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Thursday, March 08, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Slightly disappointing result on Wednesday with Thundering Home only managing fourth in 1 mile 4F claiming stakes at Lingfield .In a race run at very slow pace 5.55 seconds slower than standard. 


Thundering Home appeared unsuited by the slow pace ,though only beaten half-a-lengh, never really looked like getting to the leaders in closing stages off such slow pace .Loss on the day £100 .


Daniel Thomas a horse who I thought would struggle over this longer trip, went on to win the race by head ,though with such slow pace his lack of stamina was never really tested.


Moving on to Thursday's racing we have one claiming race at Wolverhampton's evening meeting for 3 year old's over the extended mile.


7.10 WOLVERHAMPTON 1MILE 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES
Just six runners go to post for 1 mile claiming stakes for 3 year olds .This looks straight match between  Clean Bowled & Flying Pickets .


CLEAN BOWLED :Big improver since being fitted with cheek pieces,landing quick fire hatrick in claiming company .Including winning by 10 lenghs over this C&D earlier last month .Looks sure to go well with ideal conditions.  


FLYING PICKETS : Good record at Southwell landing his third course win last week over 7F ,though was well beaten by Clean Bowled at Lingfield earlier last month, after being very slowly away. Should get closer on 5LB better terms ,though has poor record on poly track 0 from 5 .


VERDICT : Not great deal to separate the two main contenders on official handicap ratings ,though Flying Pickets has big question mark on this surface having been well beaten on all five starts on poly track.


CLEAN BOWLED is difficult to oppose after winning his last three starts in claiming company and this looks good opportunity to land the four timer .Not betting race for me at odds on ,though  8-11   looks fair price in such weak race.


(1) CLEAN BOWLED (2) FLYING PICKETS



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