Thursday, October 03, 2013

Friday 4th October Listed Stakes Bet !!!

September finished up very decent month for blog with £901 / 9.01 pt profit with four winners from seven bets . (9-2) (4-1) (11-4) (5-2) for + 90% return on investment profit on the month. 

After terrible start  to the year £1373 /13.73 loss for first six months ,the blog has really bounced back to form over last two months with 8 winners from 14 bets and profits £1531/15.31 for August and September .

With the blog now showing very small profit for the year of £158/1.58 pts. Hopefully we can have good final three months of the year and make this the fourth winning year in row since the blog started in Feb 2010 .

I think the changes made at the start of August have made big difference.Which has been concentrating on quality races (listed and upwards) .The results have shown big improvement .

Moving on to Friday we have couple decent looking races at Ascot 1 mile 6 furlong listed Stakes & over in Ireland,Dundalk stage good quality group three race over 1 mile 3 furlongs on there evening card.

Going concentrate on Ascot's feature race at 3.40 on ground described as good/soft .

8 runners declared for 14 furlong Listed race at Ascot .On paper this looks competitive listed race with the three main contenders look to be Dabadiyan .Greatwood & Dark Crusader .

DABADIYAN : Landed hatrick earlier this summer ,including winning decent looking 12 furlong handicap at Curragh of mark 92 . Finished fair second last time behind the useful Afonso De Sousa in conditions race at Dundalk .

GREATWOOD :Consistent sort ,though only win came in maiden at Kempton last season .No show in group two company at York & Ascot ,though returned to form last time finishing second in 12 furlong class 2 handicap at Doncaster off mark 102 .

DARK CRUSADER : Fast improving filly since stepping up in trip ,landing hatrick last time at York winning the 14 furlong Melrose handicap in good style off mark 90 .Looking well suited by soft ground conditions.

VERDICT : Dabadiyan has highest BHA rating 107 and to be respected after winning three times this summer ,though is unproven over this trip and has yet race on softish ground .

DARK CRUSADER is stepping up in class ,though looks fast improving filly since stepping up in trip and will be suited by soft ground conditions .Trainer Tony Martin has done well with his few Flat runners in UK this season  2 out 3 .Odds around 7-2 look good value .

Of the others Greatwood should be thereabouts after finishing good second last time at Doncaster ,though has only won maiden at Kempton and is unproven over this longer trip .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 5-4 LOSS £100.00 RULE 4  25P IN £)

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