Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Tuesday 6th November Claiming Bet

After two month break its good to be back,hopefully we can return with good couple months before the end of the year.

On  Tuesday there are two claiming races .At Southwell we have 11 furlong claimer on the fibresand .Course specialist La Estrella looks impossible to oppose ,though at short odds makes no betting appeal .

Going concentrate on the 10 furlong claimer at Redcar ,though only 6 runners are declared this looks quite an interesting little race .

3.00 REDCAR 1 MILE 2F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
Ground conditions are going to be very testing at Redcar.The three main contenders look to be Phase Shift ,Arley Hall & Preistleys Reward . 

PHASE SHIFT : Showed improved form last time winning 12 furlong claimer at Catterick on soft ground  beating Arley Hall by comfortable 2.25 lenghs .Looked well suited by testing conditions last time and should go well in similar race.

ARLEY HALL :Consistent sort ,won 12 furlong handicap at Musselburgh in August on fast ground off mark 65 .Seemed to get outstayed last time when finishing second behind Phase Shift on testing ground at Catterick .

PREISTLEYS REWARD :Won 9 furlong handicap at Redcar on soft ground in May off mark 67. Returned to form last time, finishing fair second in 11 furlong claimer in France  .However had previously been beaten four times in selling company this season.


VERDICT : Preistleys Reward second in claimer in France last time is difficult to weigh up , though had looked disappointing when beaten in selling company and is passed over.

Arley Hall on 4LB better terms with Phase Shift has to be respected ,though not certain to appreciate this more testing ground conditions .Seemed to get outstayed in closing stages at Catterick last time.

PHASE SHIFT looks sure appreciate this testing ground after winning comfortably last time in claimer at Catterick on soft ground.The drop back to 10 furlongs on heavy ground shouldn't be problem and looks fair value at 11-4 in this small field.


TUESDAY 6TH NOVEMBER CLAIMING BET:
PHASE SHIFT 3.00 REDCAR
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @11-4 BET365 ,BETVICTOR,PADDY POWER
(UNPLACED SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00 )



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1 comment:

  1. Jerry,

    Good to see you back. Will be following your posts.

    Kind regards,
    Jason

    ReplyDelete