.

.

Saturday, December 17, 2011

Saturdays best bets !!

Friday's bet on Aquuleus Pictor finished third in 6 furlong claiming stakes at Southwell.Subject to strong support in market going off 5-2 favourite from 9-2 .


No excuses in the race had every chance after trying make all the running, did trade as short as 8-15 in running on betfair ,though was well beaten in the end by Katy's Secret .Not much damage done with £5.00 loss on the day .


Moving on to Saturday's racing just one flat card at Lingfield with one claiming race for 2 year olds at 12.20


12.20 LINGFIELD 6F 2-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 6
Just six runners for six furlong 2 year old claimer .This looks three horse race between 
Mr Knightly ,Berlusca and Le King Beau .


Mr Knightley has decent record in claiming races winning 3 from 4 ,looked slightly disappointing last time when finishing second in 5 furlong claimer at Kempton behind Sonko when an odds on favourite.This longer trip should suit better.


BERLUSCA Won 6 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton in October off mark 62 ,ran another solid race last time again at Wolverhampton from wide draw finishing close third off mark 65 behind Sunny Side Up .Drops into claiming company for first time .


Le King Beau has been in good form recently winning  two of his last three starts in 7 furlong claimers.Won with plenty in hand on Thursday at Kempton beating Young Prince in good style.


VERDICT : Mr Knightley is 7LB clear on offical handicap figures and will be better suited by this longer trip . However was disappointing last time when beaten in similar contest .At around the 5-4 mark doesn't look the greatest value  .


Le King Beau can't ruled out here after winning two claimers  ,though the drop back in trip may not suit .


BERLUSCA  Dropping into claiming company for first time should go well here .Finished credible third last time in handicap at Wolverhampton from poor draw 


(1) BERLUSHKA (2) MR KNIGHTLEY 


NO BET RACE 

Friday, December 16, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Two flat meetings on Friday at Southwell & twilight card from Wolverhampton .Just the one claiming stakes at Southwell over 6 furlongs .


11.55 SOUTHWELL 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 .
11 runners declared for 6f claimer on fibresand .This looks quite competitive with 8 course winners in the race .The three main contenders look to be Equuleus Pictor ,Desert Strike & Autumn Blades .


EQUULEUS PICTOR Won twice this season including over C&D in July beating Ace Of Spies by 1.25 in class 5 handicap.Finished fair sixth last time from bad draw at Southwell in handicap only beaten just over 3 lenghs .Drops into claiming company for first time.


Desert Strike Has won four times this year ,returned to form last time finishing close third in 5f handicap at Wolverhampton off mark 75 .Has yet to win on fibresand at Southwell ,though has finished second three times.


Autumn Blades back to form on his last 2 starts finishing second behind Ingleby Arch last time at Southwell in claimer ,though drop back in trip may not suit.


VERDICT : This looks wide open claimer with plenty chances .EQUULEUS PICTOR has shown some fair form in handicaps this season and should go well dropping into claiming company for first time.Desert Strike & Autumn Blades both look possible dangers .


(1) EQUULEUS PICTOR (2) DESERT STRIKE (3) AUTUMN BLADES 




TODAY'S BEST BET :
EQUULEUS PICTOR 11.55 SOUTHWELL
 (THIRD SP 5-2) LOSS -£5.00
0.50PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 PADDY POWER .LADBROKES .BOYLESPORTS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 

























  

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & Kempton .We have two claiming races 2.30 Southwell & 4.00 at Kempton .Both races have very small fields always problem this time of year in these claiming races. 


SOUTHWELL 2.30 1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Disappointing turn out with just four declared runners ,though three of these are C&D winners .The race looks between Double Duchess & On The Cusp.


DOUBLE DUCHES dual C&D winner at Southwell in January winning seller and handicap by wide margins ,making all on both occasions .Returned to form last time when finishing fair third in above average seller over C&D.


On The Cusp won four times this year including twice over C&D at Southwell .Won 10 furlong handicap at Ffos Las off mark 62 in November ,though has been disappointing on his last two starts   in handicaps here at Southwell .


VERDICT : On The Cusp has to be respected dropping into claiming company for first time this season,though may struggle to concede 12LB . DOUBLE DUCHES looks well treated here off 8 stone and should take some catching in this small field .


(1) DOUBLE DUCHES (2) ON THE CUSP .


NO BET RACE


4.00 KEMPTON 7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 6 
Five runners declared for this 7 furlong 2 year old claimer .With Young Prince & Crowning Star looking the main contenders .


YOUNG PRINCE Won in good style over C&D  here at Kempton in November off mark 72, looked disappointing last time at Lingfield when beaten in three runner race by Le King Beau when odds on favourite ,though that looked farce of race run at absolute crawl over 14 seconds slower than standard.This race should be run at better pace .


Crowning Star has looked disappointing on his last two starts ,though had some fair form earlier in season winning 6f maiden at Lingfield .Looks well treated at weights with decent claimer Ryan Powell taking off 5lb .


VERDICT :  Le King Beau faces difficult task at these weights .Crowning Star is best in at weights receiving 13LB from Young Prince and could improve for first time blinkers,though all his best form has been over 6 furlongs 


 YOUNG PRINCE looks more solid option  having won nicely in handicap over C&D in November ,can be forgiven for disappointing run last time in slowly run race .Odds around 4-5 make no appeal however.


(1) YOUNG PRINCE (2) CROWING STAR .


NO BET RACE










  

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Tuesday's claiming analysis !!!

One flat card on Tuesday on the fibresand at Southwell  with 1 mile 3 furlong claiming stakes at 1.00 


1.00 SOUTHWELL 1M 3F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 .
9 runners declared for 1 mile 3 furlong claiming stakes.This looks very weak claimer with just three contenders .West End Lad ,Its only Jude & Kalahaag


West End Lad has won twice this season in 1 mile handicaps on turf at Leicester and is dual course winner here at Southwell ,though all his best form is over 1 mile .has doubts about this longer trip


Its only Jude won three three times this year over 1 mile ,and is four time course winner .Didn't show great deal over this trip on Saturday .


Kalahaag won 7f maiden at Goodwood in 2010 ,hasn't shown great deal since joining Dandy Nichols  in summer ,though does receive plenty of weight .


VERDICT : This looks very weak claimer with doubts about most of thesE over this trip.West End Lad & Its Only Jude are clear on official handicap ratings ,though both are better over shorter.West End Lad looks more reliable and looks most likely winner if staying this longer trip.


NO BET RACE







Sunday, December 11, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!



THE RESULTS:




ON THE WEEK :
3 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS - £155 /1.55 PTS


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 42 :
83 BETS ) 18 WINNERS ) 22 SECONDS ) 18 THIRDS )
PROFIT + £1048 / 10.48 PTS


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011:
STAKED £19,221 ) RETURN £20,269 ) ROI +5.45 %)


CLAIMING BETS SINCE DECEMBER 2011
4 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) 1 SECOND ) 1 THIRD ) +£265 / 2.65 PTS





FROM JULY 7TH  2011 
*ALL SELECTIONS ARE  NOW PROOFED ON BETTING WEBSITE

 WWW.BETTINGLEAGUE.CO.UK UNDER JERRYB123
CURRENTLY IN 10TH POSITION OUT 44 TIPSTERS
 WITH 19.84 PTS PROFIT .ROI + 9.27












Sundays claiming analysis !!!

Saturday's bet on Let The Love Flow finished second in 9 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton  ,though would probably won the race had she not pulled so hard for first half mile .


In very slowly run race run over (6 seconds slower than standard) Sophie Doyle just couldn't get the horse too settle and in circumstances did well to finish close second .Slightly disappointing ,though not too much damage done with £55.00 loss on the day.


Moving on to Sunday we have one flat card at Southwell with two claiming races 12.30 & 2.30 


12.30 SOUTHWELL 1MILE 4F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just six runners declared for 1mile 4 furlong claiming stakes this looks very tricky race with in form trainer Brian Ellison having three runners .With three main contenders Bivouac ,Overule & Lifetime.


BIVOUAC  Goes well here at Southwell won five races here in 2010 ,though hasn't ran for nearly year .Would take plenty beating if fully fit .


Overule not won since 2009 ,though did finish fair second in claimer at York in July .Not shown great deal on his last four starts and unproven on fibresand.


Lifetime Won 9f maiden at Hamilton for Mark Johnston in August ,though has been disappointing in handicaps on his last three starts .Changed hands for £7,000 at October sales.Takes drop in class here ,though unproven on fibresand.


VERDICT :  Plenty question marks here with both Overule & Lifetime having there first start on fibresand . BIVOUAC is proven winner on fibresand,though has too prove his fitness having not run since December 2010.Not race to get involved in with too many question marks.


NO BET RACE


2.30 SOUTHWELL 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
8 runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Southwell .With three main contenders Jobe ,Autumn Blades & Ingleby Arch .


JOBE Won claimer over C&D at Southwell  in November beating Salerosa by head with Autumn Blades well behind ,disappointed last time in handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company  .


Autumn Blades finished second last time in seller over 7f at Wolverhampton  behind One way Or Another .Had looked very disappointing on his first three starts this season .


Ingleby Arch course specialist with eight course wins all over 6 furlongs ,last win came here in claimer in February .Poor record over this trip 0 from 9.


VERDICT :JOBE returning to claiming company is well treated at these weights and looks the one to beat .Ingleby Arch has never convinced over this trip and Autumn Blades looks very unreliable these days.I was expecting around 5-2 / 11-4 mark for JOBE at best price 2-1 this morning I will not be getting involved .


NO BET RACE.