Tuesday, August 16, 2016

6.50 Killarney 1M Vincent O' Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed Race ) Wed 17th Aug

On Wednesday we see the start of York's big four day Ebor meeting ,though for the blogs best bet on Wednesday we are going to Ireland, for decent looking 1 mile listed race at Killarney's evening card .

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11 runners declared for the Vincent O 'Brien Ruby Listed Stakes at 6.50 ,on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Assume , Air Vice Marshal & General Macarthur .

ASSUME : Consistent 4-Y-0 Filly ,winning 1 out 5 ,including winning maiden over C&D at Killarney on Debut last season .Been in good form recently,finishing excellent 2ND over C&D in Cairn Rouge listed stakes, finishing close 2ND behind the useful Creggs Pipes.Also finished fair third last time in 9F listed race at Gowran Park . Should go well, with conditions to suit . 

AIR VICE MARSHAL : Decent 3-Y-0 colt , winning 1 out 5 .Showed some useful form last season, finishing good second in G2 Superlative Stakes at Newmarket ,also finished creditable 4TH in 2000 Guineas at Newmarket in April .Bit disappointing last time in Irish 2000 guineas ,though will be suited by this drop in class .

GENERAL MACARTHUR : Inconsistent sort ,though more than capable on his day .Winning 2 out 9 , including winning 1 mile conditions race at Navan in June ,also finished fair 2ND in 1 mile conditions at Naas last month.No show in G3 Desmond Stakes at Leopardstown last time,though this looks an easier race .

VERDICT : Air Vice Marshal is 9LB clear on official ratings ,and looks the one to beat on his fourth in 2000 Guineas at Newmarket , this looks far easier race ,though will need to bounce back after poor run last time.Odds around 6-4, look short enough for horse that has only won in maiden company .

At the prices ASSUME looks the each-way value , having put in two solid efforts in this grade recently .Goes well here at Killarney ,having won  maiden over C&D on debut, and only been beaten neck in listed company last month .Odds around 9-2 look decent each-way value . 

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BETVICTOR*
(UNPLACED SP 7-4F LOSS £100.00)

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