Saturday, October 12, 2019

2K to 10K Betting Challenge (Bet No 65) (Sun 13th Oct )


2K to 10K Betting challenge continues on Sunday at Curragh in Ireland .

The betting bankroll stands at £3201 (+£1201) ,after Laurens finished disappointing seventh  in Sun Chariot at Newmarket ,dropping away tamely in closing stages .Having been well supported in market 4-1 into 5-2 ,that was really poor effort on her final start before retirement .

The stakes drop to £128.00 Betting bank £3201 divided by 25 =£128.00 stake .

Moving on to Sunday we have decent looking Listed sprint from Curragh.10 runners declared for 6f Waterford Stakes on ground described as soft .The three main contenders are Flight Risk , Downforce & Make A Challenge .

FLIGHT RISK : 8-Y-0 Chestnut Gelding ,winning 6 out 45.Been in good form this season winning three times ,including winning two listed races and group three contest.Returned to winning ways last time ,winning 7f listed race at Cork .No easy task under 5lb penalty.Also Drop to 6f may not be ideal (0 out 14) over trip .

DOWNFORCE :  7-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 6 out 32.Useful sort on his day,especially on testing ground.Not won since April 2018 ,though looked to be returning to top form ,finishing creditable second to Speak In Colours over C&D in G3 Renaissance stakes .Will be suited by this drop in class .

MAKE A CHALLENGE : 4-Y-0 Bay Gelding ,winning 5 out 13.Been in excellent form this season,winning five handicaps,including winning by impressive 6L at Curragh last time ,off mark 94 .Going Up 15lb in the weights for that victory .Takes step up into listed company for first time ,though looks very interesting contender .

VERDICT : DOWNFORCE should go well after finishing good second in stronger G3 race at Curragh two weeks ago.Looks to have optimum conditions here,with last five victories coming on soft/ heavy ground,including winning listed race at Navan last season on heavy.Odds around 11-2 look solid each-way value.

Make A Challenge looks big danger ,after romping home by 6L in 20 runner handicap at Curragh last time.Looks very progressive sort ,though odds around 5-4  look poor value for horse taking step up in class .

1) DOWNFORCE (2) MAKE A CHALLENGE (3) FLIGHT RISK
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DOWNFORCE 3.15 CURRAGH 
£64.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-2 BETVICTOR*
(SECOND SP 9-4JF PROFIT  +£2.00 )R4 5P IN £

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