Friday, September 27, 2013

Friday 27Th September Shadwell Fillies Mile Bet

Good start to Cambridgeshire meeting with Caucus winning the Rose Bowl for second year running ,landing nice gamble 3-1 into 15-8 for tidy £330 profit on the day .

Though 3-1 was available this morning with Hills, no complaints with widely available 11-4 on Wednesday evening .

Moving on to Friday we have no less than five pattern races at Newmarket ,though going concentrate on the day's feature race the group one Shadwell Fillies mile at 3.15 .


8 runners declared for Shadwell Fillies Mile on ground described as good /good firm places. This looks to concern the big two  Rizeena & Ihtimal

RIZEENA : Useful filly winning 4 from 7 starts , including winning group 2 Queen Mary over 5 furlongs at Royal Ascot .Returned to winning ways last time winning group one Moyglare Stud Stakes over 7 furlongs at Curragh .

IHTIMAL : Big improver since stepping up in trip ,finishing third behind Berkshire in Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot .Followed that by winning both the group three Sweet Solera stakes at Newmarket & group two May hill stakes at Doncaster .

VERDICT : Rizeena has obvious claims after winning the 7 furlong group one Moyglare Stud stakes at Curragh last time ,though has plenty of speed having won over five furlongs three times and has to prove she stay this longer trip .

IHTIMAL is already group two winner over this trip and seemed very well suited to the mile distance when staying on strongly to win May Hill stakes at Doncaster last time. Godolphin have excellent record in the race and can win this for fourth year running. Odds around 5-2 look good value in race that lacks strength in depth .

Of the others Sound Reflection is dark horse unbeaten in two starts and looks open to plenty improvement ,though takes massive step up in class here.

(THIRD SP 5-2 LOSS £50.00 )
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Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Thursday 26th September Jockey club rose bowl listed stakes bet

Thursday see's the start of Newmarket's 3 day Cambridgeshire meeting .Going concentrate on the 2 mile Jockey Club Rose Bowl listed stakes at 4.15 .

10 runners declared for decent looking 2 mile listed race at Newmarket on good ground .On official handicap figures .Caucus & Repeater look the two main contenders .

CAUCUS : Useful stayer in this grade,impressive winner of this race last year beating Cavalaryman by 2.5 lenghs .Won 2 mile listed race at Sandown in July beating Biographer .Been bit disappointing on last two starts in group two company ,though will be suited returning to listed company.

REPEATER : Had some decent form for Sir Mark Prescott in 2011/12 ,returned to form last time finishing good third in group two Doncaster Cup behind Times Up on first start for David O'Meara  .Will be suited with this drop in class.

VERDICT : Last years winner CAUCUS has rock solid form in this grade, winning his last two starts in listed company over 2 miles & finished well in front of main rival Repeater at Sandown in July .Odds around 11-4 look very fair value .

Reapeater looks the obvious danger on his form in Doncaster Cup ,though isn't the most reliable sort and  hasn't won for 2 years .

Of the others Statutory could go well at decent odds ,after winning  2 mile handicap at Chester by 9 lenghs last month and will be suited returning to this longer trip .

(WINNER SP 15-8 PROFIT £330.00)

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Thursday, September 19, 2013

Friday 20th September Dubai Duty Free Cup Listed stakes

Disappointing result on Wednesday with Hippy Hippy Shake ,running a stinker in 10 furlong John Musker trophy listed race at Yarmouth finishing last of 11 for £100.00 loss.

Not sure why Hippy Hippy Shake ran such poor race as seem to have ideal conditions, though most disappointing effort all the same.

Moving onto Friday Newbury stage decent looking card with there feature race being 7 furlong Dubai Duty Free cup listed race at 4.50 .

9 runners declared for 7 furlong listed race on soft ground . Three main contenders look to be Firebeam , Magic City & Tawhid .

FIREBEAM : Finished second in conditions race at Haydock last time ,though has been disappointing this season .However should be suited by this softer ground and had some decent form last season in group company .

MAGIC CITY : Won four out last five starts in handicap company .Good winner of class 2 handicap at Goodwood last time off mark 97 . Takes step up in class and has to prove he can handle soft ground conditions .

TAWHID : Consistent sort,impressive winner of group three Horris Hill over C&D at Newbury last season on heavy ground , been running consistently this season without winning ,finishing placed in group two & three company .Will be suited by ground conditions and  dropping into listed company .

VERDICT : TAWHID is strong fancy here dropping into listed company, with ground conditions in his favour , having won the Horris Hill stakes over C&D here last October on heavy ground . Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor also has excellent record in the race .Odds around 5-2 look very fair value .

Magic City has to be respected having landed the hatrick last time , though has poor record on ground softer than good 1 out 6 and will need career best effort to win in listed company .

Of the others Firebeam had some useful form for William Haggas back in 2011 and has each/way claims with ground conditions likely to suit . 

1PT EACH-WAY @ 5-2 BET365*
(WINNER SP 15-8 PROFIT +£300.00)

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Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Wednesday 18TH September John Musker listed stakes bet .

On Wednesday my local track Yarmouth stage there feature race of the season. The John Musker listed stakes for fillies & mares over 10 furlong,s and the race looks worth having small interest .

11 runners declared for John Musker trophy at Yarmouth on ground described as good/ soft .This years race looks decent contest with the three main contenders being Hippy Hippy Shake ,Rippons & Shuruq .

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE : Good winner of 10 furlong listed race at York in July.Followed that with another good effort last time finishing second in 10 furlong listed race at Salisbury behind Mango Diva .No problems with ground conditions .

RIPPONS : Progressive filly winning all four starts .Won 9 furlong handicap at Goodwood last time off mark 86.Will need more improvement to win in listed company,though can't be ruled out over this longer trip .

SHURUQ : Group three winner at Meydan in UAE Oaks in February on tepeta surface, returned to form last time finishing third in group three over 1 mile at Sandown .Unproven on easy ground ,though the return to 10 furlongs will suit .

VERDICT :  The unbeaten Rippons will be popular here and looks open to more improvement,however this is big step up in class and odds around 15-8 look far too short .

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE has to concede weight all round ,though has solid winning form in listed company and will be suited by ground conditions .Also goes well for Keiren Fallon who won twice on horse last season .Odds around 4-1 look good value .

Of the others Shuruq has highest handicap rating 109 and should also go well having won in higher grade ,though has yet to win on turf and is unproven on ground conditions.

(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00)

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Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Thursday 12th September group 3 Sceptre Stakes bet

Good result on Wednesday with Justineo winning the feature race at Doncaster in good style .Hard to understand why he drifted so much going off 11-2 on betfair. I thought 3-1 was more than fair price, so can't really complain about 4-1 SP with best price guarantee for £240 profit on the race.

Moving onto the Day 2 at Doncaster the two feature races are group three Sceptre stakes over 7 furlongs & group two May Hill stakes over 1 mile 6 furlongs .Going concentrate on group three Sceptre stakes on ground described as good/soft .

10 runners declared for the 7 furlong sceptre stakes at Doncaster for fillies & mares .This looks decent contest with the three main contenders being Annecdote ,Maureen & Winning Express .

ANNECDOTE :Progressive filly, winning three of last four starts ,won 1 mile Sandringham Listed race at Royal Ascot in June .Followed that with career best effort winning the 7 furlong group 3 Oak Tree stakes at Glorious Goodwood .

MAUREEN :Won 7 furlong group three Fred Darling at Newbury in April .Far from disgraced in group one company on her last four starts ,including finishing 6TH in 1000 guineas .Also finished fair 4TH in Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot .Will be suited by this drop in class and soft ground conditions .

WINNING EXPRESS : Consistent filly ,won three times from 7 starts .Finished excellent fourth in 1000 guineas at Newmarket in May finishing just ahead of Maureen .Closely matched with Annecdote on Oaktree Stakes running . Should go well if handling softer ground conditions.

VERDICT : Not much to choose between the three main contenders on official ratings .However with ground conditions in her favour MAUREEN looks the one to beat here .Having been contesting all top group one fillies races this season .Will be suited by the drop in class and is unbeaten in group three company  .Odds around 3-1 look decent value .

Winning Express & Annecdote have to be respected , though both have prove they are as effective on this softer ground .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BOYLESPORTS* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(UNPLACED SP 15-8 LOSS £100.00)

Best odds guarantee*

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Wednesday 11th September Listed Stakes Bet

Day one of St Leger festival at Doncaster,with the feature race the Crown Hotel Scarbrough Stakes over five furlongs .

11 runners declared for five furlong listed race on ground described as good.On official handicap figures this looks competitive listed race .The three main contenders look to be Justineo & Masamah & Medicean Man 

JUSTINEO : Fair sprinter on his day,returned to form winning  five furlong conditions race at Newmarket in July .Followed that with career best effort finishing excellent 3rd in group 2 King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood last time.Should go well returning to listed company .

MASAMAH : Useful sprinter for Kevin Ryan back in 2010/11 winning group two at Goodwood ,though not as good last season for Marco Botti .Bounced back to form winning competitive handicap at Ascot in July off mark 100 .Also finished fair 4th last time in listed race at Beverley from poor draw .Has to be respected with Ryan Moore looking interesting Jockey booking .

MEDICEAN MAN :Inconsistent sprinter ,though useful type on his day .Has won twice this season including in listed company at Haydock in June ,not shown much recently though the drop back to listed company will suit.

VERDICT : JUSTINEO looks solid here after putting in career best effort at Goodwood last time in group two and had three of today's rivals behind (Masamah 8th) , Medicean Man 9th) Borderlescott 11th) .

Will be suited returning to listed company and is reunited with William Buick who won on the horse at Newmarket .Also the Roger Varian stable are in red hot form 6 out 8 so far in September .

Masamah finished  fourth in listed race at Beverley last time and has each-way claims ,though has plenty to find with Justineo on Glorious Goodwood running .

Medicean Man should get the race run to suit with plenty front runners in the race ,though is never easy to predict and faces no easy task under 3lb penalty .

Of the others C&D winner Magical Macey looks to be improving and could go well especially if there's any more rain.Having won on good/soft or softer five times .  

(WINNER SP 4-1 PROFIT £240.00 )

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Friday, September 06, 2013

Saturday 7th September Sprint Cup Bet

On Saturday we have some top quality action from Haydock ,Kempton & Leopardstown .Which includes nine pattern races ,with three group one races .

The feature race at Haydock the group one Betfred Sprint Cup looks interesting race with testing ground conditions going have big effect on the race .The three main contenders look to be .Legal Force , Gordon Lord Byron & Slade Power .

LEGAL FORCE : High class 6/7 Furlong colt , won back to back group one's this season the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot & July Cup at Newmarket on fast ground .However all his best form has been on fast ground.Soft ground looks is big concern .

GORDON LORD BYRON :Useful soft ground performer ,won group one Prix De La Foret at Longchamp last October on heavy ground .Also finished good second in this race last year on fast ground .Should go well with ground conditions in his favour .

SLADE POWER : Improving sort ,won twice at Curragh this season in group three company .Also finished good third behind Legal Force in July Cup at Newmarket .Will need bounce back after disappointing run in group one Nunthorpe at York last time,though will be suited by ground conditions .

VERDICT : With ground conditions in his favour GORDON LORD BYRON should go well here.Ran excellent second in this race last year ,on ground that wouldn't have been ideal .Having won twice on heavy ground any more rain will suit.Odds around 9-2 look decent value .

Of the others Garswood has been well supported in recent days and will be suited by ground conditions ,though all his best form has been over 7 furlongs and will need more improvement to win in group one company .

Slade Power has each-way claims on his third in July Cup, with ground conditions likely to suit and could go well at decent odds.

Legal Force has form with cut in the ground ,though all his group form has been on fast ground and looks worth taking on at around 3-1 .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT +£281.00)

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