Monday, June 30, 2014

Monthly Results Round Up

June was very consistent month for the blog with £665 profit,which included four winners(7-2)(3-1)(11-4)(9-2) plus four places (6-1) (4-1) (7-1) (9-2) from 10 bets.With + 66.50 % return on investment on the month .

JUNE MONTHLY RESULTS : 

1) THISTLE BIRD (7-2) £50.00 E-W ( WINNER) PROFIT + £218.00
2) BELLE DE LAWERS (9-2) £50.00 E-W (UNPL) LOSS £100.00 / +£118.00
3) VERRAZANO (6-1) £50.00 E-W (SECOND ) PROFIT +£25.00/ £143.00
4) HOT STREAK (4-1) £50.00 E-W (THIRD ) LEVEL + £0.00 / £143.00
5) INTEGRAL (3-1) £50.00 E-W ( WINNER ) PROFIT + £187.50 / + £330.50
6) HILLSTAR (7-1) £50.00 E-W (SECOND) PROFIT + £37.50 / + £368.00
7) CARLA BIANCA* (11-4) £50.00 E-W (WINNER) PROFIT + £132.00 /+£500.00
8) EVITA PERON (9-2) £50.00 E-W (WINNER) PROFIT + £270.00 / + £770.00 
9) AMBIVALENT *(3-1) £50.00 E-W (UNPL ) LOSS £100.00 / +£670.00
10) MY SON MAX (9-2) £50.00 E-W (THIRD )LOSS £5.00 / +£665.00

10 BETS ) 4 WINNERS ) 2 SECONDS ) 2 THIRDS ) 2 UNPLACED )
 
STAKED £1000 ) RETURN £1665 ) PROFIT £665.00)
MONTHLY RETURN ON INVESTMENT 66.50%
 

Monday 30th June Claiming stakes bet

Slightly disappointing result for the blog yesterday with Ambivalent only finishing fourth in Pretty Polly stakes at Curragh behind Thistle Bird ,though overall decent week for blog with 2 winners from 3 bets for £302 profit on the week .

As usual for Monday not much quality ,though we do have interesting  little claiming stakes on fibresand at Souhwell at 3.45 .

3.45 SOUTHWELL 7F APPRENTICE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6: 
9 runners go to post for 7 furlong apprentice claiming stakes on fibresand at Southwell .The three main contenders on official ratings are My Son Max ,Fast Finian & Intrepid 

MY SON MAX :Won  6 from 43  ,including bolting up by 6 lenghs over C&D  in weak three runner seller at Southwell in March,though probably better judged when finishing fair second too useful handicapper Sound Advice in class 4 handicap at Southwell in March .Been running OK on turf this season,including finishing close third in 7 furlong class 5 handicap at Leicester last time .Will be suited dropping into claiming company .

FAST  FINIAN : Had some useful form back in 2012/13 winning four times ,including winning class 3 handicap at Yarmouth off mark 85,though has looked disappointing on last three starts in handicap company ,finishing last of 11 at Yarmouth last time .Looks well treated on official ratings  ,though has big question mark .

INTREPID :Only win came in 7 furlong maiden at Lingfield in 2012 for Jeremy Noseda ,had looked disappointing for Tim Pitt ,finishing unplaced in three starts .However seem return to form last time on his first start for Ian Williams ,finishing close fourth in class 4 handicap over C&D at Southwell .Should go well dropping into class 6 company .

VERDICT : Fast Finian is 8LB clear on official ratings and takes big drop in class ,though has shown next to nothing on his last three starts, and runs on fibresand for first time.Can't be ruled out though will need bounce back after three poor efforts .

MY SON MAX looks the percentage call here ,has ran well on both starts on fibresand here at Southwell .Finished creditable third last time in handicap company at Leicester and will be suited dropping into class 6 company for first time since winning seller over C&D in March .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in weak race .

Intrepid looks obvious danger after finishing fourth over C&D last time ,that race is working out well with third winning class 4 handicap next time . However odds around 9-4 don't look great value for horse that hasn't won for 18 months .

MY SON MAX 3.45 SOUTHWELL
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 LADBROKES*
(THIRD SP 9-2 LOSS £5.00 )






Sunday, June 29, 2014

Sunday 29th June Pretty Polly Stakes bet

On Sunday we have top quality card in Ireland at the Curragh with four group races .Going concentrate on the days feature race the group one Pretty Polly stakes at 4.20 .

4.20 CURRAGH 10F PRETTY POLLY STAKES FILLIES & MARES G1 : 
10 runners declared for G1 Pretty Polly stakes for Fillies & Mares on ground described as Good/Firm .Not the strongest looking G1 contest ,though still looks interesting race .The three main contenders look to be Ambivalent , Thistle Bird & Venus De Milo .

AMBIVALENT : Useful 5 year old mare winning 5 from 15 ,including winning this race last year  ,has shown useful form this season finishing third in G1 Dubai Sheema Classic at Meydan in March ,followed that winning the G2 Middelton Stakes at York in May .Ran creditable third last time in Coronation Cup at Epsom ,behind useful Cirrus De Aigles .Obvious claims returning to this weaker  fillies and mares race.

THISTLE BIRD : Very consistent mare winning 7 from 19 ,including winning G3 Princes Margret stakes at Epsom for last two years.Ran two creditable efforts in G1 company last year, including finishing close second in Nassau Stakes at Glorious Goodwood behind Winsili .Should go well with ideal conditions .

VENUS DE MILO : Decent four year old filly winning 4 from 8 ,had some useful form last season winning three times ,including in G3 company at Cork , though probably ran her best two races when finishing second in Irish Oaks & Yorkshire Oaks . Will be suited by this fast ground,though not certain to be suited by this shorter trip.

VERDICT : Last years winner AMBIVALENT has looked as good as ever this season ,putting in three solid efforts and lost nothing in defeat last time when finishing behind 123 rated Cirrus De Aigles .Looks the one beat in this much weaker  fillies & Mares race . Odds around 3-1 look very fair value.

Thistle Bird looks the main danger on pick of her G1 form, from last season ,though does have bit to find with Ambivalent when finishing behind that mare at York in May .

AMBIVALENT 4.20 CURRAGH  
£50 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 STAN JAMES .PADDY POWER 
(UNPLACED SP 15-8 LOSS £100.00)

Saturday, June 28, 2014

Saturday 28th June Eternal Listed Stakes Bet

On Saturday we have plenty top quality action ,though the racing looks very tricky this weekend with plenty thunderstorms forecast .For the blogs main bet we go to Newmarket for 7 furlong fillies listed race at 4.05.

4.05 NEWMARKET 7F ETERNAL LISTED STAKES :
10 Runners declared for 7 furlong fillies listed race on ground described as good/firm .This doesn't look the strongest listed race with the three main contenders on official ratings All Along ,Evita Peron ,Manderly .

ALONG AGAIN : Won 6 furlong maiden at Lingfield last July & then finished excellent third in G3 Princess Margret stakes at Ascot two weeks later .However was very disappointing on her first start this season finishing last of 17 in Nell Gywn Stakes at Newmarket (Played up in stalls) .Will need bounce back after that poor run,though can't be ruled out if reproducing her Princess Margret form.

EVITA PERON :Progressive filly ,won 19 runner 7 furlong maiden at Newbury in April in good style  .Followed that with good second in conditions race at Ascot ,just getting touched off by Adhwaa on soft  ,though showed improved form last time finishing close fourth in G2 German 1000 guineas.Obvious claims in this listed contest ,any rain would also suit .

MANDERLY : Finished excellent fourth in 1000 guineas at Newmarket at 100-1 behind Miss France ,followed that winning weak 1 mile maiden at Nottingham last time .Not easy to assess as had looked disappointing last season ,though obvious claims if reproducing her Guineas form .

VERDICT : Manderly is clearly the one to beat if reproducing her guineas form ,though she seem get easy lead that day and it looks doubtful she can reproduce that form .Looks worth taking on at around 11-4

EVITA PERON looks to be improving with every race .The form of her fourth in German 1000 Guineas last time looks solid form and she can land this listed contest .Odds around 9-2 looks very fair value.

EVITA PERON 4.05 NEWMARKET 
£50 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 SKYBET* & LADBROKES*
(WINNER SP 3-1 PROFIT  £270.00)

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Wednesday 25th June Naas Oaks Trial Bet

On Wednesday we go to Ireland for facinating 10 furlong listed Oaks Trial  at Naas .10 runners declared for three year old listed race on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders on official ratings are Avenue Gabrial , Carla Bianca & Palace .

7.30 NAAS 10 FURLONG NAAS OAKS TRIAL (LISTED STAKES)
AVENUE GABRIAL :Won twice last season,including 1 mile listed race at Curragh last September.Shown fair form this season ,finishing 1.5 lengh third behind Bracelet in G3 1000,Irish guineas trial at Leopardstown in March .Ran creditable fourth in Irish guineas last time behind Marvelous. Has 3lb penalty,though should be suited by this drop in class .

CARLA BIANCA :Had some useful form as two year old ,finishing second behind Australia in 7 furlong maiden at Curragh and good fourth in G1 Moyglare Stud stakes at Curragh behind Rizeena .Bolted up in 10 furlong maiden last time at Navan beating Starlet by five lenghs .Looked well suited by longer trip on fast ground .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

PALACE :Improving sort ,won 1 mile maiden at Navan in April and finished close second in G3 at Leopardstown in May,though probably ran her best race when finishing staying on 7th of 17 in Epsom Oaks .Drop back in trip shouldn't be problem,though has yet to race on ground this fast .

VERDICT :CARLA BIANCA looks to have ideal conditions here 10 furlongs on fast ground and looks more than capable landing this listed Oaks trial .Had some useful form as two year old finishing behind the likes of Australia & Rizeena . Odds around 11-4 look decent value .

Palace looks obvious danger ,dropping into listed company after contesting two classics ,though has to prove she can handle this very fast ground .


CARLA BIANCA 7.30 NAAS
£50 EACH-WAY @ 11-4* BETVICTOR (R4 20P IN £)
(WINNER SP 13-8 PROFIT £132.00 ) 

Monday, June 23, 2014

Weekly Results Round Up !!!

Steady week for blog at Royal Ascot with one winner & three places from four bets .The highlight was Integral winning G2 Duke Of Cambridge stakes in good style at recommended 3-1 for £187.50 profit. 

The First bet of the week was Verrazano finishing decent second at 6-1 in G1 Queen Anne Stakes behind odds on favourite Toranado,though beaten under lengh never really looked like winning.So Quite happy with £25.00 profit off the race .

Hot Streak ran Ok in G1 King Stand Stakes ,finishing third at recommended 4-1,though was no match for winner Sole Power in closing stakes,though he handles fast ground ,seems much better horse with cut in the ground .Money back of that bet .

Hillstar was no match for stable companion Telescope in G2 Hardwicke Stakes,though ran on well in closing stages to finish never nearer second .No complaints with second place and 7-1 SP was added bonus .For £37.50 profit on the race.

Overall Not spectacular Royal Ascot,though still profitable week with £250.00 profit for the blog.Looking ahead to this week not great deal happening till weekend.Newmarket ,Newcastle & Curragh all stage some top quality action, with the Irish Derby the highlight on Saturday .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
4 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) 2 SECONDS ) 1 THIRD )
PROFIT £250.00  

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 25:
33 BETS ) 10 WINNERS ) 8 SECONDS ) 1 THIRD ) 14 UNPLACED )
PROFIT £905.00

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014 :
STAKED £3350 ) RETURN £4255 ) ROI +28.20%

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Saturday 21st June Royal Ascot Day five .


ROYAL ASCOT 3.45 HARDWICKE STAKES GROUP TWO
10 runners declared for Hardwicke Stakes over 1 mile 4 furlongs .This looks cracking group two contest with the three main contenders : Forgotten Voice , Hillstar & Telescope .

FORGOTTEN VOICE :Useful dual purpose nine year old gelding, winning  6 out 20 on the flat .won twice last season ,including the G3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood in August .Also won at Royal Ascot winning the Listed  Wolferton stakes over 10 furlongs .Finished good second last time behind Mount Athos in Listed race at Newbury .This looks much stronger race ,though goes well here at Ascot and has each-way claims .

HILLSTAR :Progressive three year old last season winning G2 King Edward V11 stakes at Royal Ascot over C&D and then finishing excellent third in G1 King George at Ascot ,behind the useful German colt Novellist.Finished well beaten second last time behind Brown Panther in Ormonde Stakes at Chester ,though looked unsuited by soft ground .Should go well returning to Ascot on fast ground .

TELESCOPE : Won three times from seven starts ,Showed progressive form last season winning twice  ,including winning G2 Great Voltiguer at York in August .Finished second on both starts this season behind Noble Mission on soft ground .Will be suited by fast ground conditions 

VERDICT : Interesting race with Sir Michael Stoute having two live contenders .Telescope will be popular here with Ryan Moore aboard and looks to have ideal conditions,though will still need to improve to take this group two contest .Has to be respected ,though odds around 9-4 look little short.

HILLSTAR'S third in last season's  group one King George over C&D is best form on offer here and can bounce back to form with ground conditions in his favour.Goes well here at Ascot and should go close .Odds around 9-2 look fair value . 

ROYAL ASCOT DAY FIVE :

HILLSTAR 3.45 ASCOT
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365*  
(SECOND SP 7-1 PROFIT £37.50)


Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Wednesday 18th June Royal Ascot Day Two

4.25 ROYAL ASCOT 1M DUKE CAMBRIDGE STAKES G2:
14 runners declared for Group two Duke Cambridge Stakes for .This look cracking mile contest for fillies & mares . The three standout performers are Sky Lantern ,Integral & Esoterique.

SKY LANTERN :High class four year old filly ,won four times in group one company ,including winning 1000 guineas at Newmarket last season .Also won G1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot last year & Sun Chariot at Newmarket .Has 5lb group one penalty here ,though is class act of the field

INTEGRAL :Typical Sir Michael Stoute progressive filly ,won twice last season both at Sandown in Listed race and then dead heated in group three Dahlia Stakes .However ran her best race when finishing 1 lenth second behind Sky Lantern in group one Sun Chariot .Finished close second in Dahlia stakes on her seasonal reappearence behind Esoterique .As with most Sir Michael Stoute horses should improve greatly for her first the run of the season.

ESOTERIQUE : Useful French filly winning 3 from 7 ,also finished close Second in French 1000 guineas last season .Won group three Dahlia stakes at Newmarket over 9 furlongs just pipping Integral by head ,though had fitness edge that day  .Should be thereabouts.

VERDICT : Sky Lantern is class act here having won four group one races ,though faces no easy task conciding 5LB on her first start of the season ,has to be repected though may just need this race .

INTEGRAL on 5LB better terms and fitness edge can reverse form with Sky Lantern and can land the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes .She showed progressive form last season and looks open to plenty improvement this season  .Trainer Sir Michael Stoute also has good record in the race winning three times in last 10 years.Odds around 3-1 look fair value .


ROYAL ASCOT DAY TWO SELECTIONS:

INTEGRAL 4.25 ROYAL ASCOT
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365 *
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3  
(WINNER SP 9-4 PROFIT £187.50)

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Tuesday 17th June Royal Ascot Day One !!

The blog kicks off with two bets on day one at Royal Ascot.

2.30 ROYAL ASCOT 1M QUEEN ANNE STAKES GROUP ONE :
10 runners declared for 1 mile Queen Anne stakes.The first of three group one races on day one at Royal Ascot .The two standout horses here are TORANADO & VERRAZANO both proven group one winners .

TORANADO : Won five times from 8 starts ,won twice last season ,including the Craven at Newmarket & the group one Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood ,beating the useful Drawn Approach .Finished the season with disappointing run in Juddmonte International at York finishing last of 6 over 10 furlongs ,though never looked right that day .Goes well fresh, having won first time out for last two seasons and has obvious claims returning to 1 mile .

VERRAZANO : High class American colt for Todd Pletcher ,winning six out 10 on the dirt ,including two grade one races .Made promising debut for Aiden O ' Brien,finishing third in Lockinge Stakes at Newbury behind Olympic Glory on his first start on the turf .Looks sure come on for that run and looks interesting contender .

VERDICT : Toranado is 5LB clear on official ratings and looks the one to beat on the pick of last seasons form ,though 10-11 looks short for horse that hasn't run for 300 days, on the back of disappointing run in Juddmote International at York last August .

VERRAZANO ran promising race in Lockinge at Newbury and should be spot on for this race,with that run under his belt. With most of Aiden O 'Briens horses this season they have improved greatly for first run of the season .In race lacking strengh in depth VERRAZANO looks the each-way bet against short price fav .
    

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


3.45 ROYAL ASCOT 5F KING STAND STAKES GROUP ONE:

17 runners declared for King Stand stakes,though this looks competitive race the three stand out proven group one performers are SHE SHEA ,SOLE POWER & HOT STREAK .

SHEA SHEA : Useful South African sprinter and three time grade one winner .Ran with credit in Uk last season finishing close second in this race last year, beaten neck by Sole Power .Also finished close second in Nunthorpe at York in August .Finished close third in Al Quoz at Meydan in March on World Cup night . Should be thereabouts ,though seems to come up just short in top group one races in Uk .

SOLE POWER :Grand seven year old ,been running in all top sprint races for last four seasons ,winning two grade one races ,including winning this race last year . Been in decent form this season winning group three Palace House stakes at Newmarket last time.Looks sure to run his race has and solid each-way claims .

HOT STREAK : Improving three year old colt winning 4 from 8 , won twice last season ,including winning by 5 lenghs over C&D in Cornwallis at Ascot in October ,also finished exellent second in G1 Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket .Been in good form this season finishing just behind Sole Power in Palace House Stakes at Newmarket on his first start this season .Improved for that race last time when winning group two Temple Stakes at Haydock .Looks to be progressing with each race .

VERDICT : This looks competitive group one sprint .Last years first and second Sole Power & Shea Shea should both go well again .


However the progressive three year old HOT STREAK can land this group one contest .Was impressive winner of Cornwallis Stakes over course and distance last term .Won the Temple stakes at Haydock last time in good style and still looks open to plenty improvement.



ROYAL ASCOT DAY ONE SELECTIONS ;

VERRAZANO 2.30 ROYAL ASCOT
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3  
(SECOND SP 6-1 PROFIT £25.00)

HOT STREAK 3.45 ROYAL ASCOT 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3-4 
(THIRD SP 3-1 LEVEL )

 


Thursday, June 12, 2014

Thursday June 11th Lord Weinstock Memorial listed stakes bet

On Thursday we have decent looking 10 furlong listed race at Newbury for three year old fillies. ,with 10 runners declared .The three main contenders look to be Belle De Lawers , Eastern Belle & Jordan Princess .

3.25 NEWBURY 10F LORD WEINSTOCK LISTED STAKES :
BELLE DE LAWERS : Caused big upset when winning  by 4 lenghs in 1 mile maiden on debut at Haydock at 50-1 .Showed that was no fluke ,when finishing eye catching fifth in decent looking 1 mile listed race at York last time, finishing well in closing stages.Looks open to plenty improvement and should be suited by this step up in trip .

EASTERN BELLE : Still a maiden after four starts ,though has shown plenty of promise ,finishing second on her last three starts .Finished good second last time in 10 furlong listed race at Goodwood behind Marsh Daisy on soft ground .Should go well if handling this faster ground .

JORDAN PRINCESS :Finished promising second on her seasonal reappearence this season ,behind the useful Taghrooda in 10 furlong listed race at Newmarket.However was bitterly disappointing last time when finishing last of 7 when favourite behind Marsh Daisy at Goodwood on Soft ground .Not easy to assess ,though will need to bounce back after that poor effort.

VERDICT : Eastern Belle is 5LB clear on official ratings and seem to show big improvement last time when stepping up in trip .However all her best form has been on soft surface and has to prove she can handle much quicker ground .Has to be respected ,though odds around 3-1 look short for horse that is still maiden

The lightly raced BELLE DE LAWERS can land this listed contest on only her third start ,she ran very promishing fifth last time at York in what looked stronger listed race and looks sure to improve over this longer trip .Odds around 9-2 look very fair value .


BELLE DE LAWERS 3.25 NEWBURY
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365* , BETVICTOR
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00) 

*Best price guarantee



Friday, June 06, 2014

Friday 6th June Princess Elizabeth Stakes Bet

 1.35 EPSOM PRINCESS ELIZABETH STAKES GROUP 3 :
10 Runners declared for G3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes, on ground described as good .This looks decent contest for Fillies & Mares .The four main contenders on official ratings are :Mango Diva ,Just The Judge,Odeliz & Thistle Bird .

MANGO DIVA :  Progressive 4-Y-0 filly for Sir Michael Stoute ,winning three times last season ,including winning nine furlong G3 at Gowan Park in September .finished fair fourth on her seasonal reappearence in group two Middleton Stakes at York last time,though will need career best effort to land this contest .

JUST THE JUDGE : Had some very useful form last season ,including finishing second in 1000 guineas at Newmarket & winning Irish 1000 guineas at Curragh ,though has looked disappointing on her last three starts,including when well beaten in G3 Earl Of Sefton at Newmarket on her seasonal reappearence in April .Will need to bounce back ,though respected on pick of her form .

ODELIZ :Consistent filly ,won twice last season ,including listed race at Lonchamp over 11 furlongs .Already had three starts this season ,only just getting touched off in G3 at Curragh in March .Also finished creditable third in G2 Middleton Stakes at York ,finishing ahead of Mango Diva & Thistle Bird .Should be thereabouts ,though more likely to be placed than win .

THISTLE BIRD : Useful 6-Y-0 mare, with plenty decent form last season, including winning this race last year .Also finished good second in G1 Nassau Stakes at Goodwood only beaten neck ,though probably ran her best race in Prix De L ' Opera only beaten nose & neck behind the useful Dalkala on Arc Day .

VERDICT :  Last years winner THISTLE BIRD can return to winning ways in Princess Elizabeth Stakes .Has won second time out ,for last three seasons and can reverse York form with both Odeliz & Mango Diva .On the pick of her 2013 form, looks to hold outstanding claims in this group three contest .Odds around 3-1 look decent value .

Just The Judge will need to bounce back after three disappointing efforts ,though had some useful form around this time last year and would be big danger if reproducing her guineas & Royal Ascot form.

THISTLE BIRD 1.35 EPSOM
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3  
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT +218.75 )

Best Odds Guarantee*