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Thursday, March 01, 2012

Thursdays claiming analysis !!!

Start of another month as we move into March with two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & evening card at Kempton . Just the one claiming race on the fibresand at Southwell over 7 furlongs for three year olds . 


2.50 SOUTHWELL 7F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just the six runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Southwell with .Flying Pickets ,Point of Issue & First Bid ,looking the three main contenders .


FLYING PICKETS :Dual C&D winner here at Southwell .Won 7F handicap in good style here at Southwell back in December off mark 67 .Has looked disappointing on recent starts and needs to bounce back .


POINT OF ISSUE :Has put in three solid runs here at Southwell, including bolting up in claimer over C&D in November .Finished fair second last time in 6F handicap off mark 60 .Should go well with ideal conditions.


FIRST BID :Consistent sort ,finished placed on his last four starts in handicap company ,including finishing close second behind Samasana in handicap over C&D .That form has been boosted with Samasana winning again next time and the third horse J J Leary finishing decent second at Kempton last night .


VERDICT : Flying Pickets would be difficult to beat if reproducing the form of his C&D win off mark 67 in handicap company back in December ,though has looked very unreliable on recent starts .


Point Of Issue goes well here at Southwell and looks the main danger ,though does have bit to find at these weights being 8LB worse off than in handicap .


FIRST BID looks the most solid here after putting in two good efforts in handicap company.This looks weaker race and looks well treated in this claimer receiving 6LB of his main two rivals.


Was expecting around the 11-4 mark for First Bid ,though at a best price 85-40 ,that represents no real value and will have to pass on the race at those odds.Forecast favourite Flying Pickets has drifted badly in the market this morning touching 9-2 on betfair, and that's why both First Bid & Point of Issue are a lot shorter than I was expecting.     




(1) FIRST BID (2) POINT OF ISSUE 




  

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