Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Wednesday 20th November Stallions Hyde Listed Stakes

    (Tullius can return to winning ways in the days feature race at Kempton)

Going back to Saturday disappointing result with HITCHENS finishing unplaced in 6 furlong listed race at Lingfield for £100.00 loss on the race.

No real excuses there as the race was run at very fast pace ,that should have suited Hitchens though he never really picked up in closing stages finishing sixth beaten just over three lenghs behind the the Jeremy Noseda trained Valbchek who won in course record time .

The last couple of bets have been slightly disappointing ,though saying that we are still nicely in profit for the month with £531 profit with 4 winners from 7 bets .Hopefully we can return to winning ways this week .

Moving onto Wednesday we have decent looking 1 mile listed race on poly track at Kempton .11 runners declared for Stallion Hyde listed stakes.The two that stand out on official handicap figures are :Graphic & Tullius .

GRAPHIC : Dual course winner at Kempton,with career record 6 wins from 21 starts .Big improver since August winning 4 out 5 handicaps ,including winning three class two handicaps .Impressive winner last time winning 1 mile handicap at Nottingham on soft ground beating Breton Rock by 4 lenghs off mark 102 .Steps up into listed company for first time,though with handicap rating of 110 ,looks well up to winning in this grade .

TULLIUS : Useful 5-Y-0 gelding winning 7 from 17 starts.Big improver in 2012 when joining Andrew Balding winning 4 out 5 ,including winning two listed races and group three Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury, only defeat came in group two summer mile at Ascot finishing 1 lengh third to Fanunalter .Returned last month after 14 month lay off ,though could only manage 10th of 13 in group three Darley Stakes at Newmarket .However bounced back to form last time finishing close third in very strong 1 mile listed race at Newmarket behind the useful mudlark Penitent .Has good record on poly track 2 out 3 ,looks to hold obvious claims .

VERDICT : Graphic has highest BHA rating of 110 and will be popular after winning  4 of last 5 starts ,though is stepping up in class and faces his stiffest task to date.Has to be respected ,though looks no great value at top price 7-4

TULLIUS has solid form in this grade ,after winning two listed races and group three last season .Looked back to his best last time at Newmarket when only beaten half lengh behind the useful mudlark Penitent .4-1 with BET365 quickly disappeared on Tuesday evening ,though 3-1 still represents fair value with Ladbrokes 

Of the others Galician has each-way claims after finishing close second in fillies listed race at Lingfield last time , though will still need to improve to take this stronger looking  race .

(UNPLACED SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00)

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1 comment:

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