Thursday, June 02, 2016

5.15 Epsom 7F Surrey Stakes (Listed Race ) Fri 3rd June

On Friday we see start of the two day Epsom Derby meeting ,with the feature race on Friday the group one Epsom Oaks at 4.30 .

Not an easy first day at Epsom to find value bets,with ground conditions likely to be testing,after 27mm rain since Tuesday .For blogs best bet ,we will concentrate on one the supporting races the 7 furlong Surrey Listed stakes at 5.15 .

8 runners declared for the 7 furlong 3-Y-0 Surrey Stakes .Not bad looking 3-Y-0 Listed contest at Epsom, with the three main contenders being Haalick ,Calder Prince & Scrutineer .

HAALICK : Progressive sort ,winning 2 out 6 ,including winning 7F Spring Cup listed race on poly track at Lingfield in March .Also finished very creditable 2ND in 7F Greatwood Handicap stakes at Goodwood last time ,off mark 101 .Should go well ,if handling this softer ground .

CALDER PRINCE : Won first two starts as 2-Y-0 at Pontefract & Chelmsford ,no show on turf at Meydan in two starts ,though bounced back to form last time at Haydock when making all to win 7F class 3 handicap on soft ground ,off mark 94 .Needs to show more improvement ,though will be suited ground conditions .

SCRUTINEER :Consistent type,winning 2 out 6 (both wins on softish ground )Shown solid form this season ,including finishing good 2ND in Listed Free Handicap at Newmarket ,behind the useful Ibn Malik ,on easy ground .Also finished fair 3RD in King Charles 11 stakes at Newmarket last time (unsuited by G/F ground)  .Should go well ,with ground conditions sure to suit .

VERDICT : The Roger Varian trained Haalick will be popular here,after finishing excellent 2ND in quality class two handicap at Goodwood last time off top weight,though has to concede weight all round here.Has to be respected ,though is unproven on ground this soft, and odds around 13-8  look poor value .

SCRUTINEER looks the each-way value here ,having shown solid form in listed company this season .Will be suited by this soft ground,having shown all his best form with plenty of give in  ground .Odds around 5-1 look very fair value .

(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £100.00 )

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