over C&D at Lingfield last month .Starting to look well handicapped off mark 95 ,having won off 7lb higher mark last season.Looks interesting contender back at Lingfield .

POETS SOCIETY : 4-Y-0 Chestnut Gelding ,winning 4 out 13 on All Weather .Last victory coming in 7f handicap at Chelmsford in January .Also finished fair third at Chelmsford last time in class three handicap.Not badly handicapped off 87,also looks well drawn for front runner ,though has disappointed on both starts over C&D at Lingfield this season .Best form at Chelmsford.

VERDICT : Chevallier will have his supporters having landed two handicaps over C&D at Lingfield this season ,though has been soundly beaten off this mark on his last two starts .Can't be ruled out at his favourite track,though looks high in the weights.

Course specialist MY TARGET will need bounce back to form ,though has dropped to good looking mark (95) ,having won off (102)  last season .Also wasn't beaten that far last time ,when finishing staying on sixth of 11 (beaten under 3L) in the much stronger Lincoln trial at Wolverhampton.Should get the race run to suit ,with plenty pace in the race.Will also be suited returning to Lingfield in this easier grade .Odds around 7-2 look solid value .   
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MY TARGET 3.10 LINGFIELD 
£48.00 EACH-WAY @7-2 WILLIAM HILLS 
(SECOND SP 3-1 LOSS £6.00 )

(Betting bank £2416 divided by 25 = £96.00 stake )