Saturday, December 03, 2011

Solid Start !!!

Nice to get good start with claiming races yesterday . OPUS MAXIMUS winning the 1 mile claiming stakes at Wolverhampton at 7-2 for £420 profit on the day.Given excellent ride by Kirsty Milczarek coming from near last to first to win shade cosily .


JONOOB won the other claiming stakes at Lingfield under Ryan Moore ,though  looking the likeliest winner odds around 15-8 in morning didn't look the greatest value ,though was very heavily supported going off 5-4 favourite and was impressive 7 lengh winner.Not surprising was subsequently claimed by Tom Dascombe for £12,000 


Moving onto today's racing just the one flat card an evening fixture at Wolverhampton .Unfortunately no claiming race on the 8 race card .No bet on Saturday . 

Friday, December 02, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Two claiming races on Friday (1.45 Lingfield) & (4.30 Wolverhampton)  


1.45 LINGFIELD 10F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 :


Just seven runners declared for this 10 furlong claimer at Lingfield .This looks three runner race with Junoob,Beat of The Blues & Dr Livingstone well clear on offical handicap ratings .


JUNOOB formerly trained by John Dunlop won on his first start for Amy Weather at Kempton in 12 furlong claimer, did well to win that day in steadily run race, coming from off the pace to win with bit in hand at finish


Beat of the Blues has 6LB pull in the weights with Junoob for 0.75 lengh beating at Kempton ,though seemed to have the run of the race that day and may struggle to reverse form even with 6lb pull


Dr Livingstone came back to form last time winning in good style in four runner, 12 furlong claimer at Kempton beating Scampadale by 2.5 lenghs in race run at crawl (15 seconds slower than standard) 


VERDICT : JUNOOB won nicely last time and can confirm the form with Beat of the Blues .Dr Livingstone has to be respected and looks the main danger .Looking at the prices JUNOOB looks most likely winner though at around 15-8 represents  little value .


( NO BET RACE )




4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON 9F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6


Open looking 0-70 classified claimer with nine course winners .Opus Maximus ,Ajdaad and Spinning Ridge look the three to concentrate on.


OPUS MAXIMUS has been great form this year winning four times.(Last three wins in claimers) Finished  good second yesterday over C&D  in class 5 handicap behind the well treated Greyfriarschorista .Will be suited returning to claiming company.


Ajdaad goes well here at Wolverhampton dual C&D winner this season winning handicap in November off mark 65 .Looked unlucky last time when badly hampered in handicap behind Pipers Piping .


Spinning Ridge dual course winner been in good form this year winning four times.Finished close second last time behind Winged Valkirie over C&D off mark 68 .Drops into claiming company for first time.




VERDICT : OPUS MAXIMUS ran well here yesterday in handicap off mark 70 on his first start for Conor Dore .Has decent record in claiming races this year winning 3 from 8 and is best in at the  weights. 3-1 looks fair value . Both Ajaad and Spinning Ridge look the main two dangers having been in good form this season .




TODAYS BEST BET :


OPUS MAXIMUS 4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
(WINNER SP 7-2 ) +£420 / 4.20 PTS
1PT EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET 365 ,PADDY POWER ,LADBROKES,BOYLESPORTS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 
       
STAKING :1 TO 3 POINTS : 
MY PERSONAL BETS ARE £100 PER POINT:
   

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Blog returns with change ahead !!!



After suffering disappointing run of results this year  decided to take one month break and analyze the results since the blog the started in February 2010 .

This year had started well with three winning months in a row, since April the bets haven't been performing with any great consistency and though showing small profit on the year I was really disappointed how things had turned out this year .

After going through all the results I was very surprised to discover how well I have done in claiming races  compared to all other type races .Since the blog started on February 2ND 2010 there has been 82 BETS in claimers with  30 WINNERS with 36.63% strike rate and total profit of £7169

2010 : 58 BETS )24 WINNERS)PROFIT £5988/ 59.88
2011: 24 BETS ) 6 WINNERS )PROFIT £1181/ 11.81 

In the other type races which mainly consists of group ,listed ,maidens,condition and selling races I was showing a loss of £1726 .

Specializing in claiming races looks the way forward ,these races seem suit my betting style best. From December I will be making changes, the blog will now concentrate only in claiming races with detailed analysis on every flat claiming race run in UK

I'm expecting big improvement in the results over the next 12 months with this change and hopefully I can get fast start in December .