Not the greatest of weeks with - £200 / 2.00 pt loss ,only one bet on the week Captain Dimitros finishing unplaced in 6 furlong selling stakes at Leicester on Thursday .
THE RESULTS :
ON THE WEEK
1 BET ) 0 WINNER ) LOSS - £200 / 2.00PTS
OVERALL AFTER WEEK 13
25 BETS ) 7 WINNERS ) 7 SECONDS ) 6 THIRDS )
PROFIT £1396 / 13.96 PTS )
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
STAKED £5000 / 50 PTS ) RETURN £6396 / 63.96 ) ROI 28.20 %
With having a quiet weekend its given me time to analyze the past seven months results,its always important for me to analyze all the different type races I'm placing bets on and which type races are making the biggest profits or losses.
My bets are split into six different categories over the past seven months :
Group races.Listed.Maidens.Claimers.Selling Stakes.Condition Races
THE RESULTS 6 DIFFERENT CATEGORIES:
ALL BETS 1PT EACH -WAY
GROUP RACES :7 BETS )2 WINNERS )1 PLACED ) LOSS -1.44 pts
WIN STRIKE RATE 28.57 % ( ROI LOSS -11 % )
LISTED RACES :9 BETS )4 WINNERS )2 PLACED ) PROFIT + 8.57
WIN STRIKE RATE 44.44 % (ROI PROFIT +49.25 )
MAIDEN RACES:17 BETS )4 WINNERS )10 PLACED) PROFIT +11.66
WIN STRIKE RATE 23.52 % (ROI PROFIT +35.15)
CLAIMERS : 32 BETS )10 WINNERS )11 PLACED ) PROFIT +23.60
WIN STRIKE RATE 31.25 % (ROI PROFIT +36.98)
SELLING STAKES:13 BETS)4 WINNERS)7 PLACED) PROFIT +9.10
WIN STRIKE RATE 30.76 % (ROI PROFIT +35.13)
CONDITION RACES :2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS) 1 PLACED )LOSS -3.00
ANALYZING THE RESULTS:
Looking at the results makes interesting reading .
with 40% of the total bets are in CLAIMING RACES ,which also returns the biggest profits of 23.60pts.
LISTED RACES have the highest winning strike rate 44.44 % and return the best ROI of +49.25 % .though thats from only small sample of seven bets.
MAIDEN RACES have been fairly profitable, good win and place strike rate 82.64%.though only 23.52 % win strike rate.
SELLING STAKES have the highest win & place strike rate 84.74,with fairly decent profits from only 13 bets.
GROUP RACES have not been profitable ,with loss of 1.44 pts ,from small sample of 7 bets ,looking through the results I have noticed three of the selections were on non UK racing returning disappointing loss of 4.34 pts
CONDITION RACES are running at 3pt loss ,though impossible to make an opinion after only 2 bets.
After checking the results I have discovered that the non UK results have been very poor,which includes Group and listed races from Ireland , France & Dubai from five bets. no winners with 8.34 pts loss .With these poor results don't see much point in continuing on betting on non UK races,which will be the only change this upcoming flat season.
Very happy with the other four categories.Claimers .Listed .Selling Stakes.maidens, which have made good profits over the past seven months .Hopefully it will continue this flat season.
Thanks for posting these stats up.
They tend to back up what Robert from the Bechers Brook wrote the other day:
"As I've said many times before, a 10/1 winner in a seller pays the same as the winner of any big race, as I'll let other people try and work out some of the big races, in which I believe the value is harder to find, purely because of the number of eyes focused on them."
Thats could explain why selling and claimning races are a happy hunting ground for you.
Yes I will continue to focus on Selling & Claiming races ,very few punters have any interest in these type races,though I can often find value and have mathematical edge in these uncompetitive races.
I believe its very difficult to find any real value in these big races now ,with so much information available its very difficult to find any edge.