Saturday, July 10, 2021

Saturday Preview with three bets (Sat 10th July 2021 )


On Saturday we have seven stakes races at Newmarket ,Ascot,York & Chester,with the feature race the G1 July cup at Newmarket .

Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £289,646 19 runners 6f Good To Firm ITV (STALLS Centre)
race conditions  £510,750 guaranteed For  3yo+ .  
Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st; fillies 8st 11lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 3lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 6lb pay £1,965 Penalty value  1st  £289,646.32 2nd  £109,811.24 3rd  £54,956.70 4th  £27,376.20 5th  £13,739.18 6th  £6,895.13 
 
Last years winner OXTED looks sure go well with ideal conditions here (Fast ground & strong run race) ,returned to top form last time at Royal Ascot winning the King Stand stakes over 5f coming home strongly off fast pace .Will be suited returning to 6f at Newmarket on July course .Should get race run to suit, with plenty pace in the race .Stall 16 also looks positive ,with high numbers having the edge in big field sprints so far this week at Newmarket  .
 
The lightly raced Starman looks the main danger, after winning 4 from 5 starts ,including winning the G2 Duke Of York stakes in May ,takes step up in class ,though looks interesting contender open to further improvement.
 

VALUE GUIDE PRICE 5-1 OR ABOVE .

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Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (4yo+) Winner £62,381 10 runners 7f213y Good To Soft ITV (STALLS Inside)

race conditions  £110,000 guaranteed For  4yo+ Weights  colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 12lb Penalties  after 2020, a winner of a Group 2 race 3lb; of a Group 1 race 5lb Entries  14 pay £1,000 Penalty value  1st  £62,381.00 2nd  £23,650.00 3rd  £11,836.00 4th  £5,896.00 5th  £2,959.00 6th  £1,485.00
 
CENTURY DREAM  is proven winner in this grade ,winning the group two Celebration Mile in impressive style at Goodwood by 4.5 lenghs last season .Looks to be returning to top form after winning listed race at Windsor last time comfortably.Goes particularly well with cut in the ground ,any further showers will be in his favour,though no problem with good ground .
 
Sir Busker goes well at Ascot, could be the main danger after finishing creditable third to Palace Pier in G1 Queen Anne stakes at Ascot last time ,has to be respected .though has gone over year without victory .
 
VALUE GUIDE PRICE 5-1 OR ABOVE
 
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Homeserve Back On Track City Plate Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 9 runners 7f1y Good To Soft SKY (STALLS Inside)
 
race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 or Group 2 Pattern race after 2020 Weights  3yo colts & geldings 8st 11lb; fillies 8st 6lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 5lb; fillies 9st Penalties  after 2020, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 8lb Entries  19 pay £185 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 
 
The John Quinn trained SAFE VOYAGE is the class act in this field ,having won two group 2 contests last season at York & Leopardstown .Will need to bounce back after two disappointing efforts in group company this season ,though will be suited by this drop in class, has excellent record in listed company (121) Can outclass this field with ground conditions in his favour .
 
The inform 3-Y-0  Rhoscolyn looked impressive last time when landing hattrick, winning class two handicap at Epsom by 4L,takes step up in class ,though looks main danger receiving 8lb off main rival .
 
VALUE GUIDE PRICE 5-2 OR ABOVE 
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RECOMMENDED BETS SATURDAY JULY 10TH 2021

OXTED 4.25 NEWMARKET JULY CUP G1 (NAP)
0.50 PT E-WAY @ 11-2 PADDY POWER & BETFAIRSPORTSBOOK
1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4-5 
(THIRD SP 11-2 PROFIT +£5.00 ) 
 
CENTURY DREAM 3.00 ASCOT SUMMER MILE STAKES G2
0.50 PT E-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 & HILLS 
1/5 ODDS 1-2-3
(SECOND SP 5-1 PROFIT +10.00)
 
SAFE VOYAGE 3.25 CHESTER CITY PLATE LISTED STAKES 
1PT WIN @ 11-4 GENERAL  
(WINNER SP 15-8 PROFIT £275.00) 
 
1/4 PT E-WAY TREBLE @169-1 WITH BET365
(THIRD) (SECOND) (WINNER) ALL PLACED PROFIT £129.00)
 
TOTAL PROFIT +£419.00 

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