Wednesday, July 06, 2016

5.30 Newmarket 1 Mile Sir Henry Cecil Stakes (Listed Race ) Thu 7th May

On Thursday we see the start of the three day Moet & Chandon July Festival at Newmarket ,with the feature race on day one. The 12F group two Prince Of Wales Stakes.

However For the blogs best bet, we will concentrate on one of the supporting races ,the Plusvital Sir Henry Cecil Listed stakes at 5.30 

11 runners declared for decent looking listed contest over 1 mile, for three year olds on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Crazy Horse , Estidraak & Lumiere .

CRAZY HORSE : Decent two year old last season,winning both starts,including winning the group three Horris Hill Stakes at Newbury in October .Made promising reappearance finishing staying on 6TH  in French 2000 guineas behind the useful The Gurkha .Should go well dropping down into listed company .

ESIIDRAAK : Lightly raced sort for Sir Michael Stoute ,bolted up in 7 furlong maiden on All Weather at Kempton in November ,beating the 77 rated Coherent by 7 lenghs . Will need show more improvement to win listed contest ,though this longer trip should suit .

LUMIERE : High class two year filly ,winning 2 out 3 last season ,including winning the 6F group one Cheveley Park stakes at Newmarket in September .Finished bitterly disappointing last of 16 in 1000 guineas at Newmarket last time ,when well fancied second favourite .Drop in class will suit ,though unproven over this 1 mile trip .

VERDICT : This looks well above average three year old listed contest,with a few these taking drop down in class.

Lumiere will have her supporters ,having shown some very useful form last season in some the top 2-Y-0 filly's races ,though there looked something amiss when finishing last of 16 in 1000 guineas last time,also looks far from certain to stay this 1 mile trip .Has plenty question marks to answer .

CRAZY HORSE looks the most solid here ,having made promising reappearance in French 2000 guineas at Deauville in May,staying on nicely at the finish,in strong looking race .Will be suited by this drop in class,having won in higher grade last season .Odds around 9-2 look decent value.


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