Saturday, October 31, 2015

Keeneland Breeders Cup Day Two

Slightly frustrating run at the minute, with Fridays bet on Alice Springs finishing second in Breeders Cup Juvenile turf.

In the circumstances ran fair race ,after being slowly away and then not getting the best of runs,though could never get to American horse Catch A Glimpse in the closing stages.No real damage done with £10.00 loss on the bet ,though could do with winner, to end A frustrating run recently.

Moving on to Saturday we have nine Breeders Cup races at Keeneland ,though going concentrate on one race the Breeders Cup Mile .

12 runners declared for Breeders Cup Turf Mile on ground described as yielding .This looks cracking contest with plenty European interest .The three main contenders look to be the three French contenders :  Make Believe ,Impassable & Estoterique 

MAKE BELIEVE :Useful French 3-Y-0 colt,winning 4 out 6,including bolting up in French 2000 guineas in May,though finished very disappointing last of 6 in St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot .Bounced back to form last time, winning G1 Prix De La Foret on Arc Day .Should go well from good draw in stall 3.

IMPASSABLE : Improving French 3-Y-0 filly ,winning last three starts .Including winning G2 Prix Daniel Wildenstein at Longchamp last time ,beating Miss France comfortably .Takes step up in class ,though looks to be improving with each start .

ESTOTERIQUE: Useful French mare ,winning 6 out 16 .Has looked better than ever this season winning two G1 races ,including winning the Sun Chariot at Newmarket last time ,though probably ran best race in defeat when finishing  second to the very useful Solow at in Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

VERDICT: Three time group one winner ESOTERIQUE looks solid each-way bet ,has already beat male rivals in G1 company this season ,and lost nothing in defeat when chasing home multiple  G1 winners Solow & Muhaarar recently .Should also get the race run to suit, with ,plenty pace in the race . Odds around 5-1 look decent value .

Stablemate Make Believe looks the obvious danger, after breaking course record at Longchamp last time and looks open to plenty improvement ,though odds around 11-4 look short enough .

£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 SKY BET*
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100.00)

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