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Friday, January 13, 2012

Saturdays claiming analysis !!!

Disappointing run from Elijah Pepper on Friday in 1 mile claiming stakes finishing well beaten third behind the Keith Dalglish trained Munsarim who landed big gamble 7-1 into 7-2 .Not horse I really considered having already been beaten by Elijah Pepper and didn't look well treated off 9 stone 8lb .


Not been great start to 2012 with all three bets running disappointing races and loss of 5.50 pts on the month.,though a disappointing start in January its still early days and long term profits are what count in this game .Hopefully we can recover losses before the end of the month.


Moving onto Saturday's racing just the one flat card and we have an early start at Lingfield with 10 furlong claimer at 11.55 


11.55 LINGFIELD 10 FURLONG CLAIMER CLASS 6
Seven runners declared for 10 furlong claimer at Lingfield with three main contenders Brunston ,Kings Colour & Ajdaad 


Brunston :Fair handicapper back in 2009/2010 including winning the spring cup at Newbury in 2010 off mark 86 .Switched to hurdles last season winning two novice hurdles for Nicky Henderson .Below form when finishing seventh in 12F handicap at Lingfield last month .


Kings Colour : Won seller over C&D at Lingfield in December beating Potentiale by 3.5 lenghs .Ran another solid race last time when beaten short head in claimer at Lingfield over C&D behind Irons On Fire .


Ajdaad : Won three times in 2011 winning two sellers and handicap .Finished close third last time over C&D at Lingfield only head behind Kings Colour .


VERDICT : Brunston has to be respected taking big drop in class after contesting some decent handicaps on turf and will be suited by the drop back to 10 furlongs,though does have to prove himself on poly track .


Slight preference is for KINGS COLOUR who Kieron Fallon looks interesting jockey booking for small stable .Ran well on his last two starts over course and distance at Lingfield  and can confirm form over Ajaad .With only seven runners declared not betting race for me .


(1) KINGS COLOUR (2) BRUNSTON  










  

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