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Friday, April 19, 2013

Friday 19th April Listed Stakes Bet !!

On Friday we have two flat turf cards at Bath & Newbury ,with what looks decent 5 furlong fillies listed race at Bath's evening fixture.

6.30 BATH 5 FURLONG FILLIES LISTED RACE  
With three non runners 11 runners go to post for good looking 5 furlong fillies listed race .On official handicap ratings the three main contenders are Caledonia Lady ,Jwala & Excellette.

CALEDONIA LADY : Decent filly on her day, won the group three Coral Charge at Sandown in July , Also finished close second in this race last year only beaten head behind Beyond Desire .Goes well fresh and escapes a penalty for winning that group three contest .

JWALA :Improving filly last season winning three times ,including handicap over C&D at Bath .Finished the season with good second behind Sole Power  in decent looking listed race at Doncaster in September .Should go well in this listed contest .

EXCELETTE  : Consistent filly ,won 5 furlong listed race at Haydock in June .Also finished creditable third behind Sole Power in September ,only short head behind Jwala .Looks very closely matched with Jwala on that running.

VERDICT: CALEDONIA LADY looks the one to beat in this listed race, after winning decent group three contest last season at Sandown. Looked unlucky not to win this race last year ,failing by head .Odds around 7-2 look very fair value .

Jwala looks the main danger ,after improving with every run last season .

FRIDAY 19TH APRIL LISTED STAKES BET :
CALEDONIA LADY 6.30 BATH 
0.50 PTS WIN @ 7-2 LADBROKES*
0.50 PTS PLACE @ 1.84 BETFAIR 

(RESULT :THIRD SP 7-2 LOSS £10.00)

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Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Wednesday 17th April Neil Gwyn Stakes Bet

Nice to start the turf season with winner. Monday's claiming bet on Takealookatmenow winning nicely at 7-2 for £210.00 profit .

Moving on to Wednesday's racing ,we have some quality action with the start of Newmarket's craven meeting ,with highlight on Wednesday being Group three Neil Gwyn stakes for three year old fillies at 4.05 

4.05 NEWMARKET 7F NEIL GYWN STAKES GROUP THREE
14 runners declared for group three Neil Gwyn over 7 furlongs on good ground .The four main contenders being Sky Lantern ,Lady Nouf ,Nargy's & Winning Express .

SKY LANTERN : Won three races last season ,including winning group one Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh in September ,looked unlucky in Breeders Cup Juvenile turf at Santa Anita on her last start when badly hampered .Should go well for in form Richard Hannon stable .

LADY NOUF : Won 7 furlong maiden at Leicester in October ,looks open to plenty improvement as three year old ,though takes big step up in class .Stable in good form .

NARGY'S : Progressive filly last season ,improving with each run .Finished the season with good second in group two Rockfel Stakes over C&D at Newmarket .Looks open to plenty improvement this season .

WINNING EXPRESS : Won two out three last season ,including 6 furlong listed race at Salisbury in September .Finished good second in group one Cheverley Park stakes at Newmarket on her final start .Should be suited by this longer trip and open to improvement .

VERDICT : SKY LANTERN has to concede 3LB to all her rivals here ,though looks the class act  after winning group one Moyglare & finishing excellent second in group three Sweet Salareo stakes  behind the unbeaten filly Certify .Richard Hannon has his stable in top form with 9 winners already this month .Odds around 3-1 look very fair value in this group three contest.

Of the others Nargy's looks open to plenty improvement this season ,though Luca Cumani runners  are very rarely at there best this early in the season .

Winning Express looks sure win more races this season ,the step up in trip should suit ,though trainer Ed Mcmahon hasn't had winner since December .

Lady Nouf won what looked decent maiden at Leicester on her only start ,that form looks solid with second & third both winning fair races next time,though she takes big step up in class,Should go well for inform William Haggas .


WEDNESDAY 17TH APRIL NEIL GWYN GROUP THREE BET :
SKY LANTERN 4.05 NEWMARKET
0.50 PT WIN @ 3-1 CORALS*
0.50 PT PLACE @ 1.80 BETFAIR
( RESULT : SECOND 11-4 LOSS £12.00)

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Monday, April 15, 2013

Monday 15th April Claiming Stakes Bet

Finally the flat turf season kicks into gear this week ,with Newmarket staging there two day craven meeting on Wednesday & Thursday

Newbury also stage decent card on Saturday ,with the Greenham Stakes, Fred Darling stakes &John Porter stakes being there feature races .

On Monday we have three cards on the turf .At Windsor ,Redcar & Newcastle .Not great deal of quality as you would expect for Monday ,though there looks interesting low grade 6 furlong claiming stakes at Redcar .

4.40 REDCAR 6F APPRENTICE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 :
8 runners declared for 6 furlong apprentice claimer at Redcar on Good/Firm ground .This doesn't look the strongest claimer with three main contenders being Takelookatmenow, Liliargh & Studfarmer .

TAKEALOOKATMENOW :C&D winner at Redcar ,though been disappointing on the All Weather this winter finishing well beaten on both starts .Had shown some fair form last season on turf ,winning class 4 handicap at Ripon in June .Will need bounce back ,though stable has good record in claimers .

LILIARGH : Won 7 furlong maiden at Redcar for Ben Haslam last May.Also finished good second in 7 furlong handicap at Newcastle in October off mark 70 on heavy ground .Looked non stayer over hurdles at Catterick in February.

STUDFARMER : Won both starts on turf in selling company .Returned to form winning 6 furlong seller at Leicester in good style earlier this month,though that looked very weak selling race .Should go well though this claimer looks stronger race.


VERDICT : Studfarmer was easy winner at Leicester last time and looks well treated at the weights ,though that looked very weak selling race .Odds around 11-8  look poor value .

Liliargh has possibilities in this claimer on last years form over 7 furlongs ,though the drop back to 6 furlongs on very fast ground has to be concern and trainer Ben Haslam hasn't had winner for over 5 months .

TAKEALOOKATMENOW needs bounce back after two disappointing runs on All Weather ,though had some fair form on turf last season and has run two of her best races here at Redcar.Should go well dropping into claiming company. Odds around 7-2 look fair value .

MONDAY 15TH APRIL CLAIMING STAKES BET :
TAKEALOOKATMENOW 4.40 REDCAR 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*,PADDY POWER*
(RESULT: WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT +£210.00)

*Best price guarantee