Wednesday, January 11, 2017

3.30 Newcastle 1M 4F Betway Handicap Class 2 0-105 (Thu 11th Jan )

On Thursday we have decent looking card from Newcastle ,featuring three class two races,on the tapeta .For the blogs best bet ,we are going concentrate on the 12 furlong Betway handicap at 3.30 .

8 runners declared for quality 0-105 class two handicap at Newcastle .The four main contenders are Watersmeet , Bayre , Masterpaver & Natural Scenery .

WATERSMEET : Progressive 6-Y-0 gelding , winning 6 out 12 on All Weather ,also finished 2ND four times .Been in good form this winter ,winning 14 furlong class two handicap at Wolverhampton last time .Races off career high mark (103) , though can't be ruled out .

BAYRE :Useful 6-Y-0 Gelding on his day ,winning 5 out 18 on All Weather ,also finished 2ND five times .Returned to form last time at Lingfield ,finishing good 2ND behind the useful Pinzolo in course record time at Lingfield .Solid claims off 1LB higher mark .

MASTERPAVER : Consistent 6-Y-0 Gelding ,winning 5 out 36 on All Weather ,also been placed 13 times .Finished good second over C&D last time at Newcastle in Class 4 handicap.Looks fairly treated off 1lb higher mark .Should be thereabouts.

NATURAL SCENERY : Lightly race 4-Y-0 filly ,Winning 1 out 3 on All Weather ,including winning 12 furlong class 4 handicap at Wolverhampton in October .Finished fair 3RD in class three handicap at Lingfield in course record time.Should go well for top connections.
  
VERDICT : Natural Scenery will be popular for the Saeed Bin Suroor stable , having looked improving sort on All Weather , though was beaten off this mark last time when odds on favourite ,also is 10LB higher than last victory .Odds around 7-4 look no value .

BAYRE looks solid having finished promising second at Lingfield last time in course record time .Looked unsuited by slow early pace ,before staying on well at finish .Odds around 9-2 look decent each-way value .

BAYRE 3.30 NEWCASTLE
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 PADDY POWER
(UNPLACED SP 7-1 LOSS £60.00 )

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