Monday, May 25, 2015

4.00 Leicester 7F 3-Y-0 Claiming Stakes Class 5

On Tuesday we go to the East Midlands track for interesting looking three year old claimer at Leicester .

4.00 LEICESTER 7F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5:
10 runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Leicester on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Orlando Rogue , Kyrenia Castle & Grosmont .

ORLANDO ROGUE : Returned to form in April ,winning 7 furlong claimer at Lingfield in good style ,beating Ocean Crystal (winner since) .Also finished fair second last time in 7 furlong claimer on soft ground at Salisbury, after suffering interference .Should go well in the same grade .

KYRENIA CASTLE : Won 5F maiden at Wolverhampton for Richard Hannon on Boxing Day ,though has shown nothing in two starts for Dandy Nichols in class three handicaps .Takes big drop in class for stable that has good record in claimers .

GROSMONT :1 win and 4 seconds from 15 starts, .Been running consistently in handicap company ,including finishing fair 5th of 12 in 6.5 furlong handicap at Doncaster last time .Not badly treated at the weights , though is unproven over this longer trip.

VERDICT : ORLANDO ROGUE looks solid here ,after putting in two good efforts in this grade recently .Looks fairly treated at the weights and ground conditions will suit .Trainer George Baker also has good record in claimers over last five seasons (15 out 40) (38%) Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .

Most of the opposition have been badly out form ,though Grosmont has been running OK in handicap company and looks main danger, if staying this longer trip . 


ORLANDO ROGUE 4.00 LEICESTER 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK *
(SECOND SP 15-8F R4 20P IN £  LOSS £18.00 /0.18PTS )

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