Saturday's bet on Let The Love Flow finished second in 9 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton ,though would probably won the race had she not pulled so hard for first half mile .
In very slowly run race run over (6 seconds slower than standard) Sophie Doyle just couldn't get the horse too settle and in circumstances did well to finish close second .Slightly disappointing ,though not too much damage done with £55.00 loss on the day.
Moving on to Sunday we have one flat card at Southwell with two claiming races 12.30 & 2.30
12.30 SOUTHWELL 1MILE 4F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just six runners declared for 1mile 4 furlong claiming stakes this looks very tricky race with in form trainer Brian Ellison having three runners .With three main contenders Bivouac ,Overule & Lifetime.
BIVOUAC Goes well here at Southwell won five races here in 2010 ,though hasn't ran for nearly year .Would take plenty beating if fully fit .
Overule not won since 2009 ,though did finish fair second in claimer at York in July .Not shown great deal on his last four starts and unproven on fibresand.
Lifetime Won 9f maiden at Hamilton for Mark Johnston in August ,though has been disappointing in handicaps on his last three starts .Changed hands for £7,000 at October sales.Takes drop in class here ,though unproven on fibresand.
VERDICT : Plenty question marks here with both Overule & Lifetime having there first start on fibresand . BIVOUAC is proven winner on fibresand,though has too prove his fitness having not run since December 2010.Not race to get involved in with too many question marks.
NO BET RACE
2.30 SOUTHWELL 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
8 runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Southwell .With three main contenders Jobe ,Autumn Blades & Ingleby Arch .
JOBE Won claimer over C&D at Southwell in November beating Salerosa by head with Autumn Blades well behind ,disappointed last time in handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company .
Autumn Blades finished second last time in seller over 7f at Wolverhampton behind One way Or Another .Had looked very disappointing on his first three starts this season .
Ingleby Arch course specialist with eight course wins all over 6 furlongs ,last win came here in claimer in February .Poor record over this trip 0 from 9.
VERDICT :JOBE returning to claiming company is well treated at these weights and looks the one to beat .Ingleby Arch has never convinced over this trip and Autumn Blades looks very unreliable these days.I was expecting around 5-2 / 11-4 mark for JOBE at best price 2-1 this morning I will not be getting involved .
NO BET RACE.
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Saturday, December 10, 2011
Saturdays best bets !!
Two flat cards on Saturday at Southwell & Wolverhampton .Just the one claiming race on Saturday at Wolverhampton's evening fixture .Again we have another 2 year old claimer ,at least this time we have few more runners.
7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON 1 MILE 1F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Ten runners declared for 2 year old claimer over the extended 1 mile 1f .Not the strongest looking 2 year old claimer with just two main contenders .Let Your Love Flow & Guava
Guava looks well treated in this claimer off 7 stone 11LB .Won 6f handicap off mark 60 back in October and then finished fair third in 7 furlong handicap at Brighton off mark 65 .Hasn't shown great deal on his last two starts .Takes big step up in trip .
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW consistent filly who goes well her at Wolvehampton ,won claimer here last time over 1 mile 141 yds beating two reliable claiming types Fast Delivery & Barn Dance .Should go well over this slightly longer trip.
VERDICT : GUAVA is 8LB clear on official handicap ratings ,though all her best form has been over 6 furlongs and there has to be doubt about her staying this longer trip .Odds around 6-5 look too short .
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW looks solid in this claimer after winner similar event last time at Wolverhampton over slightly shorter trip ,that form has been boosted with third horse Barn Dance winning claimer Yesterday at Southwell .9-4 with Power Power is exceptable in what looks two horse race .
TODAYS BEST BET
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW 7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
(SECOND SP 9-4) LOSS £55.00
1PT EACH-WAY @ 9-4 PADDY POWER.
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE
7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON 1 MILE 1F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Ten runners declared for 2 year old claimer over the extended 1 mile 1f .Not the strongest looking 2 year old claimer with just two main contenders .Let Your Love Flow & Guava
Guava looks well treated in this claimer off 7 stone 11LB .Won 6f handicap off mark 60 back in October and then finished fair third in 7 furlong handicap at Brighton off mark 65 .Hasn't shown great deal on his last two starts .Takes big step up in trip .
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW consistent filly who goes well her at Wolvehampton ,won claimer here last time over 1 mile 141 yds beating two reliable claiming types Fast Delivery & Barn Dance .Should go well over this slightly longer trip.
VERDICT : GUAVA is 8LB clear on official handicap ratings ,though all her best form has been over 6 furlongs and there has to be doubt about her staying this longer trip .Odds around 6-5 look too short .
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW looks solid in this claimer after winner similar event last time at Wolverhampton over slightly shorter trip ,that form has been boosted with third horse Barn Dance winning claimer Yesterday at Southwell .9-4 with Power Power is exceptable in what looks two horse race .
TODAYS BEST BET
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW 7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
(SECOND SP 9-4) LOSS £55.00
1PT EACH-WAY @ 9-4 PADDY POWER.
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE
Friday, December 09, 2011
Fridays claiming analysis !!!
Two flat cards on Friday at Southwell & twilight card at Wolverhampton .We have two claiming races both for 2 year olds (11.10 Southwell) & (4.40 Wolverhampton) Not great fan of these 2 year old claimers this time of year as field sizes seem to be very small.
11.10 SOUHWELL 1 MILE 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Six runners declared for this 1 mile claiming stakes at Southwell .Another weak looking 2 year old claimer which looks straight match between Point At Issue & Barn Dance .
POINT AT ISSUE seem to show massive improvement last time when winning 7 furlong claimer here at Southwell drawing away to win by 6 lenghs .Looked well suited by the step up in trip.
Barn Dance has run two solid races in claimers finishing close third last time at Wolverhampton over 9 furlongs .Runs on fibresand for first time .
VERDICT :Strictly on official handicap ratings Barn Dance is one to beat being 14LB clear with rating 77 ,though looks flattered by mark that high.POINT AT ISSUE is just preferred having shown big improvement last time at Southwell ,though has to prove he can stay this longer trip.
NO BET RACE
4.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F CLAIMER CLASS 5
Another small field with six runners declared for 6 furlong 2 year old claimer.This looks hard too oppose Faraway who is 11LB clear on official handicap ratings.
FARAWAY won seller over C&D at Woverhampton back in September and then finished fair fourth off mark 72 in handicap at Wolverhampton also in September .Will be suited by the drop back to 6 furlongs and the drop in grade.
VERDICT : FARAWAY looks to have very little to beat in this very moderate 6 furlong claimer ,though odds around 4-6 makes limited appeal.I'm Still The Man would have possible chance if he could reproduce his maiden win at Sandown in June ,though that's a very big IF has shown next to nothing on his last four starts .
NO BET RACE
11.10 SOUHWELL 1 MILE 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Six runners declared for this 1 mile claiming stakes at Southwell .Another weak looking 2 year old claimer which looks straight match between Point At Issue & Barn Dance .
POINT AT ISSUE seem to show massive improvement last time when winning 7 furlong claimer here at Southwell drawing away to win by 6 lenghs .Looked well suited by the step up in trip.
Barn Dance has run two solid races in claimers finishing close third last time at Wolverhampton over 9 furlongs .Runs on fibresand for first time .
VERDICT :Strictly on official handicap ratings Barn Dance is one to beat being 14LB clear with rating 77 ,though looks flattered by mark that high.POINT AT ISSUE is just preferred having shown big improvement last time at Southwell ,though has to prove he can stay this longer trip.
NO BET RACE
4.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F CLAIMER CLASS 5
Another small field with six runners declared for 6 furlong 2 year old claimer.This looks hard too oppose Faraway who is 11LB clear on official handicap ratings.
FARAWAY won seller over C&D at Woverhampton back in September and then finished fair fourth off mark 72 in handicap at Wolverhampton also in September .Will be suited by the drop back to 6 furlongs and the drop in grade.
VERDICT : FARAWAY looks to have very little to beat in this very moderate 6 furlong claimer ,though odds around 4-6 makes limited appeal.I'm Still The Man would have possible chance if he could reproduce his maiden win at Sandown in June ,though that's a very big IF has shown next to nothing on his last four starts .
NO BET RACE
Thursday, December 08, 2011
Thursdays claiming stakes analysis !!!
Just the one flat card on Thursday an evening fixture at Kempton park .With one 2-Y-O claiming race on the card.
4.00 KEMPTON 5F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS
Disappointing turn out with just five declared runners for this 5 furlong 2 year old claiming stakes and this looks straight match between Mr Knightly & Sonko
Mr Knightly is unbeaten in claimers winning 3 out 3 all over different distances .Won 5 furlong claimer last time on his debut for Jim Boyle at Wolverhampton ,though that was very weak three runner race.
Sonko has won twice this season including winning 5 furlong claimer at Thirsk in August showing plenty speed .Slightly disappointing last time in 6 furlong handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company over the minimum trip .
VERDICT : Very little to choose between Mr Knightly & Sonko at these weights .Sonko is speedy front runner who could take some catching in this small field over her best trip and receives 13LB from her main rival .Mr Knightly is better suited over longer trips having won over 7 furlongs ,though rates as an obvious danger having won 3 out 3 in claiming company .
NO BET RACE
4.00 KEMPTON 5F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS
Disappointing turn out with just five declared runners for this 5 furlong 2 year old claiming stakes and this looks straight match between Mr Knightly & Sonko
Mr Knightly is unbeaten in claimers winning 3 out 3 all over different distances .Won 5 furlong claimer last time on his debut for Jim Boyle at Wolverhampton ,though that was very weak three runner race.
Sonko has won twice this season including winning 5 furlong claimer at Thirsk in August showing plenty speed .Slightly disappointing last time in 6 furlong handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company over the minimum trip .
VERDICT : Very little to choose between Mr Knightly & Sonko at these weights .Sonko is speedy front runner who could take some catching in this small field over her best trip and receives 13LB from her main rival .Mr Knightly is better suited over longer trips having won over 7 furlongs ,though rates as an obvious danger having won 3 out 3 in claiming company .
NO BET RACE
Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Wednesdays claiming analysis !!!
Tuesday's bet on Boy the Bell finished well beaten third in 6 furlong claiming stakes behind Global Village who won comfortably for inform Brian Ellison .
Boy the Bell was well supported in market going off 7-2 second favourite ,though never really got into the race,no damage done with money back on the race.
Moving on to Wednesday's racing just the one claiming race at Lingfield 12.40
12.40 LINGFIELD 2-Y-0 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just 6 runners declared for this 2 year old claiming stakes .This looks two horse race with Crystal Gem & The Name Is Don well clear on offical handicap ratings.
Crystal Gem won maiden over C&D at Lingfield in October beating La Romantique in good style by 2.5 Lenghs .Looked slightly disappointing last time when well beaten second behind Snowed In,when short price favourite in 1 mile claimer ,though didn't appear to get home over longer trip .
The Name Is Don caused 40-1 upset when winning 7 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton last time when beating Remix by 1.5 lenghs.Looked suited by forcing tactics that day .
VERDICT : CRYSTAL GEM is clear pick at the weights and will be suited by drop back to 7 furlongs .Should take plenty of beating though odds around 4-6 make limited appeal .The Name Is Don looks the only possible danger , though faces stiff task trying to concede 8LB .
NO BET RACE
Boy the Bell was well supported in market going off 7-2 second favourite ,though never really got into the race,no damage done with money back on the race.
Moving on to Wednesday's racing just the one claiming race at Lingfield 12.40
12.40 LINGFIELD 2-Y-0 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just 6 runners declared for this 2 year old claiming stakes .This looks two horse race with Crystal Gem & The Name Is Don well clear on offical handicap ratings.
Crystal Gem won maiden over C&D at Lingfield in October beating La Romantique in good style by 2.5 Lenghs .Looked slightly disappointing last time when well beaten second behind Snowed In,when short price favourite in 1 mile claimer ,though didn't appear to get home over longer trip .
The Name Is Don caused 40-1 upset when winning 7 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton last time when beating Remix by 1.5 lenghs.Looked suited by forcing tactics that day .
VERDICT : CRYSTAL GEM is clear pick at the weights and will be suited by drop back to 7 furlongs .Should take plenty of beating though odds around 4-6 make limited appeal .The Name Is Don looks the only possible danger , though faces stiff task trying to concede 8LB .
NO BET RACE
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