Friday, June 22, 2012

Friday 22nd June Claiming Bet !!!

 On Friday we have 1 mile 2 furlong 0-75 classified claiming stakes at Redcar .

9 runners go to post for 1 mile 2 furlong claiming stakes on ground described as good ,though showers are forcast through the day .This looks competitive claimer with plenty of out form horses .The three main contenders look to be Jack Dawkins , Scottish Boogie & Elizabeth Coffee

JACK DAWKINS : Useful performer for Henry Cecil in the past ,though not the force of old .Been running well on the fibresand at Southwell this year winning twice ,including winning 11 furlong claimer in April .Has plenty turf form in past and should go well in this claimer.

ELIZABETH COFFEE : Won three races in Ireland last season for M.Halford.Finished fair third in 10 furlong handicap at Chester in May for Ian Williams .Takes drop in class here into claiming company for first time .

SCOTTISH BOOGIE : Won four times for Sylvester Kirk 2009/10 ,though didn't show great deal for Charles Brynes in Ireland .Rejoined Syvester Kirk stable in May ,though has shown very little on his last two starts ,including in claiming company .

VERDICT: Elizabeth Coffee should go well here after winning three times in Ireland last year and would be difficult to beat if she can reproduce her Chester form in this claimer .However she did run poorly last time and wouldn't want ground to get much softer .

At the prices JACK DAWKINS looks the value bet here after running three solid races at Southwell this year .Has won three times on turf and seems to go well in this grade.Odds around 9-2 look fair each-way value .

0.50PTS EACH-WAY @9-2 BET365*
*Best price guarantee


Sunday, June 17, 2012

Weekly Update !!

It's been very quiet week with no bets in claiming races .With so much rain about this week its been very difficult to find any suitable betting opportunities in the claimers.With most of the races cutting up badly.

Hopefully we will be back in action sometime next week ,with four claimers scheduled for later in the week :  (Wednesday 5.20 Hamilton 5F claimer ) (Thursday 2.45 Ripon 6F claimer & 2.20 Warwick 8F claimer ) (Friday 4.35 Redcar 10F claimer )

As we approach the last two weeks in June the claiming bets have performed OK in first half of the year.With four winning months out of five and June is also showing small profit of £177.00 / 1.77 with very respectable return on investment in 2012 of 54.55 % . 

In the second half of the year there will hopefully be few more betting opportunities .This year there has only been 24 bets which is an average of one bet per week .That's far less than I was expecting at the start of the year,though that's not big concern as I'm prepared to wait as long as it takes for good betting opportunities .

From Small number of bets the strike rate has been good this year with over 37% strike rate ,compared to last years 21% .Hopefully that will continue in the second half of the year.