Thursday, September 18, 2014

Friday 19th September Dubai Duty Free Cup Listed Stakes bet

On Friday we have decent looking card from Newbury ,with the feature race the 7 furlong Dubai Duty Free Cup .

4.40 NEWBURY 7F DUBAI DUTY FREE CUP (LISTED STAKES)
11 runners declared for decent looking 7 furlong listed stakes for three year olds and upwards .The three main contenders look to be Absolutely So , Safety Check & Lady Lara

ABSOLUTELY SO : Progressive 4 year old colt, winning 4 from 11.Been in good form this season winning class two 7 furlong handicap by 3.5 lenghs at Goodwood in May off mark 92.Produced career best effort last time ,winning competitive 7 furlong listed race at York, in good style beating Subsequent G2 winner Glory Awaits .Obvious claims in similar looking listed contest .

SAFETY CHECK :Decent three year old colt, with good strike rate on turf, five wins & three seconds from 12 starts .Bounced back to form at the end July ,winning 7 furlong handicap at Goodwood off mark 96 .Ran very creditable fourth in 32 Red handicap stakes off mark 101 next time, finishing fast from off the pace in hot looking handicap at Goodwood behind Almargo .Returned too winning ways last time winning 7 furlong handicap at Ascot off mark 101 .Should go well with ideal conditions .

LADY LARA : Consistent three year old filly ,though has poor strike rate (1 win from 12 starts) However has been contesting some quality group and listed races this season,including finishing placed in two 1 mile listed races at York & Haydock . Finished good third in 9 furlong G3 contest at York last time behind the useful Custom Cut .Each-way claims returning to listed company,though drop in trip has to be concern.

VERDICT : Absolutely So will be popular here after winning in listed company last time at York  ,and should go close if reproducing that form,though has yet to prove as effective on quick ground.

SAFETY CHECK has excellent record over 7 furlongs on fast ground (3 out 4) and can land this listed contest. Has been in top form in recent weeks, winning two class 2 handicaps . Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .


SAFETY CHECK 4.40 NEWBURY 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365,LADBROKES,BETVICTOR.HILLS
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00) 






Friday, September 12, 2014

Friday 12th September Doncaster Cup Bet

The blog returns after short summer break.On Friday we have day three of Doncaster's St Leger meeting  with day's feature race being group two Doncaster Cup over the marathon 18 furlong trip .
2.40 DONCASTER 2 MILE 2F DONCASTER CUP GROUP 2:
12 runners declared for Doncaster Cup on ground described as good/soft good in places, this doesn't look the most competitive staying contest with TIMES UP & ESTIMATE looking the two standout contenders .

TIMES UP : Likeable 8-Y-0 stayer ,winning 10 from 37 starts ,including winning this race for the last two years .Returned to form last time ,finishing 2.75 lengh third in Yorkshire Cup at York behind Pale Mimosa .Should go well with ideal conditions .

ESTIMATE : Useful 5-Y-0 mare ,with excellent record at Ascot ,including winning Ascot Gold Cup in 2013 ,finished excellent second in this years Ascot Gold Cup on her seasonal reappearance,only beaten neck by Leading Light .Also finished good second in Yorkshire Cup at York last time.Looks the one to beat if reproducing that form .

VERDICT : Estimate is 2LB clear on official ratings and looks the one to beat on her Yorkshire Cup form ,finishing 2.5 lenghs in front of Times Up ,though away from Ascot has never looked that reliable .Respected, though odds around 6-4 look short enough .

At the prices last years winner TIMES UP looks solid each-way bet at  around 4-1.Goes particarly well here at Doncaster,winning 3 from 6 .Won this race last year in good style and looked to be coming to boil last time at York .

TIMES UP 2.40 DONCASTER
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1BET365* & LADBROKES*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3  
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100.00)