Monday, April 11, 2016

4.30 Newmarket 7F Nell Gwyn Stakes G3 (Tue 12th April )

On Tuesday we see the start of Newmarket's Craven meeting.I will be traveling down early Tuesday morning ,for good looking seven race card at Newmarket.

For the blogs best bet on the card ,going concentrate on the day's feature race the 7F G3 Nell Gwyn Stakes for three year old fillies at 4.30.

13 runners go to post for days feature race at Newmarket, the 7F G3 Nell Gwyn stakes with £60,000 guaranteed prize money.The three main contenders look to be Illuminate , First Victory & Nathra .

ILLUMINATE :Won first 3 starts,including winning group races at Royal Ascot (Albany Stakes ) & Newmarket (Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes) Also finished excellent 2ND in G1 Cheveley Park Stakes .Should be thereabouts ,though has 3LB penalty and won't want too much rain . 

FIRST VICTORY :Unbeaten in two starts,winning both starts at Newmarket over C&D ,including winning G3 Oh So Sharp Stakes in October on easy ground .(That form wasn't worked out)However Looks open to improvement this season ,though this looks decent contest .

NATHRA :Progressive filly ,winning two minor 7F events in good style on soft ground .However showed big improvement last time ,finishing excellent 2ND behind 1000 guineas favourite Minding in G1 Dubai Fillies Mile .The return to 7F wont be problem and will suited by any rain .

VERDICT : NATHRA ran a cracker in G1 Fillies Mile at Newmarket back in October ,chasing home the very useful Minding .Looks the one beat if reproducing that form ,with this drop in class sure to suit .Odds around 7-2 looks solid value .

First Victory looks the main danger ,having won both starts over C&D at Newmarket and looks improving sort .


NATHRA 4.30 NEWMARKET
£60.00 WIN @ 7-2 WILLIAM HILLS*
(WINNER SP 5-4 PROFIT £168.00 )
R4 20P IN £ EARLY PRICES 

2 comments:

  1. Thanks Jason ,yeah NATHRA won well ,looks nice filly ,especially on soft ground .

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