Thursday, February 16, 2012

Thursdays Claiming Analysis!!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & Kempton with 6F claiming stakes on the fibresand at Southwell at 3.55


3.55 SOUTHWELL 6F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Six runners declared for 6F claimer at Southwell .This looks quite competitive little 3-Y-0 claimer with .Isheamiracle ,Claretintheblood & Faraway looking the three main contenders.


ISHEAMIRACKLE : Consistent filly on fibresand,Won 5F maiden here at Southwell back in December  beating Forever Janey by 6 lenghs .Has also finished second three times at the track up to 1 mile.Ran fair third last over C&D at Southwell off mark 65 .Should go well dropping into claiming company for first time .


CLARETINTHEBLOOD : Won 5F handicap at Southwell in December off mark 54 beating Russian Bullet by 0.50 lengh .Finished fair third last time at Southwell over 5 furlongs behind Laura's Bairn .Has to prove himself over this 6 furlong trip .


FARAWAY : Won three races in 2011 ,including winning 6F claimer at Wolverhampton in December,though has looked disappointing on his last three starts in this grade . Wears first time blinkers.


VERDICT : Claretintheblood has put in two solid runs in handicaps here at Southwell over five furlongs ,though there still remains question mark over this longer trip .Also has bit to find at these weights having second lowest handicap rating.


Faraway would be difficult to beat if reproducing his fourth over C&D off mark 70 in class 5 handicap back in December ,though has looked disappointing on his recent starts .First time blinkers may help ,though there still remains a question mark .


ISHEAMIRACKLE looks more solid than her two main rivals,with fair record here at Southwell in handicap company .Will be suited dropping into claiming company for first time .


Was expecting around 5-2 mark for a bet ,though the 9-4 quickly disappeared early this morning and now best price 13-8 which doesn't make great appeal ,and another no bet race.


(1) ISHEAMIRACKLE (2)FARAWAY 



Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Wednesday's Claiming Analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Wednesday with one claiming race at Kempton's evening fixture.Again we have another uncompetitive claiming race over 7 furlongs with six runners going to post.


7.10 KEMPTON 7F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5
Six runners declared for 7 furlong claiming stakes .This looks straight match between Twinkled & Lutine Charlie .


TWINKLED : Fair record on the poly track with 2 wins from 5 starts .Won 1 mile seller at Lingfield last time beating Tuxedo in good style .Looks well treated in this claimer off bottom weight and will be difficult to beat .


LUTINE CHARLIE :Won 6F seller at Kempton in November ,Also finished creditable second behind Lastkingofscotland in 7F claimer at Lingfield in January.Looked very disappointing last when finishing last of 6 behind Twinkled in 1 mile seller .


VERDICT : Lutine Charlie will need to settle a lot better today,after pulling far too hard last time in first time visor .Luke Morris replaces the 7LB claimer today which could make big difference,though doesn't have great strike rate and has very poor record in claiming company 0 from 8.


TWINKLED  is reliable sort and looks very well treated off 8 stone 4LB and will be difficult to beat in this weak looking claimer .Goes particularly well for 7LB claimer Ian Burns who has won on the horse twice.Not betting race for me at odds on ,though 5-6 looks a very fair price in such weak race.


(1) TWINKLED (2) LUTINE CHARLIE.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Patience Patience Patience !!!

The last two weeks have been very quiet with only one bet .Good betting opportunities in the claiming races have been non existent this week with small field sizes and poor value odds being the main problem.

In small fields its always difficult to find any kind of value and particularly in claiming races were there are only two or three runners with any kind of chance .

The main problem when specializing in certain type of race it does limit your betting opportunities.Since switching over to the claiming races in December the results have definitely improved big time with more consistent profits .

It does now mean a lot less bets each month ,which also means showing plenty more patience waiting for the right opportunities to come along  .Saying that February has always been quiet month for me,though hopefully there will be some bets before the end of the month .

With no claiming races scheduled for Monday or Tuesday the next blog post will be on Wednesday .