Monday, June 30, 2014

Monday 30th June Claiming stakes bet

Slightly disappointing result for the blog yesterday with Ambivalent only finishing fourth in Pretty Polly stakes at Curragh behind Thistle Bird ,though overall decent week for blog with 2 winners from 3 bets for £302 profit on the week .

As usual for Monday not much quality ,though we do have interesting  little claiming stakes on fibresand at Souhwell at 3.45 .

9 runners go to post for 7 furlong apprentice claiming stakes on fibresand at Southwell .The three main contenders on official ratings are My Son Max ,Fast Finian & Intrepid 

MY SON MAX :Won  6 from 43  ,including bolting up by 6 lenghs over C&D  in weak three runner seller at Southwell in March,though probably better judged when finishing fair second too useful handicapper Sound Advice in class 4 handicap at Southwell in March .Been running OK on turf this season,including finishing close third in 7 furlong class 5 handicap at Leicester last time .Will be suited dropping into claiming company .

FAST  FINIAN : Had some useful form back in 2012/13 winning four times ,including winning class 3 handicap at Yarmouth off mark 85,though has looked disappointing on last three starts in handicap company ,finishing last of 11 at Yarmouth last time .Looks well treated on official ratings  ,though has big question mark .

INTREPID :Only win came in 7 furlong maiden at Lingfield in 2012 for Jeremy Noseda ,had looked disappointing for Tim Pitt ,finishing unplaced in three starts .However seem return to form last time on his first start for Ian Williams ,finishing close fourth in class 4 handicap over C&D at Southwell .Should go well dropping into class 6 company .

VERDICT : Fast Finian is 8LB clear on official ratings and takes big drop in class ,though has shown next to nothing on his last three starts, and runs on fibresand for first time.Can't be ruled out though will need bounce back after three poor efforts .

MY SON MAX looks the percentage call here ,has ran well on both starts on fibresand here at Southwell .Finished creditable third last time in handicap company at Leicester and will be suited dropping into class 6 company for first time since winning seller over C&D in March .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in weak race .

Intrepid looks obvious danger after finishing fourth over C&D last time ,that race is working out well with third winning class 4 handicap next time . However odds around 9-4 don't look great value for horse that hasn't won for 18 months .

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 LADBROKES*
(THIRD SP 9-2 LOSS £5.00 )

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