Monday, March 31, 2014

Weekly / Monthly Results Round Up !!!

This has to be described as one them weeks were nothing went right .Starting on Saturday there were two bets at Meydan's big World cup meeting .

The first bet was in two mile group two Dubai Gold Cup on  Saeed Bin Suroor trained CAVALRYMAN who looked decent bet at 11-4 to win the race for second year running .£50.00 each-way @ 11-4 with Betfred was the bet.Well supported in market going off 7-4 fav

In the race CAVALRYMAN travelled well just in behind the leaders and had good position turning into the straight  ,though just couldn't find clear run inside final two furlongs.Once in clear inside final furlong was closing fast all the way to the line ,though just couldn't catch 33-1 outsider Certerach in time failing by neck .

Really frustrating result here CAVALRYMAN was clearly the best horse in the race,though just got no luck in running .What should been profitable race ended with £16.00 loss .

The second bet at Meydan was on Aidan O'Brien trained GIOVANNI BOLDINI in group two UAE Derby over the extended nine furlongs .Having finished good second in Breeders Cup Juvenile turf on his last start  .GIOVANNI BOLDINI looked solid bet at 3-1 .£50.00 each-way @ 3-1 with Betfred was bet placed, plus we had £25.00 each-way double with CAVALRYMAN .

This was very puzzling ride by Ryan Moore, who settled the horse at the rear of the field,though never seem put the horse into the race .Still only ninth turning into the straight,though picked up well in closing stages, finishing a never nearer fourth, getting beat nose for third place.

The winner Toast Of New York won in good style and looks decent sort,though this was poorly judged ride by Moore who never seem give GIOVANNI BOLDINI any chance in the race .

This turned into quite expensive race with the each-way single and each-way double biting the dust with loss of £150.00 on the race

Moving onto Sunday we had interesting card in Ireland at Leopardstown for final bet of the week.The 2000 guineas trial listed race looked interesting race with Aidan O 'Brien trained Indian Maharaja put in favourite, though had question marks having never ran on testing ground and looked worth taking on at short price .

SHINING EMERALD had some decent form last season on testing ground and was 5LB clear on official ratings .£50 each-way @3-1 with Corals looked fair value bet against  short price favourite 

In the race SHINING EMERALD came there with every chance and looked the likely winner when putting in strong challenge inside final furlong and traded as short as 1-10 in running ,though could never get past the race fit Go For Goal who held on well in closing stages .£20.00 loss on the race.

No excuses here SHINING EMERALD  ran decent enough race ,though was just beaten by improving rival who had fitness edge. The Aidan O 'Brien trained Indian Maharaja who looked vulnerable was big disappointment finishing well beaten 8th failing to handle the heavy ground .

THE RESULTS : 


ON THE WEEK :
4 BETS ) 2 SECONDS ) 2 UNPLACED) LOSS £186.00

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 13:
22 BETS ) 6 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 9 UNPLACED )
PROFIT £319.00 ) STRIKE RATE 27.27%

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014:
STAKED £2160.00 ) RETURN £2479.00 ) ROI + 14.94%)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 MARCH MONTHLY RESULTS :

1)LITIGANT £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 (WON) PROFIT +£180.00 
2)TRADE STORM £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 (UNPL) LOSS -£100.00
3)DANDARREL £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 (WON) PROFIT +165.00
4)LADIES ARE FOREVER £50.00 EACH-WAY @9-2 (UNPL) LOSS -£100.00 
5)CAVALRYMAN £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 (2ND) LOSS -£16.00
6)GIOVANNI BOLDINI £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 (UNPL ) LOSS -£100.00
7)CAVALRYMAN @ 11-4
   GIOVANNI BOLDINI @ 3-1 £25.00 EACH-WAY DOUBLE LOSS -£50.00
8)SHINING EMERALD £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 (2ND) LOSS -£20.00

8 BETS ) 2 WINNERS ) 2 SECONDS ) 4 UNPLACED )
LOSS £41.00 

*Not the greatest month after promising start at the beginning of March, with just two winners from 8 bets for £41.00 loss on the month .

Saying that with better luck March would clearly been profitable month ,we seem get all the bad luck going ,though over the season it will normally even out .

With the Flat turf season now under way, hopefully there will be few more betting opportunities in April .Also looking forward to getting back on the racetrack with Newmarket's Craven meeting on 16th April, my first meeting of the year ,quickly followed by The All Weather championship finals at Lingfield on 18th April .


 


Saturday, March 29, 2014

Sunday 30TH March 2,000 Guineas Trial Stakes Bet !!!

On Sunday we have interesting looking card at Leopardstown ,featuring 1000 & 2000 guineas trial stakes .Going concentrate on 2,000 guineas trial stakes at 3.10 .

3.10 LEOPARDSTOWN 1 MILE 2,000 GUINEAS TRIAL LISTED RACE
10 runners declared for 2,000 guineas trial stakes on ground described as soft to heavy .This looks interesting listed contest .The three main contenders look to be Indian Maharaja ,Ebanoran & Shining Emerald .

INDIAN MAHARAJA : Unbeaten after two starts, winning listed race at Tipperary last time over 7.5 furlongs on good ground .That didn't look the strongest contest and form hasn't really worked out with second well beaten next time in maiden company.However looks open to plenty improvement after two starts and  is leading fancy for the Derby ,though has to prove he can handle testing conditions today .

EBANORAN :Promising debut winning 7 furlong maiden at Curragh in October .Will be suited by this longer trip and has plenty big race entries,Including 2000 guineas and Derby .Not easy to assess that form ,though is open to plenty improvement this season .Unproven on testing ground conditions.

SHINING EMERALD : Won twice last season, including 6 furlong listed race at Curragh in September.Finished fair third in group three at Leopardstown in October behind Craftsman .Longer trip shouldn't be problem and will be suited by testing conditions having won maiden on heavy ground .

VERDICT :The Aidan O 'Brien trained Indian Maharaja will be popular having won both starts ,though will still need show more improvement to win stronger looking listed race .Will probably be suited by further this season and has to prove he can handle testing ground .

SHINING EMERALD is 5lb clear on official ratings and looks solid here having already won in listed company and will relish testing ground conditions.Trainer P.D Deegan has been in great form this year with (9 out 21) 42% strike rate .Odds around 3-1 look fair value .


SHINING EMERALD 3.10 LEOPARDSTOWN
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 CORALS* & BOYLESPORTS*
(SECOND SP 5-2 LOSS £20.00) *Traded 1-10 in running 

 Best odds guarantee*

Friday, March 28, 2014

Saturday 29th March Dubai Gold Cup & UAE Derby Bets

On Saturday we have cracking card from Meydan featuring 8 group races, including the Worlds richest race the six million Dubai World Cup .

With the bookmakers having already priced up all eight races ,there looks couple interesting bets .Going concentrate on two of the lesser races on the card the G2 Dubai Gold Cup & G2 UAE Derby .

1,45 MEYDAN 2 MILE DUBAI GOLD CUP GROUP TWO:
15 runners declared for Dubai Gold Cup over 2 miles .Plenty runners ,though not many strong contenders here .Simenon ,Cavalryman & Joshua Tree look the three main contenders.

SIMENON :Useful stayer on his day ,won twice at Royal Ascot in 2012 .Ran some decent races last season without winning ,including finishing good second behind Estimate in Ascot Gold cup & excellent fourth in Melbourne Cup .Should improve for first run of the season at Meydan ,though has plenty to find with Cavalryman .

CAVALRYMAN : Impressive winner of this race last year, beating Ahzeemah by easy 3 lenghs .Looked better than ever when winning the Nad Al Sheeba Trophy on reappearance at Meydan last time, beating Star Empire by over five lenghs .Obvious claims with conditions to suit.

JOSHUA TREE : Inconsistent sort ,though has some useful  International form ,including winning Canadian International three times at Woodbine.Also finished creditable second in this race in 2012 .Ran respectful sixth over inadequate 10 furlong trip in G1 race last time at Meydan .

VERDICT : CAVALRYMAN stands out here after bolting up last time at Meydan .Won this race last year in great style and should be difficult to beat with ideal conditions .Odds around 11-4 look very fair value .

Of the others Joshua Tree could go well at decent odds,having finished fair second in this race back in 2012 and looks the each-way value at around 9-1. 



2.25 MEYDAN 1 MILE 1F 110YDS UAE DERBY GROUP TWO:
12 runners declared for UAE Derby over extended 9 furlongs on the tapeta. The three main contenders are Long John , Giovanni Boldini & Asmar .

LONG JOHN : Useful sort formerly trained in Australia .Impressive winner of UAE 2000 guineas on his first start at Meydan  ,beating the reliable Emirates Flyer by over 4 lenghs .However was disappointing when well beaten over this trip at Moonee Valley,back in October .

GIOVANNI BOLDINI :Improving sort ,Winning twice on poly track at Dundalk over 7 furlongs last season .However ran his best race last time when finishing close second in Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita in November ,behind the useful Outstrip .Should be suited by this longer trip .

ASMAR :Lightly raced sort ,though big improver last time when winning over C&D in listed race at Meydan .Has plenty to find with Long John on previous form ,though seemed to improve greatly over this longer trip .Can't be ruled out ,though is stepping up in class .

VERDICT : Long John will be popular here after bolting up last time ,though there remains big question mark about this longer trip and looks worth taking on at shortish price .

GIOVANNI BOLDINI looks solid here after finishing excellent second in juvenile mile Breeders Cup turf at Santa Anita back in November .Looks open to plenty more improvement this season and trainer Aidan O' Brien can land the race for the third time .Odds around 3-1 look decent value

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAVALRYMAN 1.45 MEYDAN 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BETFRED 
(SECOND SP 7-4 LOSS £16.00)

GIOVANNI BOLDINI 2.25 MEYDAN 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1  BETFRED
(UNPLACED SP 2-1 LOSS £100.00)

£25.00 EACH-WAY DOUBLE AT 11-4 & 3-1  
DOUBLE PAYS 14-1.BOTH 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 WITH BETFRED.
(SECOND & UNPLACED LOSS £50.00 )


   


Sunday, March 23, 2014

Weekly Results Round Up !!!

Another quiet week for the blog, with very few betting opportunities in non handicap All Weather races this week .However with turf season starting next Saturday there should  be plenty betting opportunities over the next few weeks .

Going back to Saturday it turned into frustrating day with the weeks only bet LADIES ARE FOREVER only managing fifth in five furlong listed race at Lingfield after being well supported in the market 9-2 into 3-1 .She did look slightly unlucky there, getting hampered on the bend with two furlongs to run and losing her place, before finishing strongly in closing stages for never nearer fifth .Would certainly finished second with trouble free run,though doubtful she would beat easy winner Stepper Point.

LADIES ARE FOREVER looks one to keep an eye on next time ,especially if returning to 6 furlongs, looks more than capable of picking up another listed or group three race in next few weeks .

The big race on Saturday on was G3 Winter Derby .The short price favorite Grandeur looked the one to beat on form ,though had very poor draw in stall 14 .

Grandeur was rushed up by Ryan Moore from his wide draw ,though was still stuck out four wide and looked in trouble when the race developed .Robins Hood Bay came with strong run down outside to win the race by half a lengh .

Again this was frustrating result as Robins Hood Bay had been each-way bet for the blog last time ,when finishing fourth behind Grandeur in Winter Derby trial back in February.Though he had good  place chance in the race. I must admit just didn't think he would be quite good enough to win the Winter Derby . Nevermind goes down as losing week with £100.00 loss ,though the blog is still showing small profit in March going into final week .


THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 1 UNPLACED ) LOSS £100.00 )
 
OVERALL AFTER WEEK 12 :
18 BETS ) 6 WINNERS ) 4 SECONDS ) 8 UNPLACED)
PROFIT £515.00) STRIKE RATE 33%

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014:
STAKED £1800.00) RETURN £2315.00) ROI 28.70 % )


 


Friday, March 21, 2014

Saturday 22nd March Hever Sprint Listed Stakes Bet !!!

In Saturday we do have very decent looking card from Lingfield featuring the group three Winter Derby,plus two good looking listed races .

A maximum field of fourteen go to post for group three Winter Derby at 3.50.The Jeremy Noseda trained GRANDEUR stands out here on form,having won twice in group two company and was good winner over C&D in winter Derby Trial at Lingfield last month .Looks the one they all have to beat ,though has to overcome poor draw in stall 14.

For days main bet we concentrate on Hever Sprint Listed Stakes at 2.40 .This looks competitive five furlong listed race, with the three main contenders .Addictive Dream , Kingsgate Choice & Ladies Are Forever .

2.40 LINGFIELD 5F HEVER LISTED SPRINT STAKES
ADDICTIVE DREAM : Dual course winner here at Lingfield .Bolted up last time (Making All) over C&D in class two handicap at Lingfield, beating Ubetterbegood by just under three lenghs off mark 98.Has yet to win in listed company ,though looks well drawn in stall three for front runner and could take some pegging back .

KINGSGATE CHOICE :Fair sprinter on his day ,won twice last season on turf, in hot class two handicaps at York and Musselburgh ,though probably ran best race, when finishing close fourth in Flying Five group three at Curragh in September, behind Dutch Masterpiece.Lightly raced on poly track ,though has won over C&D at Lingfield .

LADIES ARE FOREVER :Decent Six year old mare.Goes well here at Lingfield.Bolted up in this race last year, breaking the course record.Also won Group three 6 furlong Summer Stakes at York in July .Slightly disappointing last time on her seasonal reappearance, finishing 6th of 12 at Lingfield behind Tarooq .Should improve for that first run of the season .

VERDICT : Last years winner LADIES ARE FOREVER can bounce back to form and win Hever Sprint for second year running .Has proven record in listed company and can land her fourth listed race .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .

Kingsgate Choice can go well fresh and looks the main danger on his decent turf form from last season . Having won class two handicap at Musselburgh off mark 104 ,won't need to improve much to win in listed race .


LADIES ARE FOREVER 2.40 LINGFIELD
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BOYLESPORTS
(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £100.00)
   
Best price guarantee*


Monday, March 17, 2014

Weekly Results Round Up

Solid week for the blog with £165.00 profit .The only bet of the week was on Tuesday in 1 mile classified claiming stakes at Southwell on Julie Camacho trained DANDARREL .

The only course & distance winner in the field DANDARREL looked solid bet at 11-4 with Betvictor, £50.00 each-way was the bet struck .

In the race DANDARREL was always well placed and lead two furlongs out and stayed on well to win comfortably by lengh and quater .Landing mini gamble 11-4 into 5-4 .

Half way through the month, March has been quiet month for the blog ,with only three bets,however the bets have performed well with two winners 3-1 & 11-4 for £240.00 profit.Overall quite solid start to the year with 35% strike rate with  6 winners from 17 bets for £615.00 profit .

Looking ahead to this week ,again not great deal happening in early part of the week ,though we do have decent card from Lingfield on Saturday featuring the Winter Derby & Spring Cup .Hopefully we should be back in action on Friday & Saturday .

With Cheltenham done and dusted for another year ,it's hard to believe the flat season is just 12 days away with Doncaster's Lincoln meeting on 29 March .

Though the All Weather racing has improved this year with  some better quality racing and added prize money .I'm really looking forward to getting back on the turf at the end of the month  .

Hopefully the blog can get better start this year ,having struggled for first three months on turf last season ,before showing some very good profits from July onwards. I should be back on racecourse in mid April for Newmarket's craven meeting .


THE RESULTS FOR WEEK ENDING (16/03/14) :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT £165.00 )

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 11 :
17 BETS ) 6 WINNERS ) PROFIT £615.00)
STRIKE RATE 35.33%

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014
STAKED £1700.00) RETURN £2315.00) ROI +36.98





Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Tuesday 11th March Claiming Stakes Bet !!!

All eyes on Tuesday will obviously be on the start of Cheltenham Festival .With most people having no interest in Southwell .However a 11-4 winner at Southwell will still pay the same.

4.25 SOUTHWELL 1 MILE 0-65 CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES
9 runners declared for competitive looking 1 mile 0-65 classified claiming stakes on fibresand at Southwell .Not many of these been in much current form recently, the three main contenders look to be : Dandarrel,Dansili Dutch & Dozy Joe .

DANDARREL : Dual course winner at Southwell ,including bolting up by 9 lenghs in handicap over C&D in December ,been slightly disappointing on last two starts ,though had taken big rise in the weights .Will be suited dropping into claiming company for first time .

DANSILI DUTCH :Fair record on poly track winning three times at Wolverhampton this winter,won 9.5 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton in February off mark 60 .Been disappointing on last two starts here at Southwell finishing tailed off on both starts .

DOZY JOE : Fair two year old back in 2010 winning twice for Ian Wood ,though nowhere near that level these days ,however did win seller at Wolverhampton in December .Also finished fair second in 0-70 classified claimer at Kempton in February .Makes Fibresand Debut .

VERDICT : This looks very moderate classified claimer with most of the field being out of form.

DANDARREL the only course & distance winner in the field ,looks the percentage call here, dropping into claiming company for first time. Was impressive winner over C&D in December in class 6 company and should go well here .

DANDARREL 4.25 SOUTHWELL
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BETVICTOR*
(WINNER SP 5-4 PROFIT £165.00 )

 Best odds guarantee*

Sunday, March 09, 2014

Weekly Results Round Up

This week has been very quiet week, with just the one bet on Saturday on TRADE STORM in group one Jebel Hatta at Meydan .

TRADE STORM looked decent each-way at 4-1, after running good second last time at Meydan. £50.00 each/way with Bet365 was the bet struck.Well supported in market going off 11-4 second favorite.

This was disappointing result with TRADE STORM finishing a never nearer fourth,though finishing well in closing stages ,was never going make that much ground up.

With better ride from Jamie Spencer  would probably finished second ,though wouldn't have beat the impressive winner Vercintetorix who looks decent sort for Mike De Kock .

Not the best week with £100.00 loss ,though the blog is still showing small profit in March . 


THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 1 UNPLACED )LOSS £100.00)

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 10:
16 BETS) 5 WINNERS) 4 SECONDS ) 6 UNPLACED)
PROFIT £450.00

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014 :
STAKED £1600.00) RETURN £2050.00) ROI +28.20%)

 

Saturday, March 08, 2014

Super Saturday at Meydan Jebel Hatta Bet !!!



4.45 MEYDAN 9 FURLONG GROUP 1 JEBEL HATTA :
14 Runners declared for 9 furlong group one Jebel Hatta on the turf ,this looks competitive group one contest .The three main contenders look to be Vercingetorix ,La Amour De Ma Vie .& Trade Storm .

VERCINGETORIX :Lighly raced South African five year old .Unbeaten in five starts ,including winning group one at Greyville last June .Won 9 furlong handicap on first start at Meydan last time beating Code Of Honour by half lengh,  off mark 108 .Looks open to plenty more improvement .

LA AMOUR DE MA VIE :Improving five year old French mare ,winning 3 from 9 starts .Been in good form at Meydan this season, winning group two Balachine Stakes beating the useful filly's Flotilla & Certify .Each-way claims ,though takes on stronger opposition here.

TRADE STORM :Useful hold up performer on his day,has decent record here at Meydan winning twice last season,including the G2 Zabeel Mile .Looked unsuited by slow pace last time ,when finishing strongly in second in this years Zabeel Mile.The return to 9 furlongs should suit .

VERDICT :The unbeaten Vercingetorix looks interesting runner for Mike De Kock,after winning handicap over C&D last time ,though will still need to show more improvement to win this group one race.At top price 5-2 makes little appeal . 

TRADE STORM goes well here at Meydan and will be suited returning to this longer trip .Ran as well as could be expected last time,when unsuited by the slow pace.This race should be run at much stronger pace,which will suit this hold up performer.

   
TRADE STORM 4.45 MEYDAN 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365* & SKYBET*
(UNPLACED SP 11-4 LOSS £100.00) 

Best price guarantee*

Sunday, March 02, 2014

Weekly / Monthly Results Round Up !!

Nice to start the month with winner .LITIGANT winning 2 mile conditions race at Lingfield on Saturday for £180.00 profit.Well supported in market going off 2-1 favorite.

In fact was available as big as 4-1 with Betvictor for few minutes on Friday afternoon, though that price quickly disappeared.

Just the two bets on the week the first bet was on Thursday at Meydan in 1 mile group two Zabeel Mile on David Simcock trained TRADE STORM .£50.00 each-way at 4-1 with Bet365 was the bet struck.

Last years winner TRADE STORM looked decent each-way bet here,with the dead eight runners ,though the only problem placing your bet the night before,there is always the chance of non runner.This seems to happen quite often in 8 runner races nowadays .The Mike De Kock trained Anaerobia was taken out in morning ,leaving seven runners .

In the race TRADE STORM as normal was settled at rear ,though in slowly run race Mshawish quickened clear two furlongs out and was never in any real danger .Once in the clear TRADE STORM did finish strongly for second, though had impossible task trying catch Mshawish .In the end it was just small loss on the race -£5.00

The second bet on Saturday in 2 mile conditions race at Lingfield on LITIGANT .The bet was £50.00 each-way at 3-1 with Bet365 on Friday evening .This was well supported in market overnight and in morning being backed into 6-4 ,before drifting before the off .In fact returned 11-4 with Betfair compared with 2-1 SP .

This was another slowly run race. LITIGANT was always travelling well in midfield , only fifth turning into straight,though was still going well under George Baker .Once in clear quickened up nicely to win  cosily by half lengh .

LITIGANT looks horse to follow in staying events,that was his fourth win from just six starts and this lightly raced six year old gelding,looks more than capable of picking up listed or group three race this season .

Overall a decent week with £175.00 profit ,after disappointing start in February.The bets have performed well over past two weeks and hopefully March will be good month .


WEEKLY RESULTS ROUND UP :


ON THE WEEK 
2 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) 1 SECOND ) PROFIT £175.00

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 9 :
15 BETS ) 5 WINNERS ) 4 SECONDS ) 6 UNPLACED
PROFIT £550.00 

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2014 :
STAKED £1500.00 ) RETURN £2050.00 ) ROI +36.98%

------------------------------------------------------------------

FEBRUARY MONTHLY RESULTS :

1) LARGHETTO £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 (UNPL) LOSS -£100.00
2) FULBRIGHT £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 6-1 (UNPL ) LOSS -£100.00
3)JUBILEE BRIG £50.00  EACH-WAY @ 10-3 (2ND ) LOSS -£13.00
4)TASADAY £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 (WON ) PROFIT +£240.00
5)ROBINS HOOD BAY £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-1 (UNPL) LOSS £100.00
6)TRADE STORM £50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 (2ND) LOSS -£5.00   

6 BETS )1 WINNER )2 SECONDS)3 UNPLACED )
LOSS -£88.00 

*Not the greatest month with just one winner from 6 bets ,though after poor start to the month not too much damage done with £88.00 loss in February .