Saturday, September 11, 2010

St Leger day

Another decent day on Friday with BILKO PAK winning nicely at 7-2 for £210 / 2.10 pts profit ,given an excellent ride by Richard Hughes coming from well of the pace to win comfortably.

We have two St Legers on Saturday at Doncaster and the Curragh.At Doncaster REWILDING will take plenty of beating after finishing third in Epsom  Derby in June ,then went on to win Great Voltiguer at York by very easy 4 Lenghs , though looks very short price now at around 5-4 and does still have to prove he will stay 1 Mile 6 furlongs.

At Curragh we have the Irish St Leger this race is open to older horses and 4-Y-0 SANS FRONTIERES looks quite interesting runner after winning the Geoffrey Freer stakes at Newbury last time.

Plenty top quality racing on Saturday ,though after going through all six cards on Friday night , I just couldn't come up with any decent value bet .and with the uncertainty with the weather , plenty rain forecast overnight ,I have decided not to get involved in any bets on Saturday.


Friday, September 10, 2010

Fridays best bets

Excellent day on Thursday with the only bet DAAS RITE winning nicely by 1.25 lenghs, returning very generous price of 6-1 for £ 720 profit / 7.20 pts on the day

Very surprised DAAS RITE drifted so much in market, BET365 were best price 7-2 in morning,strangely the price drifted to 6-1 just before the off ,jockey Neil Callan always had the horse in good position and came through to win quite comfortably.

Most UK online bookmakers now offer BEST PRICE GUARANTEE ,which is fantastic offer for punters.Today instead of winning £420 profit ,it ended up £720 profit.

On to Friday's racing we have four cards and see the third day of the Doncaster St Leger meeting with some top quality races including Doncaster cup run over 2 MILES 2 FURLONGS the oldest horse race in world first run in 1766. Nothing really stands out for me at Doncaster, so will give that meeting a miss,just going concentrate on the one race at Wolverhampton the 6 furlong claiming race run at 6.00.

6F 2-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00


BILKO PAK ;Below form on his last two starts, though has faced difficult tasks  in class 2 handicaps and not surprising was well beaten on both starts.Has won twice this season including on polytrack at Kempton in June winning class 4 novice event beating Fifth Ave (winner since) by 1.25 lenghs,also won maiden at Windsor back in April,takes big drop in class here into class 5 claimer.Trainer Richard Hannon has an excellent record with his runners this season at Wolverhampton 4 wins from 8 starts .

DANGER- HORTENSIA looks the danger ,getting 6LB from BILKO PAK,been very consistent this season winning twice and finishing second three times and won in claiming company two starts ago.


VERDICT;BILKO PAK looks the one to beat, takes big drop in class here ,has won in better company  proven over 6F on polytrack and Richard Hughes travels from Doncaster to take the ride.Looking for 3-1 or bigger.




BILKO PAK 6.00 WOLVERHAMPTON
0.50 PT E-WAY / £50 EACH WAY @ 7-2 BET365
(WINNER 7-2) PROFIT + £210 / 2.10 PTS










Thursday, September 09, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Day two of Doncaster St Leger meeting ,looks incredibly tough with massive sized fields and very competitive racing and for second day running will be giving Doncaster meeting a miss.Going concentrate on just the one race at Kempton's evening card ,7F claimer run at 7.15

7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 6 KEMPTON 7.15


DAAS RITE;Decent second last time in above average 2-Y-0 claimer at Wolverhampton over 7F behind Malice and mischief ,beaten 2.25 lenghs( finishing strongly).Won 6F seller at Thirsk back in May beating Madam markievicz by 2 lenghs .Neil Callan also looks positive jockey booking replacing the inexperienced 7LB claimer Julie Burke,should go well in this weak claimer.


DANGERS;FALKLAND FLYER looks possible danger winning 7F maiden back in June ,though has been well beaten on his last four starts in much better company ,now takes big drop in class.Richard Hannon trains the favourite JAMBO BIBI but this filly has had plenty chances still maiden after 7 starts and beaten favourite 5 times ,unproven over 7F ,looks one to take on. 




VERDICT;DAAS RITE ran good second last time in better claiming race, proven over 7F ,and handles poly track with decent jockey booked ,any prices around 3-1 would be decent value.




DAAS RITE 7.15 KEMPTON PARK
1PT E-WAY/£100 EACH/WAY 7-2 BET365  
(WINNER 6-1 )PROFIT + £720 / 7.20pts 


Updated at 10.30 am






Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Blank Wednesday

Not getting too much luck at minute with  Mondays only bet DREAM OF FORTUNE just getting beat by neck in close finish at 7-2,with small loss on the day -£22.00/0.22pts.

Its been bit frustrating run, with last four bets all finishing second ,though no damage been done with all four landing the each/way part of the bet.

On to Wednesday we see the start of the four day ST LEGER meeting at Doncaster, though day one doesn't look that good with plenty of competitive races and nothing really appeals its going to be blank day on betting front.




Tuesday, September 07, 2010

Tuesday's best bets

Small loss on Monday with MOTTLEY CREWE finishing second and loss (0.20 points/ - £20.00)

Heavy overnight rain is forecast on Monday night, and we can expect softish  ground just about everywhere on Tuesday if the weathermen are correct.

We have two flat cards again on Tuesday at Goodwood & Lingfield ,and with all this rain forecast its going be quite difficult day for betting. Lingfield stage mixed card with last three races run on poly track and 1 mile 2F selling race run at 5.05 looks quite interesting contest.

1 MILE 2F SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 5.05


DREAM OF FORTUNE:Dual C/D winner ,who has decent record on poly track for horse in this grade, 6 wins from 28 races.won over C/D in July beating Domino dancer by 0.75 lenghs in selling stakes,ran fair 4TH last time in better race, class 5 handicap at kempton  ,drops back into selling company and should go well.


DANGER:DOMINO DANCER looks big danger after finishing just behind DREAM OF FORTUNE last time over C/D and is now 6LB better off ,has since finished 3RD over hurdles,should be close between the pair


VERDICT:Dual C/D winner DREAM OF FORTUNE can confirm the form with Domino Dancing on 6LB worse terms all 6 wins have been on poly track ,and at likely prices looks the better value.Looking for 3-1 or bigger.


DREAM OF FORTUNE 5.05 LINGFIELD
(0.75PTS E/WAY ) ( £75 .00 E/WAY) 11-4 HILLS
(SECOND 7-2) LOSS - £22.50/ 0.22 PTS


Slightly disappointed with the price, though 11-4 with hills best price guarantee still worth bet
Updated at 10.30am .



Monday, September 06, 2010

Mondays best bets

Just the two flat meetings to work with on Monday, Newcastle & Bath ,both very low on quality ,just the one race of interest at Newcastle the 5 furlong maiden race at 3.20

5F MAIDEN RACE CLASS 5  3YO + NEWCASTLE 3.20


MOTTLEY CREWE :Consistent type, running well in sprint handicaps finishing second at Hamilton and Haydock over 6 furlongs ,drop back to this stiff 5 furlongs may well suit better(half brother Ishetoo multiple 5 furlong winner & related to numerous 5 furlong winners), maiden races don't come much weaker than this,stable also in good form.


DANGER:ERFAAN looks the possible danger if repeating his 4TH of 10  in 6 furlong maiden at Doncaster and has the highest BHA rating 68, though bit of worry not been seen on course for over 3 months and  trainer Julie Camacho has only had 2 winners from 36 runners in last 3 months.


VERDICT:MOTTLEY CREWE has been very consistent in Handicaps and this maiden looks very weak race ,though with horses rated this low stakes have to be kept on low side.looking for 3-1 or bigger.


MOTTLEY CREWE 3.20 NEWCASTLE
O.50 PTS E-WAY £50.00 E-WAY  @ 3-1 BET365 
(SECOND) - loss £20.00


price updated 10.40 am





Sunday, September 05, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Fairly quiet week with just the four bets ,one winner ,two seconds ,one third ,profit + 3.33pts.After taking the last two weeks in August of ,it was good to come back with decent start in September .

Just to update, I have made an important change to my staking plan,starting from September 1ST
All my bets now are 1 TO 3 Points and the staking is £100 per point.There will be lot less bets per week, though I will be staking more cash per bet .

The weekly results:

ON THE WEEK 
4 BETS)1 WINNER)PROFIT + 3.30 )


OVERALL AFTER 30 WEEKS
257 BETS)75 WINNERS)PROFIT +33.30)