.

.

Friday, June 04, 2010

OAKS & DERBY DAY

Excellent racing over the next two day's at Epsom with the Oaks ,Coronation cup and Derby.Will be in attendance both day's at Epsom Downs ,so will be posting my bets for both day's now.

FRIDAY SELECTIONS:
ALEXANDROS :1.40 EPSOM. 1.5PTS E-WAY AT 9-2 BET365
SARISKA:2.45 EPSOM.1PT E-WAY
SHAKESPEARIAN 4.50 EPSOM. 1PT E-WAY  7-2 PADDY POWER
DUNCAN:7.2O GOODWOOD. 2PTS WIN 9-4 BETFAIR


SATURDAY SELECTIONS:
REGGANE:2.40 EPSOM.2PTS WIN
CASUAL GLIMPSE:EPSOM 2.10 2PTS WIN 
JAN VERMEER :DERBY 4.00 4PTS WIN 9-4 BETFAIR
MIDAS TOUCH:DERBY 4.00 1PT E-WAY 7-1 BETFAIR



Thursday, June 03, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Good to see RIO DE LA PLATA come back to form and break Nottingham 1 mile course record by 1.10 seconds ,hard to believe it was nearly three years ago since his last win.Returned very fair price 6-4 after CITYSCAPE was taken out and just over 3PT PROFIT on the day.

On to Thursdays action Three flat cards ,though just going stick with the one bet, 2.40 Hamilton in claiming race.

CLAIMING STAKES 6F CLASS 6 ,2.40 HAMILTON


CAPRIO:Consistent type over 6 or 7f,winning twice this season in claiming company at Kempton & Wolverhampton ,equally as effective on turf, won class 4 handicap over 6f at Goodwood last May .Should be hard to beat in this weak class 6 claimer.

2PTS WIN 11-8 BET365,STAN JAMES

*Prices updated at 10.30 am*



Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Wednesday's best bets

Three flat cards on Wednesday very low on quality apart from a decent 1 mile conditions race 4.50 at Nottingham.

1 MILE CONDITIONS STAKES CLASS 2 ,4.50 NOTTINGHAM


RIO DE LA PLATA :Former top class 2-y-o winning the group one Grand Criterium at Longchamp in 2007,though hasn't won race since and flopped badly on his reappearance at Meydan in March.Takes massive drop in class here into class 2 conditions race, and only has to reproduce his form of last season when 2nd  beaten 1/2 lengh by Confront in G3 at Newmarket.

2PTS WIN 11-4 BETFAIR 34% REDUCTION 
11-8 CORALS B.P.G
CITYSCAPE N.R
*prices updated at 10.30 am*





Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Derby preview

DERBY PREVIEW:
Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had had 3 to 5 career starts
10 of 10 winners had run 1 or 2 times that season
10 of 10 winners finished in the first 2 on all starts that season
8 of 10 winners won last time out (2 exceptions finished 2nd in 2000 Guineas)
10 of 10 winners achieved an RPR of 115+ last time out
10 of 10 winners ran in the last 35 days
6 of 10 winners won a group 1 as a 2yo (other 4 didn’t run in a group 1 as a 2yo)
7 of 10 winners (last 5) had won a group 1
10 of 10 winners had won a group race
10 of 10 winners had won at the highest grade they’d run in
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F+ as a 2yo
7 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F (all 3 exceptions finished 1st or 2nd in 2000 Guineas)

9 of 10 winners made their debut over 7F or 8F at a group 1 track
Summary
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
• By a group 1 winning sire with a stamina index of 8.6+
• Born before 07/04/2007
• Made debut over 7F or 8F at a group 1 track
• Had run in the past 35 days
• Won last time out (or finished 2nd in 2000 Guineas)
• Won the Dewhurst or Racing Post Trophy as a 2yo
• Won Dante, Derrinstown or placed in 2000 Guineas last time out
• Won a group race
• Won a group 1 (or having first try in a group 1)
• Won over 7F+ as a 2yo and 1M 2F as a 3yo
• Trained by A O’Brien, M Stoute or J Oxx
•Priced 7/1 or below

VERDICT
1)JAN VERMEER
2)MIDAS TOUCH
3)AZMEEL