Saturday, September 04, 2010

Back on track

Both bets on Saturday finished Second,no real complaints both ran decent races without coming that close to winning.Small loss on the day (-£27.00) (-0.27 pts)

With just the one flat meeting on Sunday at York which looks ultra competitive , with 5 big field handicaps,we will be giving that meeting a big miss.

I'm quite pleased how the weeks gone nothing spectacular but solid winning week.
With just the 4 BETS (1 WINNER)(3 PLACES)
 (£+333 PROFIT ) (+ 3.33 PTS)

Saturdays best bets

Plenty top quality racing on Saturday with 6 meetings the feature races being Irish champion stakes at Leopardstown & Betfred sprint cup at Haydock

Though going concentrate on two other races the 1 mile listed contest at Haydock and 1 mile 4 selling race at Wolverhamptons evening meeting.



1 MILE LISTED RACE HAYDOCK 2.00

SECRECY :Very consistent 4-Y-0 never been out first three in 8 starts winning 3 times ,good winner of condition race last time at Kempton  beating his stable mate Sirocco Breeze by 1.25 lenghs,though probably ran his best race when 3rd only beaten 0.75 lenghs by Sea Lord in group 3 contest at Salisbury in August ,that form looks strong with 2nd in that race Poets Voice going on to win next time in group 2 race at Goodwood.stable also in top form

DANGER: Improving 3-Y-0 DESERT MYTH looks the main danger after running good second in listed race over 1 mile at Goodwood last time only beaten head behind Critical Moment.

VERDICT:SECRECY has never ran bad race and that third at Salisbury in group 3 race behind Sea Lord looks strong form,still improving looks sure to win more races, any prices 11-4 or bigger would be value bet.


1 MILE 4 SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50

INTO THE LIGHT:Still maiden after 14 starts ,though has ran some decent races at Wolverhampton in better company finishing 2nd twice in class 5 handicaps ,back to form last time in handicap at Beverley again finishing 2nd of mark 63 ,takes drop in class here into selling company for first time ,stable in red hot form.

DANGER:HYPNOTIC GAZE looks the big danger if reproducing his C/D win at Wolverhampton back in July when winning handicap by 7 lenghs of mark 65,though was disappointing last time on turf at Yarmouth when well beaten 4th over 1 mile 6f.

VERDICT :INTO THE LIGHT takes drop in class here and has plenty form good enough to win a weak selling race.looking for 3-1 or  bigger.

SATURDAYS BETS:

SECRECY 2.00 HAYDOCK 1PT E-WAY 
11-4 BETFRED (SECOND) LOSS -£31.25
INTO THE LIGHT 6.50 WOLVERHAMPTON 0.50PT E-WAY 
 9-2 BET365(SECOND) PROFIT +£5.00

 updated 10.15 am Saturday














Friday, September 03, 2010

Nothing on Friday

Small loss on Thursday after TAKEAWAY could only finish third Behind easy winner MALICE OR MISCHIEF in hindsight TAKEAWAY probably faced difficult task trying to carry 9 stone 12lb and concede 16lb to that rival ,though not to disappointed with just 0.40 pt loss on the race

Racing on Friday looks extremely poor with four very moderate cards and in particular Brighton & Lingfield these cards look absolutely dire,you would think these courses could put on some better quality on a Friday ??

At least Saturday we do have some real quality racing including three grade one races,Hayock ,Kempton & Leopardstown all stage decent looking cards.

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Good to come back with winner on Wednesday with SABATINI winning nicely at odds of 10-3,that's hope plenty more winners follow in month of September.

On to Thursday's racing we have four cards ,Salisbury stage quite decent looking card with good 2-Y-0 Fillies listed race, MARGOT DID will be difficult to beat after finishing second in group 2 contest at York last time,though will be very short price.

The evening card at Wolverhampton looks low on quality, though there is quite interesting 2-Y-0 claiming race.

7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING RACE CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 7.50


TAKEAWAY:Takes big drop in class here into claiming company for the first time, ran very good second at Newmarket in 7F class 4 handicap in early August of mark 82 only beaten short head by Buzz Law trying to concede that rival 23 LB ,did flop last time at Warwick over 1 mile though that was on very soft ground.The return to 7F on polytrack will suit much better,and trainer R.Hannon has 50% strike rate 3 from 6 this year at Wolverhampton


DANGER:MALICE AND MISCHIEF looks the main danger getting 16LB from
TAKEAWAY,though after winning maiden race at Chepstow back in May hasn't really shown great deal on his last three starts in better company ,though will be suited by this big drop in class.


VERDICT:TAKEWAY has by far the best form on offer here, has proven form on polytrack and in better quality races, the return to 7 Furlongs will suit,the only negative has to concede lots of
weight all round.Any prices around 11-4 would be decent value.


TAKEAWAY 7.50 WOLV 1PT E-WAY @ 11-4 BET365 
BEST ODDS GUARANTEED (THIRD) LOSS -£40.00
Prices updated 11.15 am 








Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Ready to go

Its good to be back,though after studying horse racing non stop 7 days week since last November, it was good to take short break.

Its September already with just over two months of turf flat season left ,though still plenty big races to come over the next 10 weeks,including some very decent racing this weekend at Haydock & Leopardstown.

On to Wednesdays racing we have four low grade cards, Kempton's evening meeting looks the best card on offer with interesting claiming race.

1 MILE 3-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 6 KEMPTON 7.50


SABATINI :Fair record on poly track (11224) ,won twice as 2-Y-0 last season over 6F ,including in class 4 handicap at Lingfield of mark 75 ,unlucky in running in 1 mile claimer last time at Lingfield (would finished 2ND with clear run) looks well weighted in this claimer of 8 stone 6lb. K.Fallon takes the ride for first time.


DANGERS: LEAN MACHINE would be big danger for R.Hannon on his 2-Y-0 form finishing second three times in fair maidens twice at Newmarket ,though shown next to nothing in three handicap races  this season, now takes big drop in class.WISE UP  lightly raced maiden,formerly trained by B.Hills, fair third last time here at Kempton over 7F  behind Spanish Island ,open to improvement.


VERDICT: Sabatini looks well suited to poly track is consistent type,and has winning form in better grade.K.Fallon looks very positive jockey booking for this small stable.Any prices of 3-1 or bigger looks worth wager.




SABATINI : (7.50 KEMPTON) 1PT E-WAY/ £100 E-WAY @ 10/3 BET365 
(WINNER  10/3) PROFIT + £400.00 


With two non runners red skies & rainsborough leaving 8 runners 10/3 seems very fair price,
unfortunately K.Fallon has the flu and has given up all his rides today,Chris Catlin will now take the ride not bad replacement.


updated at 10.45