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Thursday, July 07, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Thursday's bet on Redwood finished well beaten 2nd behind the very impressive winner Crystal Capella who bounced back to form for Sir Michael Stoute .Not to much damage done with loss £31.00  on the day.


Another incredibly busy Friday with five flat cards at Newmarket ,York ,Newbury ,Chepstow & Chester .Why we need all these top tracks racing on the same day is anyone's guess.


Going  concentrate on the days feature race the 1 mile group one Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket at 3.00


1 MILE G1 FALMOUTH STAKES FILLIES & MARES 3.00 NEWM.
SAHPRESA : Top class french mare who seems to handle any ground .Won the G1 Sun Chariot at Newmarket for the last 2 years .Looked as good as ever when winning  G3 contest at Longchamp last month beating Moonlight Cloud easily giving that rival 14lb .Moonlight Cloud boosted that form by winning G3 contest last week.


VERDICT : Not the strongest renewal of G1 Falmouth stakes ,with only River Jetez ,Lilly of the Valley & Sahpresa having won G1 races .  



River Jetez  had some decent form at Meydan  finishing good second in G1 Dubai Duty free behind Previs .Also finished good second last time in G1 international cup in Singapore behind Gitano Hernando.Should go well and looks main danger


Lilly of the Valley was very decent 3 year old last season winning 5 times,including winning G1 Prix De l ' Opera at Longchamp ,though drop back to 1 mile may not suit and was slightly disappointing on her seasonal reappearance finishing well beaten fifth at Longchamp.


SAHPRESSA is very reliable mare at this level having already won two group one races on Rowley mile course at Newmarket .Will be difficult to beat if she reproduces last seasons Sun Chariot form 3-1 looks very good value.




SAHPRESA 3.00 NEWMARKET (SECOND SP 13-8)
£124 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 
VICTOR CHANDLER .BOYLESPORT .HILLS 
5% OF BETTING BANK 
LOSS -£31.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4911

Thursdays best bets !!

Plenty of racing on Thursday with five flat cards including the start of the three day July festival  at Newmarket .Going concentrate on the feature race the 1 mile 4f  G2 Prince of Wales stakes.


1 MILE 4F G2 PRINCE WALES STAKES NEWMARKET 3.00
REDWOOD : Useful globetrotting 5 year old who ran some excellent races in 2010 ,including finishing second in this race last year behind Sans Frontiers.Went on to win G1 Northern Dancer stakes at Woodbine in Canada and finish second in G1 Hong Kong vase at Sha Tin in December .Ran good second on his seasonal reappearance in G1 Sheema Classic at Meydan behind the very useful Rewilding who has since boosted the form by winning at Royal Ascot.


VERDICT :Decent looking group two contest with the three main contenders being Crystal Capella ,Redwood & Laheeb .


Crystal Cappela has excellent strike rate in fillies and mares group races ,though was slightly disappointing on her seasonal reappearance in listed race at Haydock and finished well behind Redwood in Hong Kong vase last season .


Laheeb won three times in 2010 including winning Fred Archer stakes over C&D at Newmarket ,has looked slightly disappointing this season( beaten 3 times)  finished 2 lenghs behind Redwood in Sheema Classic at Meydan in March ,though does have an excellent record at Newmarket and has to be respected.


REDWOOD  had some decent form in group one races last season .Ran excellent second on his reappearance behind Rewilding and will be difficult to beat if he can reproduce that form in this group two contest.3-1 with Ladbrokes looks very fair value. 






REDWOOD 3.00 NEWMARKET (SECOND SP 2-1)
£124 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 LADBROKES 1/4 ODDS 
5% OF BETTING BANK 
(LOSS - £31.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4944)


Tuesday, July 05, 2011

Tuesdays best bets !!

Three flat cards on Tuesday at Pontefract ,Wolverhampton and evening card at Southwell ,why we have two All Weather cards in the middle of summer is anyone's guess .Going concentrate on the days feature race  the 1 miles fillies and mares listed race at Pontefract. 


1MILE FILLIES AND MARES LISTED RACE PONTEFRACT 4.00
OFF CHANCE :Won this race in 2010 beating Please Sing and Tropical Paradise,ran good second on her seasonal reappearance back in April behind the useful St Moritz only beaten half lengh in listed contest at Doncaster .Finished creditable fifth of 18  behind St Moritz last time in listed handicap at York beaten just under two lenghs off mark 100.


VERDICT :Decent fillies and mares listed race over 1 mile with Dark Promise ,Off Chance and Law of the Range looking the three main contenders . 


Dark Promise ,fast improving filly winning her last three starts, including winning 1 mile class 3 handicap at Newmarket last time in good style, off mark 86 .Still looks open to plenty improvement though this quite step up in class and at around 7-4  looks no real value.


Law of the Range ,won her last two races in decent class 2 handicaps at Ascot and Sandown.Looks to be improving with every race ,though up in class has to be respected.


Last years winner OFF CHANCE looks very solid with proven record in listed races.Twice finishing behind the very useful St Moritz this season in listed races.Will be suited returning to this much stiffer track at Pontefract .7-2 looks very fair value.


OFF CHANCE 4.00 PONTEFRACT (THIRD SP 7-2 )
£125 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 CORALS,PADDY POWER
LOSS £37.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4975





Sunday, July 03, 2011

Weekly / Monthly results round up !!!

June finished up very decent month, in fact the best month of year so far and big improvement on the previous two months. Very pleased with the consistency of the bets in June with 40 % win strike rate and 90 % win & place strike rate.


Quite happy how the new staking plan worked in the first month showing £82.00 bigger profit than level £100 each / way stakes.Still very early days with the new staking format though promising start.


JUNE RESULTS : 


1) PRINCE OF VASA  (4-1) £100 EACH-WAY (2ND)  (2/6/11)  -£20.00
2) IMPERIAL PIPPIN (9-2) £100 EACH-WAY (2ND)  (9/6/11 )  -£30.00
3) KINGSWINFORD  (9-2) £100 EACH-WAY (WON)(11/6/11)+£510.00
4) EXCELEBRATION(3-1) £113 EACH-WAY (2ND ) (14/6/11)+£465.00
5) CODEMASTER      (3-1) £112 EACH-WAY (2ND ) (15/6/11)+£420.00
6) RUMH                     (4-1) £111 EACH-WAY(UNPL)(16/6/11) +£198.00
7) NATHANIEL          (11-4)£105 EACH-WAY(WON) (17/6/11) +£583.00
8) PORGY                 (11-4)£112 EACH-WAY(WON) (21/6/11)  +£952.00
9) C'TOTHEBONE  (10-3)£124 EACH-WAY(2ND ) (23/6/11)   +£910.00
10) CERTRAL          (5-2) £122 EACH-WAY (WON) (24/6/11)   +£1276.00




10 BETS ) 4 WINNERS) 5 SECONDS ) 1 UNPLACED)
PROFIT +£1276 ) * 5% OF BETTING BANK STAKED


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Been very quiet week with only one bet this week , Handsome Falcon finishing disappointing fifth in 7 furlong selling stakes at Beverley on Friday evening for loss -£264.00 .


That looked very strange race it was hard to believe Handsome Falcon only finished fifth after travelling so well and trading as short as 1-2 in running .It appeared the leaders went off too fast with first three all coming well off the pace, with winner Opus Maximus coming from last to first.




THE RESULTS :






ON THE WEEK :
1 BET ) 0 WINNER) LOSS -£264 )


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 26:
46 BETS ) 11 WINNERS ) 12 SECONDS ) 10 THIRDS )
PROFIT + £944


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011 :
STAKED £9,451 ) RETURN £10,395 ) ROI + 9.99 %