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Saturday, February 04, 2012

Saturdays claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Saturday with one claiming race at Wolverhampton ,though once again we have small field with just five runners .


February looks like being very quiet month with very few betting opportunities in claiming races.Will just have to stay very patient and wait for  good betting opportunity.Hopefully sooner rather than latter .


4.15 WOLVERHAMPTON 12F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just five runners go to post for 12F claiming stakes at Wolverhampton .This looks golden opportunity for La Estrella to record his 12th claiming success.


La Estrella :Fantastic record in claiming company winning 11 from 12 .Easy winner last time in claimer over C&D at Wolverhampton beating Country Road  by 5 lenghs .


Halla San : One time useful flat and hurdles performer, including finishing close 2ND in 2008 Northumberland Plate at Newcastle .Has shown very little on his last three starts on turf including when beaten in claimer at York.


Country Road : Consistent type and dual C&D winner here at Wolverhampton ,finished well beaten third yesterday at Wolverhampton in 9F claimer .Will be suited returning to this longer trip ,though has plenty to find with La Estrella .


VERDICT : LA ESTRELLA cannot be opposed in this company and should make it win number 19 .For those who like odds on shots 1-3 looks very fair price in such weak race.


Country Road normally runs his race and will be suited returning to this longer trip and can again chase home La Estrella for the forecast.


(1) LA ESTRELLA (2) COUNTRY ROAD    

Friday, February 03, 2012

Fridays claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Friday with two claiming races .Wolverhampton 2.40 & Lingfield 2.55 .


Field sizes this week in the claiming races have been very disappointing, with not one race with more than six runners ,this makes it very difficult to find any value bets , though hardly a surprise to see such small fields when your racing for peanuts . 


2.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 9F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5 
5 runners go to post for 9F claimer at Wolverhampton .This looks match between Munsarim & Faithful Ruler .


Munsarim : Been in good form this winter winning back to back claimers at Wolverhampton and Lingfield over mile .Won with bit in hand last time at Lingfield in what looked decent claimer when beating Red Somerset by 0.5 lenghs .


Faithful Ruler : Reliable sort and has fair record here at Wolverhampton having won four times .Won 1 mile seller here at Wolverhampton earlier last month beating Unlimited by short head.


VERDICT : Faithful Ruler goes well here at Wolverhampton and looks the main danger ,though this looks lot stronger race than the seller he won earlier this month .


MUNSARIM unbeaten in claiming company 2 from 2, has looked improved performer since wearing blinkers and can land the three timer in this claimer .At the likely prices not betting race for me.


(1) MUNSARIM (2) FAITHFUL RULER       


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LINGFIELD 2.55 7F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Only three runners go to post for 3 year old claimer .


Roedean : Landed a quick fire hatrick at Southwell on Thursday winning a maiden and two sellers ,looks sure to go well in this weak looking claimer.


Haafhd Handsome :Still a maiden after 7 starts ,though has been placed three times in maiden company .Has looked bit disappointing on his last two starts in handicap company .Drops into claiming company for first time .




VERDICT :Haafhd Handsome in first time blinkers has to be respected, taking this drop into claiming company for first time ,still needs to improve on his last two efforts,though still rates as main danger


ROEDEAN looks more solid than his main rival and has shown plenty improvement since wearing cheek pieces .Odds around 8-13 make little appeal and another no bet race for me.


(1) RODEAN  (2) HAAFHD HANDSOME 


Thursday, February 02, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & Wolverhampton .Just the one claiming race at Wolverhampton over 6 furlongs .


2.20 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 :
6 runners go to post for 6F claiming stakes at Wolverhampton .The three main contenders look to be, Hinton Admiral , Haadeeth & Steel Cut .


Hinton Admiral : Good record in claiming company winning five times .Been in good form this winter winning seller at Lingfield earlier last month and finishing second last time in 6F claimer at Lingfield.


Haadeeth : Won 6F handicap over C&D at Wolverhampton in October off mark 63 .Bounced back to form last time finishing close second in 6F handicap at Kempton off mark 70 .Drops into claiming company for first time .


Steelcut : Four time winner here at Wolverhampton ,including winning two claimers in 2011 .Returned to form last time finishing fair third in 5F claimer behind Master Of Disguise at Wolverhampton.


VERDICT : Hinton Admiral has to be respected in this grade ,though faces no easy task trying to concede 10LB to his main rival .


Steelcut is very inconsistent type, though does have good record here at Wolverhampton in this grade and looks possible danger.


HAADEETH looks bit more solid than his two main rivals and will be suited dropping into claiming company for first time .However odds around 9-4 don't make great appeal .I was hoping for around the 11-4 / 3-1 mark for definite bet .At the current odds its unfortunately a no bet race for me.


(1) HAADEETH (2) STEELCUT 




Wednesday, February 01, 2012

Monthly results round up !!!

With no claiming races on Wednesday,this gives me good opportunity to update the monthly figures for January .


Overall its been good month with 4 winners from 10 bets for profit £824 / 8.24 pts .After slow start to the month the last two weeks have been very good with 4 winners and 2 places from 6 bets .


Since switching to the claiming races in December the results have definitely shown big improvement with two winning months in row .Hopefully the good run of results will continue in February .


 MONTHLY RESULTS FOR JANUARY :
10 BETS ) 4 WINNERS ) 1 SECOND ) 1 THIRD ) 4 UNPLACED)
PROFIT +£824 / 8.24 PTS


RETURN ON INVESTMENT FOR JANUARY :
STAKED £1550 / 15.50 PTS ) RETURN £2374 / 23.74PTS ) ROI +53.84% ) 



Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Tuesday's claiming analysis !!!

Monday's bet on One More Roman finished second in 6F claiming stakes ,no real complaints was given good ride by Amy Ryan from the front ,and looked the likely winner with 2 furlongs to run.


Trading short as 1-4 in running on betfair ,though was unable to hold on inside final furlong and in the end was beaten 1.5 lenghs .Small profit on the race of £6.00 


Moving onto Tuesday's racing we have one claiming race over 6F on the fibresand at Southwell.


SOUTHWELL 2.30 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Six runners go to post for 6F claiming stakes at Southwell ,this looks very tricky race with four of the runners having some kind of chance.


Malcheek :Prolific winner over the years with excellent record on All Weather winning 5 from 11 ,though hasn't shown much on recent starts and drop back to 6F looks big question mark.


Imprimis Tagula :Course specialist with 8 wins here at Southwell ,though hasn't shown much for over a year and was very disappointing last time when well beaten in seller here at Southwell.


Katy's Secret : Consistent mare with unbeaten record here at Southwell 2 from 2 ,won 6F claimer over C&D last time at Southwell beating Stevie G in good style .Has plenty to find on official handicap ratings ,though is in top form and cannot be ruled out with plenty question marks about her main rivals .


Pick A Little : Won 4 times in 2011 for Ron Hodges ,including twice on poly track .Finished fair fourth last time for new trainer Hughie Morrison in 6F handicap at Wolverhampton off mark 80 .Makes his first start on fibresand 


VERDICT : Both Malcheek & Imprimis Tagula have looked very disappointing on recent starts and both appear on the downgrade. Katy's Secret is very reliable in this grade and looks sure run her race ,though faces stiff task at these weights.


PICK A LITTLE has to prove he can handle fibresand ,though looks to have best recent form finishing fourth of mark 80 last time .Will be suited by this drop in class and trainer Hughie Morrison has very good record here at Southwell .


This looks difficult claimer with question marks about all the runners.PICK A LITTLE looks the most solid ,though odds around 6-4 look no value on horse unproven on the surface.Not betting race for me and will wait for better opportunity.



(1) PICK A LITTLE (2) KAT'Y'S SECRET    

Monday, January 30, 2012

Mondays best bets !!

One flat card on Monday at Wolverhampton with 6 furlong 3 year old claiming race at 2.35 


2.35 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
Just five runners go to post for 6F 3-Y-0 claiming stakes .On official handicap ratings this looks three horse race between Redair , Faraway & One More Roman .


Redair :Won 5F claimer at Lingfield on Friday beating Thorpe Bay ,though that looked very weak race with that rival only rated 58 .Has to be respected at these weights ,though this looks much stronger race and both career wins came over 5 furlongs .


Faraway : Dual C&D winner here at Wolverhampton winning seller & claimer in 2011 and also finished close second behind Le King Beau (5 time claiming winner ) at the end of December ,though has looked disappointing on his last two starts when well beaten in claimer and seller .


One More Roman : Won two races for Stan Moore in December , including winning 7 furlong claimer here at Wolverhampton .Finished second over C&D on his first start for Gay Kellaway earlier this month with Faraway back in third.Looked disappointing last time when finishing last of 5 in handicap at Southwell ,though didn't seem to handle  fibresand.


VERDICT : Faraway's looks well treated at these weights and is 8LB better off with One More Roman when beaten 3.5 lengh earlier this month ,though odds around 6-4 look short for horse that was well beaten on his last two starts in similar company.


ONE MORE ROMAN has to bounce back after disappointing run at Southwell last time ,though previously had put in two solid runs at Wolverhampton .Has plenty early speed and could take some catching  in this small field .Odds around 9-2 look fair value .


MONDAY'S BEST BET :


2.35 WOLVEREHAMPTON: ONE MORE ROMAN
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 *BET VICTOR  
(SECOND SP 3-1 ) PROFIT + £6.25 / 0.06


*BEST ODDS GUARANTEE






  


  

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Weekly results / round up !!

Another decent week with 2 winners from 2 bets for £630 / 6.30 pts profit on the week .Both bets winning at Wolverhampton on Friday evening .

The first bet was on Master Of Disguise in opening race, 5F claiming stakes winning comfortably at 5-2 for + £300 / 3.00 pts profit.

The second bet was on Spinning Ridge in the 1 mile claiming stakes,this was lot closer race with Spinning Ridge just holding on by head at 11-4 for £330 / 3.30 pts profit .

Very happy how the claiming races have gone in January we have put up 20 selections in the claiming races with 10 winners .(7-2)(3-1)(11-4)(5-2)(5-2)(5-2)(Ev)(5-6)(2-7)(2-7) for profit of 9.59 at 1pt win level stakes at SP.

My own personal bets there's been 9 bets in claiming races in January with 4 winners(10-3)(3-1)(11-4)(5-2)for profit £818.00 / 8.18 pts .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
2 BETS ) 2 WINNERS ) PROFIT +£630 /6.30PTS

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 4 :
9 BETS ) 4 WINNERS ) 0 SECONDS ) 1 THIRD ) 4 UNPLACED)
PROFIT + £818.00 / 8.18 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012:
STAKED £1450 ) RETURN £2268 ) ROI +58.73%)


FROM JULY 7TH  2011 
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