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Thursday, March 24, 2016

All Weather Finals Day (Fri 25th March )

On Good Friday, we have the third running of All Weather Finals Day ,with seven race card at Lingfield Park .With four recommended blog bets .

The first race on the card is FILLIES & MARES final over 7 furlongs .Not the most competitive race with just two standout contenders COLD AS ICE & VOLUNTEER POINT 

COLD AS ICE :Useful mare from South Africa ,winning 6 out 10 ,including winning in G2 company .Finished fast finishing third in 6F listed race at Lingfield in February .Will be suited by this longer trip .Looks the one to beat ,though not the best of draws in stall (10)

VOLUNTEER POINT :Progressive filly  winning three times this winter ,including winning decent 7F condition race at Chelmsford in January ,beating the 100 rated My Call by neck .Looks open to more improvement and obvious each-way claims .

VERDICT : COLD AS ICE is 5LB clear on official ratings, and 7 furlongs looks her ideal trip,though at the prices looks very short at around 4-6 ,from wide draw

At the prices VOLUNTEER POINT looks the each-way value.Has been in good form this winter and looks sure run her race .Odds around 5-1 look fair each-way value against odds on favourite .

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AW SPRINT CHAMPIONSHIP final over 6 furlongs .This looks wide open sprint with plenty chances .The three main contenders look to be Alben Star , Goken & Lancelot Du Lac .

ALBEN STAR : Won 4 out 21 on All Weather ,including winning this race in 2014 .Not been in best form this winter ,though did finish excellent 2ND in this race last year . Will need to bounce back to form ,though could go well from decent draw .

GOKEN : Showed some useful form in France for H.A Pantall ,winning in group three company . Returned to form in November on first start for Kevin Ryan ,winning decent listed race over C&D . Should go well from decent draw .

LANCELOT DU LAC :Excellent record on All Weather ,winning 5 out 10 .Been in good form this winter ,winning last two starts ,including winning handicap at Kempton off mark 105 . However looks badly drawn in stall 13 for front runner .

VERDICT : Lancelot Du Lac looks to have the best form ,though its never easy to win from wide draw here at Lingfield . Odds around 5-2, look short enough from bad draw .

GOKEN was good winner over C&D in Golden Rose listed Stakes in November ,that looked decent performance under a penalty . Should go well from decent draw .Looks solid bet at around 7-2 .

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AW MARATHON CHAMPIONSHIP final over 1M 7F ,another race that doesn't look that competitive .The three main contenders are  Notarised , Ballynanty & Moonrise Landing .

NOTARISED : Won 7 out 31 , though lightly raced on All Weather , winning 1 out 3 , including winning 2 mile condition race at Chelmsford last time .Looks open to improvement over this 2 mile trip . 

BALLYNANTY : Improving sort , won 12 furlong maiden at Lingfield in November ,though shown improved form since stepping up in trip .Looked unlucky last time when finishing 2ND over C&D in 2M condition race at Lingfield ,getting badly hampered .Should be thereabouts each-way claims .

MOONRISE LANDING : Highly progressive mare ,since stepping up to 2 miles ,including bolting up on last two starts at Kempton & Wolverhampton . Produced career best effort last time winning 2 mile condition race at Wolverhampton ,beating Anglophile (winner since) by 4.5 lenghs . Obvious claims for fast improving mare .

VERDICT : MOONRISE LANDING stands out here after beating subsequent winner Anglophile by easy 4.5 lenghs ,looks fast improving mare  ,who will take plenty of beating .Odds around 2-1 look fair value.

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AW MILE CHAMPIONSHIP final .This looks cracking race for mile championship .The three main contenders are Mindyourownbusiness , Mister Universe & Sovereign Dept .

MINDYOUROWNBUSINESS : Progressive sort ,winning 6 out 12 on All weather ,including winning twice over C&D at Lingfield .Won class two handicap at Chelmsford off mark 105 in November . Solid claims with conditions to suit .

MISTER UNIVERSE : Won 2 out 2 on All Weather ,including winning 7F listed race at Wolverhampton last time ,beating Sovereign Dept in tight finish .Looks open to improvement on All Weather ,though will struggle to confirm form with Sovereign Dept on 5lb worse terms .

SOVEREIGN DEPT : Classy 7-Y-0 gelding , winning 8 out 35 ,including winning  4 times in 2015 .Also Finished unlucky 2ND in this race last year ,after getting badly hampered .Finished good 2ND last time in 7F Listed race at Wolverhampton ,on first start of the season .Obvious claims with that run under his belt .

VERDICT : SOVEREIGN DEPT is the class act here ,having won three listed races and group three last year .Made highly encouraging reappearance at Wolverhampton two weeks ago .Looks the one beat with ideal conditions . Odds around around 3-1 look good value .

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LINGFIELD ALL WEATHER FINAL BETS

VOLUNTEER POINT 1.40 LINGFIELD
£25.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365 
(WINNER SP 4-1 PROFIT £156.25 )

GOKEN 2.10 LINGFIELD
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365
(THIRD SP 5-2 LOSS -£5.00 )


MOONRISE LANDING 2.40 LINGFIELD
£100 WIN @ 2-1 BET365  
(WINNER SP 6-5 PROFIT + £200.00 )

SOVEREIGN DEPT 3.15 LINGIELD 
£60 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365
(SECOND SP 11-4 LOSS -£15.00 )

(TOTAL PROFIT £336.00)


4 comments:

  1. Good selections today Jerry had a nice E/W yankee

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  2. Cheers Bubbles ,they all ran good races ,pity about Sovereign Dept,just getting beat .Still nice profit .

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  3. Thanks Jason , nice to finish the month with couple winners .

    ReplyDelete