Friday, October 14, 2022

British Champions Day Preview

Great card at Ascot on Saturday for British Champions day ,featuring four group one races and group two.

4.2mm rain on Wednesday/Thursday possible light shower Saturday morning ground conditions likely to be good/soft (soft places) come racetime on Saturday.

Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £283,550 8 runners 1m7f209y Good To Soft ITV (STALLS Inside)
race conditions  £500,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st; fillies 8st 11lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 9lb; fillies 9st 6lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 9lb pay £1,750 Penalty value  1st  £283,550.00 2nd  £107,500.00 3rd  £53,800.00 4th  £26,800.00 5th  £13,450.00 6th  £6,750.00 
1) TRUESHAN (122)  (2) ELDAR ELDAROV (117) (3) COLTRANE (113)
The Alan King trained six year old gelding  TRUESHAN looks the one to beat having won this race for last two years .Has excellent record with cut in the ground over staying distances ,including winning 5 out 7 in group races on ground good/soft or softer .Will need to bounce back after poor run in Doncaster Cup last time when turned over at 2-9 ,though never looked happy in that race,hanging in the straight.Will be suited returning to Ascot on ground that should suit .Odds around 2-1 look very fair value..
St Leger winner Eldar Eldarov looks the main danger getting 9lb ftom Trueshan ,won in good style last time at Doncater,staying on strongly at the finish .This longer trip shouldn't be problem and looks open to further improvement over staying trips .
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (British Champions Mile) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £655,709 9 runners 1m Good To Soft ITV (STALLS Far side)
race conditions  £1,156,250 guaranteed For  3yo+ NOTE: Horses will only be eligible to run in this race provided that they have a current BHA Handicap Rating of 80 or higher at midday of the confirmation stage. Horses which do not qualify for a rating may also be eligible providing the BHA Handicapper is satisfied that the horse's racecourse performances up to and including the day before confirmation merit a provisional assessment of 80 or higher. Horses which have not run will not be eligible. Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 3lb; fillies 9st; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 3lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb pay £4,800 Penalty value  1st  £655,709.37 2nd  £248,593.74 3rd  £124,412.50 4th  £61,975.00 5th  £31,103.13 6th  £15,609.38 
1)INSPIRAL (122) (2) MODERN GAMES (118) (2) THE REVENANT (118)
Inspiral looks the one to beat on her Coronation Stakes & Jacques le Marois winning form ,the French form looks strong form, with the third from that race Erevann winning the Danial Wildenstein in good style next time on Arc Weekend .However odds around 11-10 look no value ,especially being unproven on ground this soft .
The French raider  THE REVENANT looks the each-way value at around 6-1 ,has decent record in this race (214),including winning this race in 2020 and finishing creditable 2.5l fourth to Baaeed in the race last year.Also finished good second behind Evevann last time, finishing strongly in race that wasn't run to suit .The return to this stiffer mile at Ascot will suit better, with Ryan Moore looking interesting jockey booking.Solid each-way claims 
Of the others Modern Games has some very decent form ,including finishing 1.5L second to Baaeed in the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in July,though all his best form has been on fast ground,has to prove himself on this slower ground .
(WINNER SP 11-8 PROFIT £400/4.00 PTS)
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100/1.00) 

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