Friday, June 03, 2016

6.00 Curragh 6F Ballyogan Stakes (Fillies & Mares ) (Sat 4th June )

Disappointing result on Friday,with Scrutineer fading to finish fifth in 7 furlong Surrey Stakes listed race at Epsom .Having looked all over the winner with two furlongs to run,though seem  go for home bit too early,fading badly inside the last 100 yds.In fact trading as short as 1-5 in running on betfair .

Nevermind moving to Saturday we have Derby day at Epsom ,though not easy to find any value bets at Epsom, with some very competitive races ,with the Derby looking very difficult race .

For blogs best bet on Saturday ,we go to Ireland for decent looking 6 furlong group three contest at the Curragh .

9 runners declared for quality looking group 3 Ballyogan Stakes at Curragh ,on ground described as good/firm.The three main contenders look to be Fort Del Oro ,Only Mine & Marsha.

FORT DEL ORO :Useful 4-Y-0 filly,winning 3 out 7,including winning two listed races .Won in good style on seasonal reappearance in 5 furlong listed race at Navan in April,though very disappointing last time when finishing last of seven in 6F group 2 at Curragh ,though didn't seem handle soft ground.Needs to bounce back,though will be suited by this better ground.

ONLY MINE : Progressive 3-Y-0 filly ,winning 3 out 9 .Produced career best effort ,when winning the G3 Lacken Stakes at Naas last time ,beating Washington DC in good style .Also won listed race at Newmarket last October on soft ground .Has 3LB group three penalty ,though has solid claims .

MARSHA : Consistent sort ,winning 2 out 5 ,also been placed three times.Finished fair third in 5F listed race at Dundalk in October ,behind the useful Take Cover .Made promising seasonal reappearance in decent class two handicap at Newmarket last time ,finishing close 2ND ,off mark 95 .Will need more improvement to win G3 contest .

VERDICT : FORT DEL ORO can bounce back to form on this better ground.Had previously shown some useful form in listed company and clearly didn't handle testing conditions last time.Also goes well here at the Curragh ,winning twice over C&D .Odds around 7-2 look solid value .

Only Mine looks the main danger ,after winning in group three company last time ,though won't find it easy under penalty and takes on older sprinters for first time .

(SECOND SP 11-4 LOSS £60.00 )    

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