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Monday, December 05, 2011

Mondays best bets !!

Looks like quite busy week with the claiming races .On Monday we have the one claiming race 
1.30 at Lingfield .

1.30 LINGFIELD 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Nine runners declared for seven furlong claimer at Lingfield .This looks to concern three runners ,Golden Desert ,Fishforcompliments and Stevie Gee.


Golden Desert would be very difficult to beat if he can repeat his win off mark 90 in class 2 handicap at Newmarket in September for Robert Mills .Though ran nowhere near that level on his first start for Simon Dow when beaten in claimer by City Legend here last time .

Fishforcompliments won 7 furlong handicap  at Musselburgh in September off mark 73 his first win for over 2 years .finished close third in this race last year behind Caprio ,though not easiest horse to win with having won only 3 times from 58 starts .

STEVIE GEE is consistent sort at this level .Won 7 furlong 0-70 classified claimer at Wolverhampton in September beating Brynfa Boy by short head .Finished fair third last time in 7 furlong seller behind Faithful Ruler ,running on well at finish after racing wide.

VERDICT : Golden Desert  is the clear pick on official handicap ratings ,though  there still remains doubt about his ability to run too his current mark and odds around evens look too short.

Fishforcompliments should be thereabouts ,though is very difficult horse to win with .Has still to win on the All Weather from 10 starts.

 STEVIE GEE  goes well in this grade and has ran well on his last two starts on the All Weather.At around 5-1  looks fair each-way value against the favourite Golden Desert . 


TODAYS BEST BET 
STEVIE GEE 1.30 LINGFIELD 
(UNPLACED SP 9-1 ) LOSS - £100
0.50 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET 365 ,BOYLESPORTS ,VICTOR CHANDLER,HILLS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


STAKING :1 TO 3 POINTS : 
MY PERSONAL BETS ARE £100 PER POINT:

4 comments:

  1. Hey Jerry, I've just checked and noticed that I've gone head to head with you today with my selection, When ever I've done this in the past I usually come off second best! :-(

    I have gone for Fishforcompliments, so I will have split loyalties in some ways today.

    I think both should end up in the frame so good luck whatever the result mate.

    Mark

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  2. Hi Mark

    Fishforcompliments looks well weighted with claimer taking off 7LB.

    I Just don't like backing horses that have poor strike rate ,even at this low level.

    I think Fishforcompliments will be in first three as the horse is often placed ,though will be bit surprised if he wins .

    Best of luck whatever happens .
    Jerry.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Jerry

    Based on all known form, I cannot work out why the drift was so dramatic on Steve Gee!

    Call me cynical, but I think that some people knew a little more than the rest of us about his chances on this occasion ;-)

    Mark

    ReplyDelete
  4. Very disappointing Mark

    I Had bad feeling when he drifted so much,5-1 out to 12-1 on betfair.

    I agree when people are laying 12-1 about 5-1 chance it makes you wonder .

    Jerry

    ReplyDelete