Saturday, January 07, 2012

Saturdays claiming analysis !!!

Disappointing day on Friday with both bets in 5 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton both running poorly, after being well supported in market .Red Cape going off the 5-2 favourite from 7-2 and Hinton Admiral 9-2 from 6-1 ,though both horses ran well below form finishing fifth and sixth.

Not a bet I normally use backing two in the same race ,though I thought early morning favourite Drawnfromthepast was worth taking on at the prices and Red Cape & Hinton Admiral both looked value bets at the prices.

Have to admit got the race totally wrong with 12-1 outsider Desert Strike winning comfortably from Angelo Poliziano .Loss on the day £250 / 2.50 pts 

Moving on too Saturdays racing one flat card at Lingfield with 10 furlong classified claiming stakes at 12.40.

8 runners for 10 furlong classified claimer .The three last time out winners Kings Colour ,Ajdaad & Irons on Fire look the main contenders .

Kings Colour : Bounced back to form last time winning easily in seller over C&D at Lingfield ,had some decent form in 2010 winning three handicaps including winning at Epsom off mark 82 .

Ajdaad : Won three races in 2011 ,including winning 1 mile seller here at Lingfield last time beating Pipers Piping by neck .Has to prove he can stay this longer trip.

Irons on Fire : Has run two solid races over 12 furlongs here at Lingfield finishing second in handicap back in December off mark 63 ,followed that with an easy win in seller here last time at Lingfield beating Eagle Nebula by 3.5 lenghs .

VERDICT : This looks competitive claimer and not easy to separate the three last time out winners .Kings Colour has to concede weight all round ,though is slightly favoured after returning to form last time winning seller over course and distance.Had previously shown some decent form in better races.

Irons on Fire looks the biggest danger after winning 12f seller last time at Lingfield ,though the drop back in trip has to be concern . 



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