(BEAT THE BANK) SADLY PASSED AWAY ON (SAT 13TH JULY 2019) (5 YEARS OLD) RIP BIG FELLA ALWAYS REMEMBERED.

Saturday, May 01, 2021

Qipco Guineas Festival Preview

Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £34,026 9 runners 5f Good To Firm ITV (STALLS Centre)

race conditions  £60,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 8st 11lb; fillies 8st 8lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 3lb Penalties  after August 31st, 2020, a winner of a Group 3 race 3lb; of a Group 2 race 5lb; of a Group 1 race 7lb Entries  12 pay £600 Penalty value  1st  £34,026.00 2nd  £12,900.00 3rd  £6,456.00 4th  £3,216.00 5th  £1,614.00 6th  £810.00 
 
The 9-Y-0 veteran JUDICIAL normally goes well first time out ,including finishing second in this race last year & in 2018 .Looked as good as ever last season ,winning twice ,including at this level in Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle in June .The Julie Camacho stable has been in decent form with two winners in last 10 days. Odds  6-1 or above look very fair e-w value .
 
Of the others the Charlie Appleby trained 4-Y-0 Lazuli had some decent form last season ,including winning in G3 company at Newbury in September ,should improve for his first run of the season ,though under 3lb penalty has no easy task .
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Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (4yo+) Winner £51,039 5 runners 1m4f Good To Firm ITV (STALLS Centre)
 
race conditions  £90,000 guaranteed For  4yo+ Weights  colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 12lb Penalties  after 2019, a winner of a Group 1 race 3lb pay £270 Penalty value  1st  £51,039.00 2nd  £19,350.00 3rd  £9,684.00 4th  £4,824.00 5th  £2,421.00 
 
SIR RON PRIESTLY was impressive winner at Nottingham on his return from 18 month absence in Further Flight listed stakes in April ,that looked decent effort beating fair sort in Ocean Wind ,who franked the form at Ascot on Wednesday when finishing 1L Second to three time Gold Cup winner Stradivarius .Takes drop back in trip ,though has won 3 out 4 over this 12f trip.Odds around 9-4 look fair in this small field.
 
Pyledriver looks obvious danger, being 7lb clear on official BHA figures, having won two G2 races last season at Ascot & York ,though on his reappearance, this small field is concern ,can often pull hard in his races and tactical race may not suit .
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Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Colts & Fillies) (Class 1) (3yo) Winner £227,019 15 runners 1m Good To Firm ITV (STALLS Centre)
 
race conditions  £400,315 guaranteed For  3yo colts and fillies (NOTE: horses will be eligible to run in this race provided that they have a current BHA Handicap Rating of 80 or higher at midday of the confirmation stage. Horses which do not qualify a rating may also be eligible providing the BHA Handicapper is satisfied that the horse's racecourse performances up to and including the day before confirmation merit a provisional assessment of 80 or higher. Horses which have not run will not be eligible) Weights  colts 9st; fillies 8st 11lb pay £1,595 Penalty value  1st  £227,018.65 2nd  £86,067.73 3rd  £43,073.89 4th  £21,456.88 5th  £10,768.47 6th  £5,404.25 
 
 This looks one the most wide open 2000 Guineas in recent times,with several looking closely matched on last seasons two-year-old form .The AP O'BRIEN trained WEMBLEY looks the horse with the most improvement stepping up to mile,looked unlucky in Dewhurst when fast finishing second ,having to come widest of all .The longer trip looks sure to suit .Odds around 11-2 look decent value .
 
Thunder Moon looks the biggest danger ,having shown good turn of foot to win National Stakes in good style last season .This faster ground should suit better ,having struggled on soft ground in Dewhurst at Newmarket in October .
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NEWMARKET RECOMMENDED BETS :
 
JUDICIAL 2.25 PALACE HOUSE STAKES GROUP THREE
0.50 PT E/W @ 13/2 BET365
(UNPLACED SP 9-1 ) LOSS -1.00 

SIR RON PRIESTLY 3.00 JOCKEY CLUB STAKES GROUP TWO
2PTS WIN @ 9/4 BET365
(WINNER SP 15-8 ) PROFIT +4.50

WEMBLEY 3.35 QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS GROUP ONE 
1PT E/W @ 11-2 BETVICTOR 1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 
(UNPLACED SP 13-2 ) LOSS -2.00 
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3 BETS 1 WINNER PROFIT +1.50  
(STAKED 5PTS) RETURN 6.50PTS )

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