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Thursday, September 17, 2015

4.25 Newbury 7F Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed Stakes)

On Friday we have decent card at Newbury, with the blogs best bet in the feature race. The Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed Race) .

4.25 NEWBURY 7F DUBAI DUTY FREE CUP LISTED RACE :
9 Runners declared for decent looking 7 furlong listed race at Newbury on soft ground .The Three main contenders are Ascription , Dark Emerald & Jallota .

ASCRIPTION : Won 3 from 15 starts, all on easy ground .Returned after long layoff in May finishing excellent second in group three 7F Timeform Jury at Haydock .Also Finished fair fifth of 7 in G2 Lennox Stakes at Goodwood last time ,only beaten 2 lenghs behind Toormore.Should go well dropping down in class .

DARK EMERALD : Good strike rate on turf ,winning 7 from 29 .Won two decent h'caps at Dubai Carnival in February off marks 101 & 106 .Also finished good second in G3 Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury in August ,behind the useful Kodi Bear .Another solid effort last time ,when finishing close second behind Richard Pankhurst .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

JALLOTA : Poor strike rate, 2 wins from 25 starts , though won class two 7F handicap at York in June off mark 99 .Also finished decent Second, in competitive class 2 handicap at Goodwood last time off mark 103 .Each-way claims ,though not easy to win with .

VERDICT : DARK EMERALD looks over priced here at  9-2 ,after putting in two good efforts recently .Including running a cracker in 7F conditions race at Haydock last time ,when trying concede 11LB to useful Richard Pankhurst , only beaten short head . Soft ground shouldn't be problem and looks a solid each-way bet .

Ascription looks obvious danger dropping into listed company ,after finishing second in G3 company recently ,though odds around 9-4 look short enough .

DARK EMERALD 4.25 NEWBURY 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365*
(THIRD SP 5-1 LEVEL ) 

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