Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Wednesday 22nd January Conditions Stakes Bet !!!

For Wednesday's best bet we go to Lingfield for high quality looking two mile conditions race at 2.30

10 runners declared for class two conditions race over 2 miles on poly track .This looks competitive race on official figures the three main contenders look to be Arch Villain, Mr Burbidge & Theology 

ARCH VILLAIN :Good record on poly track 4 out 8 ,won 2 mile class two handicap at Kempton in November beating Theology just under lengh off mark 90 .Slightly disappointing last time when finishing 2.5 lengh fourth behind Theology over C&D .Has highest official BHA rating 94 and has to be respected .

MR BURBIDGE : Been in great form landing five timer at Southwell last time in 12 furlong handicap off mark 81 . The return to 2 miles will suit ,though takes big step up in class and will need career best effort to win this class two event ,

THEOLOGY : Poor strike rate on turf  1 out 19,though had some useful form including finishing placed in group three & Listed company .Returned to form when switching to poly track winning class two handicap over C&D at Lingfield last time, off mark 89 .Should go well in this conditions event.

VERDICT : Arch Villain has to be respected here with such good record on poly track,though seemed to be beaten fair & square last time at Lingfield .Has 5lb pull in weights for 2.5 lengh beating by Theology  ,though may struggle to reverse form .

THEOLOGY is proven performer in class two company and looked well suited to this course & distance when winning class two handicap last time . Can confirm form with main rival Arch Villain on 5lb worse terms .Odds around 5-1 look good value .
(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £100.00)

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