Friday, August 31, 2012

Friday 31st August Claiming Bet !!

On Friday there are two claiming races,both 2 year old claimers, on the turf at Thirsk & on the poly track at Wolverhampton .

Going to concentrate on the 7 furlong two year old claiming stakes at Wolverhampton's evening card .

7.20 WOLVERHAMPTON 7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES
12 runners declared for 7 furlong two year old claimer on the poly track at Wolverhampton .With Brazilian Clown being early morning non runner the main two contenders look to be Charlie Em and Wordsaplenty .

CHARLIE EM :Shown improved form since stepping up to 7 furlongs ,winning seven furlong handicap at Catterick off mark 66 and then finishing fair second at Newcastle last time .Looks well treated in this claimer and should go well if handling the poly track .

WORDSAPLENTY : Improved form since being fitted with hood ,finishing fair second in 6 furlong handicap at Ffos Las off mark 60 and then winning 7 furlong seller at Catterick last time .

VERDICT : Charlie Em looks the one to beat here after putting in two solid runs in handicap company ,though odds around 6-4 look very short for horse yet to run on poly track .

WORDSAPLENTY receiving 14lb from her main rival looks the each-way value here at around 7-1 .Looked better suited stepping up to 7 furlongs last time when winning seller at Catterick and looks well treated off 8 stone .

FRIDAY 31ST AUGUST CLAIMING BET:
WORDSAPLENTY 7.20 WOLVERHAMPTON
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-1 BET365*,PADDY POWER*
(UNPLACED SP  13-2 LOSS £100.00 / 1.00 PT )

Best price guarantee*



Monday, August 27, 2012

Weekly results round / Up

August has been a bit of a struggle with the claiming races with no winners from four bets ,though there has been three thirds, this hasn't been great month with £220 loss heading towards the end of the month .

Going back to last week there was just one bet on Monday in the 2 year old 5 furlong claiming stakes at Thirsk on Dream Vale at 4-1 ,well supported in the market going off the 5-2 clear second favourite,though could only manage third place and with two late non runners in the race making it a seven runner race this ended up being losing bet with £100.00 loss

Always very annoying when you get them late non runners, making it first two for each-way bets,though there is always the option of placing the bets on betfair who pay out on three places on the place market .

Moving on to this week, not great deal happening in the claiming races in the early part of the week ,though I do expect to be back in action on Thursday & Friday.

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 0 WINNERS ) 1 UNPLACED )
LOSS -£100.00 / 1.00 PT

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 34:
40 BETS ) 12 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 3 THIRDS ) 19 UNPLACED)
STRIKE RATE 30.76% ) PROFIT + £1531 / 15.31 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012:
STAKED £4650 / 45.50 PTS ) RETURN £6180 / 61.80 PTS ) ROI +32.97% 

Monday, August 20, 2012

Monday 20th August Claiming Bet !!

On Monday we have three claiming stakes races , going concentrate on the 5 furlong claimer at Thirsk & 7 furlong claimer at Kemptons evening fixture .

2.30 THIRSK 5F  2 YEAR OLD CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 4
9 runners declared for 5 furlong 2 year old claimer at Thirsk on good ground .On official handicap ratings the three main contenders look to be Done Dreaming ,Dream Vale & Coconut Kisses

DONE DREAMING : Won 5 furlong maiden last time at Ayr beating Bogsnog by half lengh.Looks open to more improvement after just two starts ,though does have to concede plenty weight in this claimer.

DREAM VALE : Bolted up by 7 lenghs in 5 furlong maiden at Catterick in May and then ran decent 4th in Hillary Needler at Beverley .Has looked disappointing on his last two starts at Chester & Newmarket ,though will be suited by this drop in class .

COCONUT KISSES : Won 5 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton in April ,showing plenty of speed .Outclassed last time when finishing last of 3 in conditions event at Lingfield .Makes her turf debut .

VERDICT : This looks tricky 2 year old claimer .Done Dreaming has to be respected here after winning maiden last time at Ayr ,though doesn't face an easy task having to concede weight all round .

DREAM VALE will need to bounce back after two disappointing efforts ,though would take plenty of beating if she can reproduce her Catterick or Beverley form in this claimer .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

MONDAY 20TH AUGUST CLAIMING BET:
DREAM VALE 2.30 THIRSK
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY@ 4-1 PADDYPOWER*
(THIRD SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00 ) *2 non runners 7 runner race.

Best price guarantee*

*unfortunately there's no second bet at Kempton ,with Dark Ben being non runner ,this race is now 7 runner race and makes no appeal for each-way betting .

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Weekly results round up !!

Not great week with two losing bets for £120 / 1.20 pts loss .The first bet was on Wednesday in 7 furlong 0-75 classified claiming stakes at Beverley on Lindoro ,though well supported in the market 9-2 into 7-2 could only finish disappointing fifth . Loss of £100.00 on the bet .

The second bet was on Friday in 7 furlong claiming stakes at Newbury on Duster ,and again this one was also well supported in the market going off 2-1 favourite from 7-2 .After trying to make all the running could only manage well beaten third .Loss of £20.00 on the bet .

The last few bets have been bit disappointing with only one winner from last 7 bets ,though no great losses the winners have dried up somewhat .Hopefully that will change next week .

Moving on to next week it looks like being busy day on Monday with three claiming races scheduled .There looks a strong possibility of  at least two bets on Monday .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) 1 THIRD ) 1 UNPLACED )
LOSS £120.00 / 1.20 PTS

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 33 :
38 BETS ) 12 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 3 THIRDS ) 17 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 31.64% ) PROFIT+ £1631 / 16.31 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012 :
STAKED £4550 / 45.50 PTS ) RETURN £6180 / 61.80 ) ROI +35.86%


Friday, August 17, 2012

Friday 17th August claiming bet !!

Disappointing result on Wednesday with Lindoro only finishing fifth in 7 furlong claiming stakes at Beverley .No excuses for Lindoro had every chance in the race ,though found very little inside the the final furlong .Loss £100.00 on the day .

Moving quickly on to Friday we have 7 furlong claiming stakes at Newbury.This looks quite decent claimer for this grade.

2.50 NEWBURY 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5 :
11 runners go to post for 7 furlong claimer on good ground .The two main contenders look to be Duster & Fishforcompliments

DUSTER :Returned to form in June winning 7 furlong class 4 handicap at Folkestone on soft ground off mark 83 .Been disappointing on his last two starts in class 3 handicaps ,though will be suited by this drop in claiming company.

FISHFORCOMPLIMENTS : Very consistent in this grade finishing second on his last four starts in claiming company .Not easy to win with having only won 3 times from 63 starts.

VERDICT : Fishforcompliments never seems to run bad race in this grade and looks sure to be thereabouts again ,though is very difficult horse to win with having finished second 15 times. 


DUSTER dropping into claiming company for first time looks the one to beat.All three career wins have come at higher level and seems to handle any ground conditions .Ryan Moore has good strike rate for the Hughie Morrison stable .


FRIDAY 17TH AUGUST CLAIMING BET :
DUSTER 2.50 NEWBURY
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 William Hills *
(THIRD SP 2-1 LOSS -£20.00 )

*Best price guarantee

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Wednesday 15th August Claiming Stakes Bet!!

On Wednesday we have very competitive 7 furlong 0-75 classified claiming stakes at Beverley .Ground conditions are described as good/firm ,though heavy is rain is forecast for later in the afternoon.

2.15 BEVERLEY 7F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES 0-75
11 runners declared for 7 furlong claiming stakes at Beverley .This looks very wide open with most of the field having some kind of chance .The three main contenders look to be Violent Velocity ,Lindoro & Moheebb

VIOLENT VELOCITY :Consistent sort .Been in good form this season  ,including winning 1 mile seller here at Beverley in April .Finished good second last time over C&D at Beverley in class 5 handicap .Should go well returning to claiming company .

LINDORO :Won twice this season at Musselburgh & Southwell .Also finished second twice in class 4 handicaps at Carlisle & Haydock .Slightly disappointing last time in competitive class 3 handicap at Ascot ,though will be suited by this drop in class. 

MOHEEBB :Returned to form last time finishing Good second  in an above average claimer at Carlisle over 9 furlongs behind the useful claiming horse Kay Gee Be .Looks well treated at the weights and will be suited by any rain .

VERDICT : This looks very competitive claimer with little to seperate the main contenders on official handicap ratings.Violent Vilocity & Moheebb have possible chances in wide open race .

LINDORO has done well since joining the Brian Ellison stable in May ,winning twice & finishing placed three times .Will be suited by this drop in class having finished second twice in class 4 handicaps in June .Odds around 9-2 look very fair each-way value .

WEDNESDAY 15th AUGUST CLAIMING STAKES BET:
LINDORO 2.15 BEVERLEY
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365 .BETFRED .WILLIAM HILL*
(UNPLACED SP 7-2 LOSS £100.00 )

Best price guarantee* 





      

Sunday, August 12, 2012

Weekly results round/up

Quiet start to the month with just one bet so far in August ,that came on Monday evening in 9 furlong ladies pro-am claiming stakes at Carlisle on  theAnn Duffield trained Just Lille .This looked a decent each-way bet at 5-1 having never been beaten in claiming company .

No real complaints in the race Just Lille ran a solid enough race, finishing third after trying to make all the running .Saying that with two furlongs to run she did look the likely winner and did trade as short as 1-5 in running on betfair ,though in the end was well outstayed by Kay Gee Be who seemed to relish the soft ground conditions and won going away at the finish .

Just Lille was very well supported in the market going off the 3-1 favourite from 5-1 ,though no damage done with money back on each-way bet at 5-1 .

Looking ahead to next week there's not a great deal happening in the early part of the week, though we do have 7 furlong claimer at Beverley on Wednesday .Followed by two claimers on Friday at Kempton & Newbury .Hopefully we will be back in action sometime next week .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 0 WINNERS ) 1 THIRD ) PROFIT/LOSS : LEVEL

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 32:
36 BETS ) 12 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 2 THIRDS )16 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 33% PROFIT + £1751 / 17.51

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012 :
STAKED £4350 / 43.50 PTS ) RETURN £6100 / 61.00 PTS ) ROI +40.25%

Monday, August 06, 2012

Monday 6th August Claiming Bet !!

On Monday its back to the turf with 9 furlong pro-am ladies claiming stakes at Carlisle's evening meeting .

6.05 CARLISLE 1 MILE 1F PRO-AM CLAIMING STAKES:
16 runners declared for very competitive 9 furlong lady riders pro-am claimer at Carlisle with ground conditions good/ soft .This looks quite decent claimer for class 6 race, with four horses rated in the 80's .The three main contenders look to be Kay Gee Bee ,Oneofapair & Just Lille

KAY GEE BEE :Fair performer on his day,Won 1 mile claimer at Doncaster on heavy ground by 5 lenghs earlier last month .Slightly disappointing last time when only fourth in simular race here at Carlisle over 1 mile .

ONEOFAPAIR :Returned to form in May winning 10 furlong class 4 handicap at Newcastle off mark 79 on soft ground ,though very disappointing last time in handicap at Ayr ,Drops into claiming company for first time.

JUST LILLE : Excellent record in this grade winning 4 out 4 in claiming company .Won twice in June at Beverley & Chester .Finished good fifth last time in Carlisle Bowl handicap .Should go well returning to claiming company .

VERDICT : Oneofapair should go well here dropping into claiming company for first time and looks well treated at these weights.Has to be respected with this drop in grade,though ran below par last time at Ayr and is not always the most consistent of horses .

JUST LILLE has 100% record in this grade and ran well last time in competitive handicap here at Carlisle and should go well returning to claiming company .Odds around 5-1 looks very fair each-way value.

MONDAY 6TH AUGUST CLAIMING BET: 
JUST LILLE 6.05 CARLISLE
0.50PTS EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365*.LADBROKES*
(THIRD SP 3-1 LEVEL )

Best price guarantee*

Sunday, August 05, 2012

Weekly / Monthly Results Round Up

Good to come back with winning week,after very poor week last week with the weeks only bet Ziefhd winning 6 furlong three year old claiming stakes on Monday at 7-2 for £218.00 / 2.18 pts profit .

The All Weather bets have been performing well all year with 11 winners from 27 bets for 40.81% strike rate .I've been very disappointed with the turf bets this year with only 1 winner from 8 bets 12.50 % .Hopefully they will show some improvement before the end of the turf season .

July has finished up another winning month with( £194 / 1.94 pts profit) .3 winners from 10 bets ,though its been rather up and down month, that makes it 6 winning months out 7 in 2012 .

My claiming stakes bets are never going to produce massive profits each month ,though they will produce consistent steady profits most months .With a reasonable return on investment over the year.

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 1 WINNER )PROFIT + £218.00 / 2.18 PTS  

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 31 :
35 BETS ) 12 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 1 THIRD ) 16 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 34.36% PROFIT £1751 / 17.51 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012 :
STAKED £4250 / 42.50 PTS ) RETURN £6000 / 60.00 PTS ) ROI + 41.24%


MONTHLY RESULTS FOR  JULY
10 BETS ) 3 WINNERS ) 2 SECONDS ) 0 THIRDS ) 5 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 30% )PROFIT +£194 /1.94 PTS ) 
STAKED £1100 / 11.00 PTS ) RETURN £1294 / 12.94 PTS ) ROI + 17.64