Friday, August 30, 2013

Saturday 31st August Group 3 Atalanta Stakes Bet

Good result on Bank Holiday Monday with Extraterrestrial @ 11-4 winning 1 mile claiming stakes at Newcastle for £165.00 profit .In very tight finish Extraterrestrial just got the verdict by short head from King Pin .No other bets so far this week, with the racing being of very low standard .

On Saturday we have fair looking card from Sandown ,with the two feature races being group three Sweet Solario stakes for two year olds over 7 furlongs & group three Atalanta Stakes over 1 mile for fillies & Mares .

Going concentrate on the days feature race 1 mile Atalanta Stakes on ground described as Good/ Good /Firm places

10 runners go to post for decent looking group three contest for fillies and mares ,with the withdrawal of Chigun overnight .This race now looks match between Zibelina & Integral 

ZIBELINA : Progressive filly ,unbeaten after three starts .Won the Woodcote stud listed stakes at Ascot last month in good style .Followed that winning group three contest at Deauville last time ,beating fair French horse in Table Ronde .Looks open to plenty more improvement .

INTEGRAL : Won first two starts ,including listed race over C&D at Sandown quickening up in impressive style from well off pace .Took big step up in class last time when finishing 7th of 14 in group one Nassau Stakes at Glorious Goodwood ,though never got clear run at any stage in very messy race .Obvious claims now dropping back into group three company.

VERDICT : Integral is going be popular here dropping back into group three company after looking unlucky last time in Nassau at Goodwood.However her win over C&D in listed race back in July ,hasn't really worked out with second ,third & fourth from that race all being soundly beaten since .Still has to be respected with Sir Michael Stoute having such good record in the race ,though odds around 6-4 look too short .

The unbeaten ZIBELINA has solid form in group three company and still looks open to plenty improvement .She can get the better of her main rival Integral in race that looks to concern just the two .At  double the odds of her main rival ,she looks good value bet here at 3-1 . 

0.50 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 STAN JAMES* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(UNPLACED SP 2-1 LOSS £100.00)

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Monday, August 26, 2013

Bank Holiday Monday Claiming Stakes Bet

Disappointing result yesterday with Pastoral Player finishing fourth in Supreme Stakes at Goodwood. For some reason the horse was massive drifter on course going off over 13-1 on betfair from early 5-1 

However in the race there was no real excuses, Pastoral Player looked to be coming with promising run with two furlongs to run ,though the effort petered out inside the final furlong .Only managing fourth for £100.00 loss .

Moving on to bank holiday Monday,as usual we have plenty of low grade meetings and normally I would give the racing a miss, with so much low quality on offer.However there looks quite interesting 1 mile claiming stakes at Newcastle ,that looks worth a small bet . 

9 runners declared for 1 mile claiming stakes on ground described as good/soft .This doesn't look bad race for this grade .The three main contenders look to be ,Joburg ,Extraterrestrial & King Pin .

JO'BURG :Fair handicapper on his day won two class 4 handicaps last season at Redcar off marks 77 & 81 .Returned to winning ways when dropped into claiming company beating Extraterrestrial by 3/4 lengh at Doncaster in July .Well beaten last time in handicap at Redcar finishing last of 11 ,though will be suited returning to claiming company.

EXTRATERRESTRIAL :Been running well in this grade recently ,won 1 mile claimer at Carlisle in July and was just touched off next time in 9 furlong claimer at same course behind Seattle Drive  .Finished fair 6th of 16 last time in class three handicap at Ripon & will be suited dropping back into claiming company.

KING PIN :Been disappointing on his last three starts in handicap company ,though has fair record in this grade .Won 1 mile claimer over C&D in April and will be suited returning to this grade ,though still has bit to find at today's weights .

VERDICT : Jo 'burg is 4LB clear on official BHA ratings and has good record in claimers ,though all nine victories have come on good or faster ground ,with the soft ground conditions here looks worth taking on at around 6-4 .

EXTRATERRESTRIAL has to reverse Doncaster form with Jo'burg ,though will be better suited to these softer ground conditions .Has been running well in claiming company this season and can get the better of Jo 'Burg .In what looks weak race 11-4 looks fair value .

Of the others King Pin has each-way claims ,has fair record in claimers ,though will need bounce back after three disappointing runs recently .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BET365*
(WINNER SP 5-2 PROFIT £165.00)

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Sunday, August 25, 2013

Sunday 25th August Supreme Stakes Bet

Good result on Thursday with Lucky Kristale winning the Lowther Stakes in good style at 11-4 for tidy profit of £343.00 profit .Its been good month so far for the blog with three winners from four bets for £665 profit / 6.65 points.

Hopefully we can keep the good run going on Sunday .Going concentrate on the day's feature race the 7 furlong Green King Supreme Stakes on ground described as good .

9 runners declared for group three contest at Goodwood .The main contenders look to be Boom Or Bust , Penitent & Pastoral Player .

BOOM AND BUST : Consistent sort ,been running well in group company this season ,finishing third over C&D in group two Lennox stakes at Glorious Goodwood in July .Followed that with 6 lengh second behind the useful Afsare in group three contest at Salisbury last time .

PENITENT : Useful sort when there's cut in the ground ,won two group 2 contests last season at Newmarket & Sandown .Finished good second behind Gregorian in group 3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom at end of may .Will be suited by any rain .

PASTORAL PLAYER : Not the easiest ride ,though useful sort on his day .Won group three Timeform Jury Stakes at Haydock last season .Looked unlucky when beaten short head in same race this season .Never got any kind run last time when finishing unplaced behind Garswood in Lennox stakes .

VERDICT : Penitent is 5LB clear on official BHA ratings and looks the one to beat after winning two group 2 races last season ,though his last seven wins have all come over 1 mile ,the drop back to 7 furlongs is major concern .

PASTORAL PLAYER is tricky ride and will need luck in running, though has plenty solid form in group races and this race should be run to suit .With confirmed front runners Boom and Bust & Libranno in the race .Odds around 5-1 look fair each-way value, in not the strongest looking group three contest .

Of the others the reliable Boom and Bust has each-way claims ,though normally comes up just short in group company .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365* & PADDY POWER*
(UNPLACED SP 10-1 LOSS £100.00)

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Thursday, August 22, 2013

Thursday 22nd August Lowther Stakes Bet

Day two of York Ebor meeting with the two feature races being group one Yorkshire Oaks over 12 furlongs and group two Lowther stakes over 6 furlongs for 2 year old fillies .

Going concentrate on group two Lowther stakes at 2.30 on ground described as good/firm .

9 runners declared for group two Lowther stakes over 6 furlongs for two year old fillies .This looks decent contest with two main contenders being .Lucky Kristale & J Wonder .

LUCKY KRISTALE :Won 3 times from four starts .Good winner last time of group two Duchess Of Cambridge stakes at Newmarket beating the useful Rizeena by 2.5 lenghs .Went off 20-1 shot that day ,though there looked no fluke by that victory .Should go well with ideal conditions .

J WONDER :Unbeaten after 2 starts winning at Newbury & Newmarket .Won in good style last time in 6 furlong nursery handicap at Newmarket beating Midnite Angel off mark 79 .That form has been boosted with Midnite Angel finishing 2nd in group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket last time .Looks open to plenty improvement after two starts .

VERDICT : J Wonder has to be respected after winning both starts ,though that last win did only come off mark 79 and will need to show a lot of improvement to win this group two contest .Odds around 5-2 look too short .

LUCKY KRISTALE IS 3LB clear on official handicap ratings and looks the one to beat here after winning in good style last time in similar group two contest .I was expecting lot shorter price here around 7-4 / 2-1,though the 3-1 has now gone. 11-4 still looks good value .

1PT EACH-WAY @ 11-4 *BET365* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 5-2 PROFIT +£343.00)

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Wednesday 14th August Listed Stakes Bet !!!

Good Start for the blog in August with two winners over weekend for £422 /4.22 profit.Having taken six week break from the blog this summer after some disappointing results.It's good to come back to some kind of form with couple winners.Hopefully we can continue the good run this week .

On Wednesday the feature race is 10 furlong listed race at Salisbury on ground described as good/firm .

10 runners declared for 10 furlong fillies listed race .This looks competitive race with the three main contenders being Hippy Hippy Shake ,Bana Wu & Rock Choir .

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE : C&D winner ,won 10 furlong listed race at York last time beating Lady Nouf .Hard to weigh up that form, with odds on favourite Albasharah unseating rider early in the race .Faces no easy task conceding weight all round .

BANA WU : Finished good third last time in 10 furlong listed handicap at Royal Ascot behind the useful Forgotten Voice off mark 99 ,that form has been boosted by Forgotten Voice winning group 3 contest next time at Goodwood.

ROCK CHOIR : Fast improving three year old ,bolted up in 9 furlong maiden at Goodwood & 10 furlong class three handicap at Newbury last time off mark 82.Open to plenty improvement after just four starts .

VERDICT : Rock Choir could be anything after bolting up in her last two starts ,though that last win came in class three handicap off mark 82 and takes big step up in class here into listed company .Has to be respected ,though little surprising she's been put in clear favourite at 5-2

On official handicap figures BANA WU is top rated on 102 and finished excellent third last time only beaten 3/4 lengh behind subsequent group three winner Forgotten Voice .That looks solid form and looks the one to beat if reproducing that form  .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

Of the others Hippy Hippy Shake should be thereabouts after winning listed race at York ,though this looks much stronger listed race .

Mango Diva also has each/way possibilities if improving over this longer trip after finishing staying on  9th of 26 in 1 mile listed handicap at Royal Ascot last time .

(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100.00)

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Sunday, August 11, 2013

Sunday 11th August Phoenix Sprint Stakes Bet

Nice to come back with winner on Saturday with Ihtimal winning in good style in Sweet Solera stakes, landing nice gamble 4-1 into 11-4 .Hopefully that will be the start of good run in August .

On Sunday we have very decent card from the Curragh ,including four group races .The feature race is group one Keeneland Phoenix Stakes ,though this not really betting race with odds on favourite War Command looking impossible to oppose .

The most interesting race on the card looks to be the group three Phoenix sprint stakes over 6 furlongs at 4.15

10 runners declared for this group three contest .On official handicap ratings this looks match between Sea Siren & Slade Power .

SEA SIREN : High quality sprinter in Australia winning three group one races in 2012 ,finished 8th of 18 in G1 Golden Jubilee stakes at Royal Ascot .Made no mistake on her first start for A P O'Brien ,when dropped in class winning 6 furlong listed race at Fairyhouse .Looks to hold obvious claims in this group three contest .

SLADE POWER: Fast improving 4-Y-0 ,won 5 furlong group three contest at Curragh in June beating Russian Soul .Followed that with career best effort finishing third in group one July Cup behind Lethal Force .Will be suited by this drop in class .

VERDICT : There looks little to choose between Sea Siren & Slade Power on there running in Golden Jubilee stakes at Royal Ascot in June. 

SLADE POWER has to concede weight all round ,though his third in group one July Cup at Newmarket  is best form on offer here and is just preferred over Sea Siren .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in race lacking strength in depth .

Sea Siren looks the obvious danger receiving 6LB after winning in good style at Fairyhouse last time ,though odds around 11-8 don't represent much value .

(WINNER SP 2-1 PROFIT +£172.00)
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Saturday, August 10, 2013

Saturday 10th August Sweet Solera Stakes Bet.

After six week break the blog returns,just hoping for change of luck sometime soon .June was another frustrating month with plenty second's and thirds ,though no winners again .Loss 4.13 points on the month.No bets in July and decided to sit out Glorious Goodwood last week,not one my favourite tracks to say the least .

After seven months the blog is 12.63 points down and this looks like being first losing year since blog started in February 2010 .After slow start to the year on the All Weather ,things haven't shown any improvement so far on the turf.On positive note the blog is still showing 64 points profit since starting in February 2010  .

Moving on to Saturday we have plenty racing ,with Ascot staging the Shergar Cup ,though this event has never really appealed to me .Not sure why the event is given so much coverage seems complete waste of time in my opinion.

Looking ahead to the other cards Newmarket & Haydock stage the main meetings and going concentrate on group three Sweet Solera Stakes for 2 year olds at Newmarket at 3.35

8 runners go to post for group three Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket over 7 furlongs on ground described as good/firm .This looks competitive race,with the three main contenders being Wedding Ring ,Ihtimal & Baby Bush .

WEDDING RING :Won 6 furlong maiden at Newmarket on debut beating Ihtimal by neck in June.Followed that with good fifth of 19 at Royal Ascot in G3 Albany Stakes behind Kiyoshi.Looks open to improvement after just two starts and this longer trip should suit .

IHTIMAL :Maiden after three starts,though has shown plenty of promise on all three starts .Finished good third in Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot last time behind Berkshire,after not getting the clearest of runs and doing best of the fillies in the race .

BABY BUSH :Good winner on debut in 6 furlong maiden at Newbury ,not easy assess the form that race ,though won in good style and that  looked well above average maiden .Should be suited by this longer trip and has to be respected.

VERDICT : Godolphin have won the last four running's of the the race and there pair Wedding Ring & Ihtimal look the two to concentrate on here .

IHTIMAL has ran well on all three starts and looked little unlucky last time in Chesham when not getting much luck in running .That looked strong race with winner Berkshire highly regarded.Should go well returning to this fillies race and odds around 4-1 look decent value .

0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT £250)

1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
*Best price guarantee*