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Thursday, March 01, 2012

Thursdays claiming analysis !!!

Start of another month as we move into March with two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & evening card at Kempton . Just the one claiming race on the fibresand at Southwell over 7 furlongs for three year olds . 


2.50 SOUTHWELL 7F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just the six runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Southwell with .Flying Pickets ,Point of Issue & First Bid ,looking the three main contenders .


FLYING PICKETS :Dual C&D winner here at Southwell .Won 7F handicap in good style here at Southwell back in December off mark 67 .Has looked disappointing on recent starts and needs to bounce back .


POINT OF ISSUE :Has put in three solid runs here at Southwell, including bolting up in claimer over C&D in November .Finished fair second last time in 6F handicap off mark 60 .Should go well with ideal conditions.


FIRST BID :Consistent sort ,finished placed on his last four starts in handicap company ,including finishing close second behind Samasana in handicap over C&D .That form has been boosted with Samasana winning again next time and the third horse J J Leary finishing decent second at Kempton last night .


VERDICT : Flying Pickets would be difficult to beat if reproducing the form of his C&D win off mark 67 in handicap company back in December ,though has looked very unreliable on recent starts .


Point Of Issue goes well here at Southwell and looks the main danger ,though does have bit to find at these weights being 8LB worse off than in handicap .


FIRST BID looks the most solid here after putting in two good efforts in handicap company.This looks weaker race and looks well treated in this claimer receiving 6LB of his main two rivals.


Was expecting around the 11-4 mark for First Bid ,though at a best price 85-40 ,that represents no real value and will have to pass on the race at those odds.Forecast favourite Flying Pickets has drifted badly in the market this morning touching 9-2 on betfair, and that's why both First Bid & Point of Issue are a lot shorter than I was expecting.     




(1) FIRST BID (2) POINT OF ISSUE 




  

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Monthly results round up !!!

End of another month and the quietest month since the blog started back in 2010 ,with just two bets in the month of February .

Just small profit on the month ,though that keeps the good run going and making it three winning months in a row since switching to the claiming races in December ,and hopefully there will plenty more opportunities when the turf season gets underway in April .


MONTHLY RESULTS IN FEBRUARY 
2 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) 1 UNPLACED )
PROFIT + £243.00 / 2.43 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT IN FEBRUARY:
STAKED £300 / 3.00 PTS ) RETURN £543 / 5.43 PTS ) ROI +80.83%


 

Monday, February 27, 2012

Mondays Claiming Analysis !!!

Just the one flat card on Monday at Wolverhampton with 6F claiming race at 3.00 .Unfortunately there are two early morning non runners .Which includes my intended each-way selection My Lord who looked to have decent each-way chance against the short price favourite Steelcut .




WOLVERHAMPTON 3.00 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Seven runners go to post for 6F claimer at Wolverhampton .With My Lord being non runner in this 6F claimer ,this looks golden opportunity for Steelcut to land his fifth course win .


STEELCUT :Four time course winner here at Wolverhampton .Finished second on his last two starts here at Wolverhampton both times getting beat in photo finishes .Looks well treated at the weights and looks sure to go well returning to claiming company .


SARAH'S ART : Fair record on poly track winning seven times including winning four times here at Wolvehampton ,though hasn't won since December 2010 .Finished fair third in 6F claimer at Kempton in November .


VERDICT : STEELCUT is 3LB clear on official handicap ratings and looks difficult to oppose in this weak looking claimer .Odds around 4-6 don't make great appeal ,though looks to have very little to beat .


Sarah's Art could be possible danger if repeating his third in claimer at Kempton in November ,though has been very inconsistent in recent starts and not horse to rely on these days .


(1) STEELCUT (2) SARAH'S ART  







Sunday, February 26, 2012

Weekly results / round up !!

Finally we had some action this week with two bets.


The first bet was at Kempton's evening meeting  on Wednesday in 7F claiming stakes on Last Sovereign at 5-1,Well supported in the market going off 4-1 second favourite .
After travelling well in early stages of the race ,never picked up with two furlongs to go and finished well beaten third behind easy winner Marajaa and loss of £100/ 1.00pt on the race.


The second bet was at Wolverhampton's evening card on Friday in 1 mile 4F claiming stakes on Thundering Home at 11-4 .In the race Thundering Home was always travelling well and drew clear in closing stages to win by 3.25 lenghs for tidy £343.00  profit on the race.


Overall its been solid week with £243 profit and its good to finally have some action in the claiming races .On Monday we have interesting looking 6F claimer at Wolverhampton with nine runners declared and there looks strong possibility of another bet on Monday .


THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK :
2 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) 1 UNPLACED ) PROFIT £243/2.43 PTS


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 8 
12 BETS ) 5 WINNERS ) 1 SECOND ) 1 THIRD ) 5 UNPLACED )
PROFIT £1067 / 10.67 PTS 


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012
STAKED £1850/18.50 PTS ) RETURN £2917 )ROI + 57.72 %