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Saturday, May 22, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Seven flat cards on very busy Saturday including the Irish 2000 guineas at Curragh.Though going concentrate on Haydock & York with three bets.

TRIP THE LIGHT:2.05 YORK, 3PTS WIN 6-4 BET365,VC BET B.P.G              
BORDERLESCOTT:3.00 HAYD, 1.5PT EACH/WAY 4-1 B.P.G 
AAJEL :3.10 YORK, 1PT EACH/WAY, 9-2 B.P.G,HILLS


*updated at 10.30 am*


TRIP THE LIGHT-takes big drop in class after running in listed handicap last time, winner of four handicaps last season including over C/D .Posted career best effort at Catterick in April winning  class 3 handicap of mark 87.Should take plenty beating in this claimer.


DANGER:MULL OF DUBAI 


BORDERLESCOTT-Top class sprinter winning twice last season including G1 Nunthorpe at York for second time, good record at Haydock finishing runner up in this race last two years.Fair second on  reappearance at Newmarket in Palace house stakes and will improve for that run.

DANGER:EQUIANO


AAJEL-Lightly raced 5-y-o only had seven starts winning three times.Excellent second on reappearance at Ascot in Sagaro stakes G3 only beaten 1/2 lengh  .Front runner will be suited by the track and looks open to plenty of improvement.

DANGER MUNSEF.






IRISH 2OOO GUINEAS :Looks interesting race though decided not to get involved in the end.Really wanted take on Canford Cliffs who will struggle to see out this stiff mile at Curragh,and looks poor value favourite at around 3-1.A.O'BRIEN runs six in the race  though his stable struggling for winners.STEINBECK & FENCING MASTER look his main two challengers.At the prices EXTENSION looked the E-W value at around 13-2 ,only has one Lengh to find With Canford Cliffs on Newmarket 2000 gns form and looks the much stronger stayer.








Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Wednesday best bets

The last twelve days have been real struggle, just checking though the bets only one winner from 13 bets,and loss of 28.70 Pts, that's 62 % of my overall profit gone in just twelve days,that's reminder how quickly you can lose all your profits in this game.

Yesterdays bet Rowan Lodge though very well backed 9-2 into10-3,  never really threatened,held up in slowly run race and could only finish disappointing 4th.

Wednesday just the two cards on the flat ,with Goodwood the main meeting and they stage two interesting listed races.Godolphin run there Oaks contender WEDDING MARCH in 2.35 ,and on form should really win this listed race after running 4th in last seasons group one Marcel Boussac.though with the stable out of form  only 3 winners from 26 this season.Just can't consider as bet

Decided after such bad run to take short break  and come back Saturday.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Tuesday's best bets

SILVER WIND could only manage second beaten neck at Windsor after quite big gamble took place 9-4 into evens.Slightly annoying to be beaten by stable mate Timeteam though no real damage done with just 1.10 pt loss.

Tuesday we have four flat cards and we have the one bet at Musselburgh.


1 MILE 1F SELLER ,MUSSELBURGH 2.10


ROWAN LODGE:Goes well in claimers and sellers won three times last season.Fair 4th last time on seasonal debut in seller at Beverley over 1 mile behind Dabbers Ridge form has been boosted by winner and third both winning twice since,good second in this race last year and looks solid e-way bet against the odds on favourite FREMEN.

The obvious danger is FREMEN winner of 6 last 7 races all in claimers or sellers ,though did struggle to land the odds last time in claimer at Ffos Las .only just beating Landucci by neck.



ROWAN LODGE 
1PT WIN AT 5.6 BETFAIR
1PT PLACE AT 1.44 


*Two non runners leaves only 7 runners,betfair place market still pays three places*




*prices updated 10.30 am*

Monday, May 17, 2010

my betting methods & Mondays best bets

Starting with 100pt betting bank on 1ST February 2010.My bets are posted each day on points basis with recommended  bets and prices (1PT MIN /10PT MAX average bet 4PTS )my bets are placed in  mainly uncompetitive Non handicap races on the flat with roughly 75 % being each/way bets and 25% win bets.These are mathematical based bets depending on prices obtained.

On too Monday four average flat cards with only the evening meeting at Windsor of any real interest.

7.10 WINDSOR 6F CLAIMER:


SILVER WIND :fair handicapper at his best winning three times last season including class 3 handicap at Doncaster over 6f last September of mark 82.Not shown great deal this season in three runs though ran lot better than finishing position suggest last time at Chester showing plenty speed leading till 2 furlongs out in fair 7f class 4 handicap.Takes drop in class here into weak class 5 claimer ,the drop back to 6f will also suit and looks well drawn in stall 8 for horse that races close to pace.Richard Hughes also looks interesting booking for David Evans.

Likely favourite FLOUNCING looks the main danger at the weights getting 14lb of SILVER WIND but looks no great shakes, only scraping home by short head last time in poor class 6 maiden at Southwell  over 7f.Well beaten the time before last at Folkestone over 6f in maiden when favourite.



SILVER WIND 
2PTS E-WAY AT 9-4 CORALS B.P.G 
MIN PRICE TO BACK 2-1

*stakes and price updated at 10.30 am*

Slightly disappointed with the price of SILVER WIND  9-4 top price with corals was hoping for bit better though Flouncing very weak on betfair this morning drifting to 11-4






Sunday, May 16, 2010

summary of the weeks bets!!

Good to see PACO BOY win another Group one race in some style in Lockinge stakes.and now looks on target for Queen Anne stakes at Royal Ascot in June.

The PREAKNESS STAKES went to second favourite Lookin at Lucky  ,with Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver fading badly in the straight and finishing well beaten 8th.

Good card tomorrow at Longchamp with the French 1000 and 2000 Guineas and will be interesting to see how Special Duty and Dick Turpin get on.Though at the prices no real value there .NO BETS ON SUNDAY.

Overall disappointing week with just one winner from nine bets.Just one them poor weeks which will happen over the course of the year. You have to except poor weeks as well as good weeks.


THE FIGURES READ AS FOLLOWS :


ON THE WEEK
9 BETS)1 WINNER)LOSS 21.70 PTS)


OVERALL AFTER 15 WEEKS
133 BETS)41 WINNERS)PROFIT 20.25 PTS)