Saturday, August 29, 2015

4.20 Curragh 9F Dance Design Fillies Stakes G3 (Sunday 30th Aug)

Disappointing result on Saturday with Portamento running a stinker in 6 furlong listed race at Newmarket ,only finishing 7th for £100.00 loss on the day .

Moving On to Sunday, we go to Ireland for decent looking group three race for fillies over nine furlongs at Curragh .

4.20 CURRAGH 9F DANCE DESIGN FILLIES STAKES G3 :
9 runners declared for decent looking fillies group three contest over 9 furlongs on ground described as yielding .The three main contenders are Brooch , Bocca Baciata & Devonshire .

BROOCH : Decent filly winning 4 out 6 , including group two contest over mile at Curragh in May .Finished good second over C&D in group two contest at Curragh last time . Has 5LB group two penalty ,though should go well in first time blinkers .

BOCCA BACIATA : Won two from 7 starts ,including winning listed race over 10 furlongs at Navan in April .Finished good third over C&D at Curragh last time in G2 company .Finishing strongly in the closing stages .Ground conditions will suit and looks open to improvement .

DEVONSHIRE : Consistent filly, though only one win from 10 starts , has shown some useful place form ,including finishing third in Irish 1000 guineas in May.Finished decent second at Killarney  last time in listed company .Each-way claims ,though poor win strike rate .

 VERDICT : BOCCA BACIATA ran eyecatching third over C&D in group two company last time ,finishing never nearer third .Can reverse form with Brooch,with softer ground conditions more in her favour . Odds around 7-2 look good value .

BOCCA BACIATA 4.20 CURRAGH
£60.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2* BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK 
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT +£252.00 ) 


3.25 Newmarket 6 Furlong Listed Stakes (Sat 29th August )

The blog returns after bit of summer break.2015 has been stop start year for the blog.Finding time to write regular blog has been difficult this year .With having deal with two family bereavements in last 12 months .Hopefully we can get back on track, and there should be regular posts over the next few weeks.

Moving on to Saturday we have some decent racing, with the G2 Celebration Mile at Goodwood being the feature race ,though bit of disappointing turn out, with only six runners declared .Odds on favourite Kodi Bear should be difficult to beat .

For the blogs main bet on Saturday we go to Newmarket, for decent looking sprint listed race on ground described at Good

 3.25 NEWMARKET 6F HOPEFUL STAKES LISTED RACE:
9 runners go to post for 6 furlong listed race on the July course at Newmarket .The three main contenders are Dinkum Diamond , Portamento & Lucky Kristale .

DINKUM DIAMOND : Won five from 41 starts ,though not won since winning Listed race at Doncaster in March 2014 .Finished good fourth in Stewards Cup at Glorious Goodwood last time off mark 102 .Should be thereabouts ,though not easy to win with these days .

PORTAMENTO : Progressive three year old ,winning five from 12 starts .Won class two handicap at Chester in July off mark 102 .Finished fair fourth in 6 furlong listed race at Chester last time ,behind the useful Eastern Impact .That looked fair effort from not the best of draws .Seems to Handle any ground.

LUCKY KRISTALE : Had some useful form as two year old ,winning two group 2 races ,including Lowther stakes at York . Showed very little as three year old  ,though bounced back to form last time finishing excellent second in Summer Stakes at York, behind New Providence .Obvious claims if she can reproduce that form .

 VERDICT : Lucky Kristale will be popular here, after only beaten head in group three company last time at York ,though hasn't won for over two years and not the most reliable filly.

At the prices PORTAMENTO looks the each-way value here at around 11-2, after finishing  fourth at Chester last time,that looked decent effort, as was forced to race very wide throughout from poor draw ,and was only beaten 1.75 lenghs .Has shown solid form in listed/group company, and should go well for inform Charlie Appleby stable .

PORTAMENTO : 3.25 NEWMARKET
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-2 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 11-2 LOSS £100.00)