Saturday, September 18, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Very small loss on Friday £8.00 / -0.08 PTS  after THE THRILL IS GONE finished third,and was Subject to quite big gamble 9-2 into 5-2, though never really looked like winning and was quite well beaten in the end by 8-1 winner Arctic Feeling .

Another busy Saturday with five cards as normal the racing looks very competitive, Ayr stage the big race of the day, The William Hill Ayr Gold Cup with maximum 27 runner Field and sprint king Dandy Nicholls bids to win for 6TH time in 11 Years.

Though for my only bet of the day ,I will be looking at far less competitive race at Ayr  the 1 Mile 2F Doonside Cup listed contest .

VESUVE :Former E.Lellouche trained French colt ,won small conditions race at Newmarket at end of July beating Smokey Oakey by 4 Lenghs,Ran good 4TH last time in group 3 contest at York over 9 furlongs behind stable mate Rio De La Plato staying on well towards finish after getting outpaced .will be well suited by the return to 1 mile 2F( stays further) and can reverse form with likely favourite Kings Gambit over this longer trip.

DANGER :KIRKLEES had some very decent form last season winning 4 times including group 2 contest at York ,though hasn't ran since finishing unplaced in Caufield cup in Australia last October,would take all the beating if he returns to that York form, though Frankie Dettori who has won on him 7 times has elected to ride his race fit stable companion  VESUVE.

VERDICT:VESUE looks open to plenty improvement returning to 1 mile 2F for first time this season and can reverse form with Kings Gambit over this longer trip and looks good value at 7-2.Stablemate KIRKLEES rates the big danger if returning fit after 336 days lay off.

£100 E-WAY /1PT E-WAY @ 7-2
updated 11.00 am Saturday

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