Friday, October 01, 2021

Saturday Preview with three recommended bets

 Excellent weekend of racing from Parislongchamp ,with eight (group one races) and three ( group two races )with the big race Qatar Prix De L Arc De Triomphe taking place on Sunday at 3.05 Uk time.

We also have some decent group action from Ascot & Newmarket on Saturday ,with group one Sun Chariot stakes the Feature race from Newmarket.

 Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) (3yo+ ) (Grande Course) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £101,786 12 runners 1m Soft SKY

 
race conditions  £178,571 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Penalty value  1st  £101,785.71 2nd  £39,285.71 3rd  £18,750.00 4th  £12,500.00 5th  £6,250.00 
 
 The Revenant is clearly the one to beat on last seasons form,including winning this race, and then winning the group one QE11 at Ascot on British Champions day .Slightly disappointing on both starts this season ,when only managing fourth in G2 contest at Saint-Cloud last time on good ground.Will be suited by easier ground,though Odds around 11-8 look very short returning from near five month break.
 
VICTOR LEDORUM looks interesting,after finishing good 1.5L third behind the useful Baaeed last time in G1 Prix Du Moulin over C/D at Longchamp,had some useful form last season ,including winning French 2000 Guineas and finishing third in French Derby.Odds 6-1 or above look solid each-way value .
 
Of the others Real World looks progressive sort ,winning last three starts ,including winning G3 contest at Ascot last time ,though this looks stronger race and is unproven on ground softer than good .
 
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Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £141,775 13 runners 1m Good To Soft ITV4 (STALLS Far side)
 
 
race conditions  £250,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies and mares NOTE: Horses will only be eligible to run in this race provided that they have a current BHA Handicap Rating of 80 or higher at midday of the confirmation stage. Horses which do not qualify for a rating may also be eligible providing the BHA Handicapper is satisfied that the horse's racecourse performances up to and including the day before confirmation merit a provisional assessment of 80 or higher. Horses which have not run will not be eligible. CONFIRMATIONS & SUPPLEMENTARIES 27 SEP Weights  3yo 9st; 4yo+ 9st 3lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb pay £980 Penalty value  1st  £141,775.00 2nd  £53,750.00 3rd  £26,900.00 4th  £13,400.00 5th  £6,725.00 6th  £3,375.00 
 
SAFFRON BEACH should go well here at decent odds ,after winning in good style in G3 Atalanta stakes at Sandown last time (form boosted with second & third winning next time ) Goes well here at Newmarket on Rowley Mile course (1122) ,including finishing creditable 2nd in 1000 guineas over C&D .Furher rain shouldn't be problem, having won on soft ground at Newmarket last season .Odds around 7-1 look good each-way value especially with Hills paying 5 places .
 
1000 Guineas winner Mother Earth looks big danger ,after getting no luck in running in G1 Matron Stakes at Leopardstown last time when badly hampered .Has been in good form all season ,looks sure run her race .
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John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £45,368 14 runners 6f Good ITV4 (STALLS Stands' side)
 
race conditions  £80,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 12lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 2lb; fillies 8st 13lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2021, a winner of a Group 3 race 3lb; of a Group 2 race 5lb; of a Group 1 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 1lb Entries  24 pay £700 Penalty value  1st  £45,368.00 2nd  £17,200.00 3rd  £8,608.00 4th  £4,288.00 5th  £2,152.00 6th  £1,080.00
 
GLEN SHIEL goes particularly well here at Ascot ,including winning G1 Champion Sprint here last season ,has been bit disappointing since finishing second in Diamond Jubilee at Royal Ascot in June ,though will be suited dropping down to group three company for first time since winning Phoenix Sprint at Curragh in August 2020 .All his best form has been on soft surface ,further rain will suit .Odds 7-2 or above look solid value.
 
Of the others Great Ambassador should go well, after finishing creditable second in Ayr Gold cup under big weight last time ,has shown progressive form this season ,including winning listed race at York ,though will need career best to land this stronger group three contest .
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 SAT OCT 2ND RECOMMENDED  BETS
 
VICTOR LEDORUM 1.33 LONGCHAMP G2 DANIEL WILDENSTEIN
0.50PT E-WAY @ 6-1 BETVICTOR
(UNPLACED SP 15-2 LOSS -£100.00)
 
SAFFRON BEACH 2.55 NEWMARKET G1 SUN CHARIOT
0.50PT E-WAY @ 7-1 WILLIAM HILLS 
(WINNER SP 5-1 PROFIT +£420.00)
 
GLEN SHIEL 3.15 ASCOT G3 BENGOUGH STAKES
1PT WIN @ 7-2 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 9-4 LOSS -£100.00)
 
(TOTAL £220 PROFIT)

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